Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, MGM China achieved total revenue of HKD 8.51 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.4%[1] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 reached HKD 2.37 billion, up 19.6% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.9%, an increase of 0.52 percentage points year-on-year[1][5] - Total revenue for the year-to-date reached HKD 25.17 billion, a 7.3% year-on-year increase[1] Business Segmentation - Gaming and non-gaming segments contributed HKD 7.41 billion and HKD 1.1 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of +18.8% and +8.9%[2] - By property, MGM Macau and MGM Cotai generated total revenues of HKD 3.39 billion and HKD 5.12 billion, reflecting year-on-year increases of 11.6% and 21.5% respectively[2] Betting and Revenue Growth - Total betting amount reached HKD 77.45 billion, a 20.7% year-on-year increase, although it declined 10.1% quarter-on-quarter[3] - The company's gross gaming revenue (GGR) was HKD 9.5 billion, up 20.0% year-on-year, surpassing the industry growth rate of 12.5%[4][12] Market Share and Future Outlook - MGM China's market share in Q3 2025 was 15.5%, down 1.1 percentage points from Q2 2025 but up 0.7 percentage points from Q3 2024[6][14] - The company anticipates a visitor increase of 11% during the Golden Week holiday, with a projected 20% rise in gross gaming revenue[6][15] Risks - Potential risks include lower-than-expected macroeconomic growth, stricter gaming regulations in Macau, and increased competition in overseas gaming markets[7][16]

Group 1 - The gaming stocks continued to decline, with Sands China down 5.41% to HKD 19.05, Melco International Development down 4.05% to HKD 4.98, Wynn Macau down 3.65% to HKD 6.34, and MGM China down 3.16% to HKD 14.4 [1] - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's total gaming revenue (GGR) for the first five days of October reached MOP 5.5 billion, with an average daily revenue of MOP 1.1 billion, marking the best performance for the Golden Week in five years. However, this represents only a 3% year-on-year increase, which is below expectations [1] - UBS noted that Wynn Macau's market share significantly increased in September, rising by approximately 200 basis points month-on-month, contributing to a quarterly increase of 150 basis points in market share. The second-highest increase was observed in SJM, which saw a month-on-month increase of about 50 basis points, but a decline of 30 basis points in the third quarter [1] Group 2 - The visitor volume from October 1 to 5 remained flat, further dragging down GGR growth, as a typhoon caused a 25% drop in visitor numbers on October 5 [1] - Morgan Stanley expects GGR for October to grow by 11% to 13% year-on-year, reaching MOP 23 billion, which would be the highest in six years [1] - Compared to market expectations, the market shares of Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn were higher than anticipated, while MGM, Sands China, and SJM were below expectations [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive outlook for Galaxy Entertainment, indicating confidence in its long-term prospects with an interim dividend of HKD0.70 per share, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of 58% [5][12]. Core Insights - Galaxy Entertainment reported a net revenue of HKD12.04 billion for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.5% [2][7]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 reached HKD3.57 billion, up 12.4% year-on-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.6%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [4][11]. - The company's market share increased to 20.2% in Q2 2025, up from 19.5% in Q1 2025, indicating a strengthening position in the market [5][12]. Revenue Breakdown - In Q2 2025, gaming revenue increased by 12.3% year-on-year, contributing HKD9.66 billion, while non-gaming revenue reached HKD1.61 billion, up 8.4% year-on-year [2][8]. - The total betting amount for the company reached HKD119.45 billion, an increase of 18.4% year-on-year, with VIP betting accounting for 46.7% of the total [3][9]. Performance Metrics - The company's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for Q2 2025 was HKD12.01 billion, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year increase, which outpaced the industry growth rate of 8.3% [10]. - The adjusted EBITDA for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Macau was HKD3.33 billion and HKD0.3 billion respectively, with respective adjusted EBITDA margins of 33.3% and 25.9% [4][11].