Group 1 - The gaming stocks continued to decline, with Sands China down 5.41% to HKD 19.05, Melco International Development down 4.05% to HKD 4.98, Wynn Macau down 3.65% to HKD 6.34, and MGM China down 3.16% to HKD 14.4 [1] - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's total gaming revenue (GGR) for the first five days of October reached MOP 5.5 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 1.1 billion, marking the best performance for the Golden Week in five years. However, this represents only a 3% year-on-year increase, which is below expectations [1] - UBS noted that Wynn Macau's market share significantly increased in September, rising by approximately 200 basis points month-on-month, contributing to a quarterly increase of 150 basis points in market share. The second-highest increase was observed in SJM, which saw a month-on-month increase of about 50 basis points, but a decline of 30 basis points in the third quarter [1] Group 2 - The visitor volume from October 1 to 5 remained flat, further dragging down GGR growth, as a typhoon caused a 25% drop in visitor numbers on October 5 [1] - Morgan Stanley expects GGR for October to grow by 11% to 13% year-on-year, reaching MOP 23 billion, which would be the highest in six years [1] - Compared to market expectations, the market shares of Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn were higher than anticipated, while MGM, Sands China, and SJM were below expectations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gaming stocks continue to decline, extending their downward trend for the month, with significant drops in major companies like Sands China and Wynn Macau [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Sands China (01928) fell by 5.41%, trading at HKD 19.05 [1] - Melco International Development (00200) decreased by 4.05%, trading at HKD 4.98 [1] - Wynn Macau (01128) dropped by 3.65%, trading at HKD 6.34 [1] - MGM China (02282) declined by 3.16%, trading at HKD 14.4 [1] Group 2: Gaming Revenue Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's gaming gross revenue (GGR) for the first five days of October reached MOP 5.5 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 1.1 billion, marking the best performance for the Golden Week in five years [1] - Year-on-year growth was only 3%, lower than both the bank's and market expectations [1] - Visitor numbers from October 1 to 5 remained flat, further impacting GGR growth, with a 25% drop in visitors on October 5 due to a typhoon [1] - The bank projects a year-on-year GGR growth of 11% to 13% for October, estimating a total of MOP 23 billion, which would be the highest in six years [1] Group 3: Market Share Analysis - UBS noted a significant increase in Wynn Macau's market share in September, rising by approximately 200 basis points month-on-month, contributing to a quarterly increase of 150 basis points [1] - The second-highest market share increase was observed in SJM Holdings, which saw a month-on-month rise of about 50 basis points, although it still declined by 30 basis points in the third quarter [1] - Compared to market expectations, the market shares of Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn exceeded expectations, while MGM, Sands China, and SJM fell short [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the gaming revenue growth momentum for Galaxy Entertainment Group (03918) is accelerating, driven by the increase in business travelers in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, and local demand [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - UBS has raised its forecast for total gaming revenue (GGR) for 2025-2026 by 21% to 29% due to better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year [1] - The overall gaming revenue is expected to grow by 32% year-on-year this year and by 10% next year [1] Group 2: EBITDA and Valuation - The EBITDA forecast for Galaxy Entertainment for next year has been increased by 46% [1] - The valuation multiple has been raised from 5x to 7x, leading to an increase in the target price from HKD 3.8 to HKD 7.5 [1] - The stock rating has been upgraded from "Neutral" to "Buy" due to the attractive valuation [1]

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue (GGR) for the first 24 days of August reached MOP 17.65 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 735 million [1] - The average daily revenue for the previous week increased by 9% to MOP 793 million compared to the week before, while the average daily revenue for the first 17 days of August was MOP 710 million, and MOP 714 million in July, marking the highest record since the pandemic outside of peak periods [1] - The report anticipates that total gaming revenue for August will grow by 11% to 14%, reaching between MOP 21.9 billion and MOP 22.5 billion, potentially breaking post-pandemic records again [1]