炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 随着2025年三季度业绩预告逐渐进入密集披露期，A股市场将迎来新一轮"业绩验证潮"。 Wind数据显示，截至记者发稿，已有超过40家上市公司发布三季度业绩预告。从业绩预告类型来看， 今年前三季度业绩预喜（预增、略增、扭亏）公司数量占比在七成以上，显示出强劲的业绩增长势头。 其中，广东明珠、英联股份等公司更是以超10倍的业绩增幅，成为市场关注的焦点。 最高业绩增幅超16倍 从目前已经发布的业绩预告来看，广东明珠、英联股份等公司前三季度业绩增幅居前。 业内人士指出，2025年全球半导体延续乐观增长走势，同时，政策对供应链中断与重构风险持续升级， 国产替代持续推进，三季度半导体仍为旺季期。 据半导体行业协会（SIA），2025年8月全球半导体销售额达到649亿美元，这一数字不仅较2024年同期 的533亿美元实现21.7%的同比增幅，较7月的621亿美元也环比提升4.4%，延续了行业持续回暖的态 英联股份9月29日晚发布2025年前三季度业绩预告，预计公司前三季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润3450万—3750万元，同比增长1531.13 ...

随着2025年三季度业绩预告逐渐进入密集披露期，A股市场将迎来新一轮"业绩验证潮"。 在全球景气度持续提升的背景下，部分A股半导体企业的前三季度业绩亮眼。 Wind数据显示，截至记者发稿，已有超过40家上市公司发布三季度业绩预告。从业绩预告类型来看， 今年前三季度业绩预喜（预增、略增、扭亏）公司数量占比在七成以上，显示出强劲的业绩增长势头。 其中，广东明珠、英联股份等公司更是以超10倍的业绩增幅，成为市场关注的焦点。 最高业绩增幅超16倍 从目前已经发布的业绩预告来看，广东明珠、英联股份等公司前三季度业绩增幅居前。 英联股份9月29日晚发布2025年前三季度业绩预告，预计公司前三季度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润3450万—3750万元，同比增长1531.13%—1672.97%。 公司表示，报告期内，公司营业收入和利润均实现了增长，主要来自于快消品金属包装易开盖板块的贡 献。报告期内，公司金属包装板块智能化、自动化产线的快速响应供货能力和生产产品质量的稳定性等 核心优势进一步显现，国内外市场占有率提升，公司营业收入实现稳步增长。同时，公司通过产品结构 调整等精益化管理方式提升了经营管理效率，实现降本增效， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Debang Securities indicates that the prices of acetylacetone and acetylacetone calcium have increased significantly from their recent lows, suggesting a potential rebound in the PVC environmental additives market due to supply concentration and ongoing environmental policies [1][4]. Price Trends - As of September 9, the prices for acetylacetone and acetylacetone calcium are 17,000 and 19,000 yuan per ton, respectively, marking an increase of 4,000 and 6,000 yuan per ton from their seven-year lows of 13,000 yuan per ton [1][4]. - Current prices are at historical percentiles of 11.94% and 14.86%, with potential upside of approximately 29,500 and 31,000 yuan per ton compared to their highest prices of 46,500 and 50,000 yuan per ton [1][4]. Industry Dynamics - The acetylacetone industry is experiencing supply disruptions alongside steady demand growth, with a notable decline in prices since 2021 leading to some companies exiting the market [3]. - Major domestic producers include Zhejiang Weirong, Jianbang Co., Xinhua Pharmaceutical, and Guangxi Jinyuan, while BASF is a key overseas supplier [3]. - The global acetylacetone market was valued at approximately 338 million USD in 2018 and is projected to grow to 445 million USD by 2025, driven by expanding application areas [3]. Supply and Demand Outlook - The PVC environmental additives market is expected to improve as supply becomes more concentrated and traditional stabilizers face replacement due to environmental regulations [5]. - The industry is likely to undergo a consolidation phase as high-cost capacities exit the market, leading to a potential price rebound for key products [5]. Company Focus - Companies to watch include Jianbang Co. (603285.SH) with acetylacetone salt capacity of 4,240 tons and ongoing projects, Xinhua Pharmaceutical (000756.SZ) with a capacity of 10,000 tons, and Jiaxian Co. (920489.BJ) with DBM/SBM capacities of 7,000 and 3,000 tons, respectively [5][6].

Group 1 - The iPhone 17 series is generating significant buzz in the tech community, with discussions ranging from design to performance upgrades [3][4][5] - The upcoming Apple event is expected to take place on September 9, where the iPhone 17 series will be officially unveiled [4] - This year's product lineup will feature a major change, introducing the iPhone 17 Air, replacing the Plus model, and offering a focus on lightweight design [5][7] Group 2 - The iPhone 17 series will see a comprehensive hardware upgrade, including all models supporting ProMotion technology and Always-On Display [20][22] - The iPhone 17 Pro and Pro Max will be equipped with the new A19 Pro chip, while the iPhone 17 Air will feature a 6.6-inch display and A19 chip [22][23] - Pricing for the iPhone 17 series is expected to increase by $50 to $100, with the standard model starting at $799 and the Pro Max potentially exceeding $1,500 for top configurations [26] Group 3 - Apple is also set to release a budget MacBook, featuring a 12.9-inch screen and the A18 Pro chip, aimed at capturing the mid-range market [27][30] - The anticipated price for the budget MacBook is around $700, with the potential for the Chinese version to be priced below 5,000 RMB [30][31] - The introduction of a lower-cost MacBook represents a strategic shift for Apple, aiming to expand its market presence and macOS ecosystem [32]

Core Viewpoint - Fujifilm has raised prices for most of its digital cameras and lenses in the U.S., with some products seeing increases of several hundred dollars due to tariffs and rising production and supply chain costs [1] Price Increases - The price of the X100VI has increased from $1599 to $1799, reflecting a $200 rise [1] - The X-T5's price has gone up from $1699 to $1899, also a $200 increase [1] - The GFX100 II has seen a significant price jump from $7499 to $8299, marking a $800 increase [1] Reasons for Price Hike - The price increases are attributed to the U.S. tariffs and the rising costs associated with production and supply chains [1]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of various industries in the first half of the year has shown significant improvement, with 52.88% of the 938 listed companies reporting a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 1: Non-ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals sector has experienced substantial profit growth, driven by rising prices of raw materials such as copper and gold [2] - 20 companies in the non-ferrous metals industry reported a year-on-year profit increase of over 50%, with 6 companies achieving a profit doubling [2] - For instance, Jincheng Mining expects a net profit of 1.07 billion to 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.62% to 82.78%, attributed to increased sales volume and prices of mineral products [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 51.37% to 67.98% due to rising copper and cobalt prices [2] - Huayou Cobalt's profit is expected to rise by 55.62% to 67.59%, with a projected net profit of 2.6 billion to 2.8 billion yuan, driven by increased cobalt prices [2] Group 2: Gold Industry - The gold sector has also reported strong performance, with companies like Western Gold expecting a net profit of 130 million to 160 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.35% to 141.66% [3] - Shandong Gold anticipates a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 84.30% to 120.50% due to higher gold sales prices and increased sales volume [3] - Other gold companies, including Chifeng Gold and Zhongjin Gold, also expect net profit increases exceeding 50% [3] Group 3: Agricultural Chemicals Industry - The agricultural chemicals sector has seen significant profit growth, with 49 out of 89 companies reporting increases, representing 55.1% [4] - Xian Da Co. expects a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan, a staggering year-on-year increase of 2443.43% to 2834.73%, driven by rising market prices of its main product [4] - Su Li Co. anticipates a net profit of 72 million to 86 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1008.39% to 1223.91% due to increased sales of pesticides [4] - Li Min Co. expects a net profit of 260 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 719.25% to 782.27% [4] Group 4: Fertilizer Industry - Fertilizer companies like Yara International and Dongfang Iron Tower are also forecasting over 50% profit growth due to increased product demand [5] - Yara International expects a net profit of 730 million to 930 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 170% to 244%, driven by higher production and sales volumes [5] - Dongfang Iron Tower anticipates a net profit of 451 million to 495 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 63.80% to 79.78% [5] Group 5: Fluorochemical Industry - The fluorochemical sector has benefited from rising market prices, with companies like Sanmei Co. expecting a net profit of 948 million to 1.042 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% to 171.67% [6] - Juhua Co. anticipates a net profit of 1.97 billion to 2.13 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 136% to 155% due to rising prices of fluorinated refrigerants [6] - Yonghe Co. expects a net profit of 255 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 126.30% to 148.49% [6]

Core Viewpoint - Nike plans to gradually increase prices starting in the fall of 2025 due to rising costs associated with tariffs, which are expected to add approximately $1 billion to total expenses [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Pricing Strategy - Nike will begin implementing price increases in the fall of 2025 [1] Cost Implications - The additional total costs due to tariffs are projected to be around $1 billion [1]

Vitamin Sector - The vitamin sector is expected to benefit from price increases in 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenue projected to grow by 22.5% and net profit by 162.6% year-on-year in 2024 [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit are anticipated to continue their upward trend, with increases of 10.8% and 110.3% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The demand for feed-grade vitamins remains rigid, and certain concentrated supply structures are expected to support price increases for products like Vitamin E, D3, and folic acid [1] Fine Chemicals Sector - The fine chemicals sector is projected to outperform the basic chemicals sector in 2024 and Q1 2025, with a decline of only 4.2% in 2024 compared to a 5.1% drop in basic chemicals [2] - By the end of Q1 2025, the fine chemicals index is expected to rebound to 6905.55 points, reflecting an 8.5% increase year-to-date, surpassing basic chemicals by 2.4 percentage points [2] - The fine chemicals industry benefits from relatively inelastic downstream demand and high production barriers, making it more resilient during downturns and more elastic during recoveries [2] Amino Acids Sector - The amino acids sector is forecasted to see revenue growth of 8.9% and net profit growth of 55.0% in 2024, driven by recovering demand and lower raw material costs [3] - In Q1 2025, the sector is expected to continue benefiting from lower corn prices and increased export demand, with revenue and net profit projected to rise by 9.0% and 74.6% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Notably, methionine prices are anticipated to rise due to low channel inventory and market expectations, presenting potential opportunities for price increases [3] Pesticides Sector - The pesticides sector is showing signs of a cyclical rebound from 2024 to Q1 2025, despite an overall oversupply in 2024 leading to a revenue decline of 2.3% and a net profit drop of 73% [4] - In Q1 2025, certain pesticide products are expected to experience rapid price increases due to temporary supply-demand imbalances, resulting in a revenue increase of 4.5% and a net profit increase of 57.2% year-on-year [4] - Future price increases may be driven by strong demand for specific crops and supply constraints due to uncontrollable factors [4] Sweeteners Sector - The sweeteners sector is projected to show resilience in revenue with a 2.1% increase in 2024, although net profit is expected to decline by 32.5% due to price drops in core products [5] - In Q1 2025, revenue is anticipated to grow by 7.1% and net profit by 81.1%, benefiting from price increases initiated in late 2024 and ongoing demand for functional sugars [5] - The sector may see further price increases for sucralose and potential growth opportunities following the approval of natural sweetener allulose in the domestic market [5]