该行维持对高端营运商的偏好，包括银河娱乐及永利度假村。该行维持对银娱的"买入"评级，认为其去 年第四季业绩大致符合预期，而农历新年期间，公司继续录得强劲的访客及商业活动；随着第四期项目 推进，预期2026年资本开支将增加。 杰富瑞发表报告，根据澳门博彩监察协调局的数据，2月博彩总收入达206亿澳门元，按年增长4%，按 月增长1%。虽然数据低于市场及该行初步预估的10.5%及8%，但优于该行每周渠道调查趋势，该调查 显示2月前三周呈按年下滑。 ...

Group 1 - The gaming stocks continued to decline, with Sands China down 5.41% to HKD 19.05, Melco International Development down 4.05% to HKD 4.98, Wynn Macau down 3.65% to HKD 6.34, and MGM China down 3.16% to HKD 14.4 [1] - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's total gaming revenue (GGR) for the first five days of October reached MOP 5.5 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 1.1 billion, marking the best performance for the Golden Week in five years. However, this represents only a 3% year-on-year increase, which is below expectations [1] - UBS noted that Wynn Macau's market share significantly increased in September, rising by approximately 200 basis points month-on-month, contributing to a quarterly increase of 150 basis points in market share. The second-highest increase was observed in SJM, which saw a month-on-month increase of about 50 basis points, but a decline of 30 basis points in the third quarter [1] Group 2 - The visitor volume from October 1 to 5 remained flat, further dragging down GGR growth, as a typhoon caused a 25% drop in visitor numbers on October 5 [1] - Morgan Stanley expects GGR for October to grow by 11% to 13% year-on-year, reaching MOP 23 billion, which would be the highest in six years [1] - Compared to market expectations, the market shares of Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn were higher than anticipated, while MGM, Sands China, and SJM were below expectations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The gaming stocks continue to decline, extending their downward trend for the month, with significant drops in major companies like Sands China and Wynn Macau [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Sands China (01928) fell by 5.41%, trading at HKD 19.05 [1] - Melco International Development (00200) decreased by 4.05%, trading at HKD 4.98 [1] - Wynn Macau (01128) dropped by 3.65%, trading at HKD 6.34 [1] - MGM China (02282) declined by 3.16%, trading at HKD 14.4 [1] Group 2: Gaming Revenue Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's gaming gross revenue (GGR) for the first five days of October reached MOP 5.5 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 1.1 billion, marking the best performance for the Golden Week in five years [1] - Year-on-year growth was only 3%, lower than both the bank's and market expectations [1] - Visitor numbers from October 1 to 5 remained flat, further impacting GGR growth, with a 25% drop in visitors on October 5 due to a typhoon [1] - The bank projects a year-on-year GGR growth of 11% to 13% for October, estimating a total of MOP 23 billion, which would be the highest in six years [1] Group 3: Market Share Analysis - UBS noted a significant increase in Wynn Macau's market share in September, rising by approximately 200 basis points month-on-month, contributing to a quarterly increase of 150 basis points [1] - The second-highest market share increase was observed in SJM Holdings, which saw a month-on-month rise of about 50 basis points, although it still declined by 30 basis points in the third quarter [1] - Compared to market expectations, the market shares of Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn exceeded expectations, while MGM, Sands China, and SJM fell short [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the gaming revenue growth momentum for Galaxy Entertainment Group (03918) is accelerating, driven by the increase in business travelers in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, and local demand [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - UBS has raised its forecast for total gaming revenue (GGR) for 2025-2026 by 21% to 29% due to better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year [1] - The overall gaming revenue is expected to grow by 32% year-on-year this year and by 10% next year [1] Group 2: EBITDA and Valuation - The EBITDA forecast for Galaxy Entertainment for next year has been increased by 46% [1] - The valuation multiple has been raised from 5x to 7x, leading to an increase in the target price from HKD 3.8 to HKD 7.5 [1] - The stock rating has been upgraded from "Neutral" to "Buy" due to the attractive valuation [1]

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue (GGR) for the first 24 days of August reached MOP 17.65 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 735 million [1] - The average daily revenue for the previous week increased by 9% to MOP 793 million compared to the week before, while the average daily revenue for the first 17 days of August was MOP 710 million, and MOP 714 million in July, marking the highest record since the pandemic outside of peak periods [1] - The report anticipates that total gaming revenue for August will grow by 11% to 14%, reaching between MOP 21.9 billion and MOP 22.5 billion, potentially breaking post-pandemic records again [1]