每经编辑｜段炼 全球化进程中的复杂博弈，不只是抽象的政治表态，更会具象为很多企业的现实抉择，即便它们是国际巨头或行业龙头。而且，往往越是巨头，就越不能 逃避。 近期，3家企业的故事，给外界展示了这样一幅复杂而艰难的图景。 英伟达不甘心 英伟达创始人、CEO黄仁勋日前在纽约的一次活动中，对被迫离开中国市场表示痛心和惋惜："我们（美国）实施的政策，导致美国失去了世界上最大的 市场之一。"他透露，英伟达在中国AI芯片市场的份额从前些年的95%降到当下的0%。 自2022年起，英伟达A100/H100芯片被禁运，2023年特供版A800/H800再次受阻。为符合美国出口规定，英伟达再次放低身段，专门为中国市场开发H20 特供芯片。今年4月，美国政府"背刺"英伟达，性能大幅缩水的H20芯片仍遭禁售。7月一度出现转机，但H20芯片因被曝存在安全漏洞，很快遭到审查， 并被市场抛弃。 中国市场的重要性毋庸置疑。本来，如果一切顺利，英伟达本财季的H20芯片出货收入，可能在20亿至50亿美元之间。黄仁勋本人此前也表示，2025年中 国市场可能为公司带来价值500亿美元的商机。如今一切都成了镜花水月。 按黄仁勋的说法，"任何认为中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in H1 2025, with revenue increasing by 67.86% year-on-year to 307 million yuan and net profit rising by 91.56% to 76 million yuan [1][2] - The semiconductor packaging and testing equipment sector is experiencing a recovery, leading to increased demand for high-end testing and sorting machines, which has positively impacted the company's sales [2][9] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing restructuring of the global semiconductor supply chain and the trend towards high-end testing equipment [9] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 347 million yuan, 2024A: 407 million yuan, 2025E: 682 million yuan, 2026E: 884 million yuan, 2027E: 1,108 million yuan, with a growth rate of 67.7% in 2025E [1][11] - Net profit projections are: 2023A: 85 million yuan, 2024A: 78 million yuan, 2025E: 188 million yuan, 2026E: 273 million yuan, 2027E: 372 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 139.6% in 2025E [1][11] - The company's overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 51.39%, an increase of 1.18 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 24.72%, up by 3.05 percentage points [2] Product and Market Development Summary - The company has seen a substantial increase in sales of its EXCEED-9000 series products, which accounted for 51.37% of total sales in H1 2025, up from 25.80% in 2024 [3] - The company is actively developing customized testing and sorting solutions for specific semiconductor applications, enhancing its technological capabilities and market position [3] - The company is also investing in projects to enhance its R&D and manufacturing capabilities, which will further strengthen its competitive edge in the semiconductor testing equipment market [3][9] Market Outlook - The global semiconductor testing machine market is projected to grow from 6,053.36 million USD in 2024 to 9,927.50 million USD by 2031, with a CAGR of 6.39%, indicating a favorable market environment for the company [8] - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of domestic substitution trends and the growing demand for high-reliability testing equipment driven by advancements in AI and automotive electronics [8][9]