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伊利股份(600887):业绩改善,盈利增强
EBSCN· 2025-09-02 10:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown performance improvement with enhanced profitability, as evidenced by a 3.37% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 619.33 billion yuan, despite a 4.39% decline in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum in the second half of 2025, driven by stable sales in liquid milk and strong performance in other product categories [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 619.33 billion yuan, with a net profit of 72.00 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 70.16 billion yuan, marking a 31.78% increase year-on-year [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 289.15 billion yuan, a 5.77% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 23.26 billion yuan, reflecting a 44.65% increase year-on-year [1] Product Performance - Liquid milk revenue in H1 2025 was 361.26 billion yuan, a slight decline of 2.06% year-on-year, while low-temperature fresh milk revenue grew over 20% [1] - The milk powder and dairy products segment saw a revenue increase of 14.26% in H1 2025, with the company achieving the highest market share in infant formula [1] - The ice cream segment reported a revenue of 82.29 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 12.39% increase year-on-year, with strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [1] Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 36.21%, benefiting from a decline in raw milk prices [2] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 11.63%, showing a year-on-year improvement [2] - The company has managed to reduce sales expenses, leading to a decrease in the sales expense ratio [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report has adjusted the net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 113.95 billion yuan, 122.71 billion yuan, and 132.55 billion yuan respectively, reflecting an increase of 5.4%, 5.3%, and 1.7% compared to previous estimates [3] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is projected at 1.80 yuan, 1.94 yuan, and 2.10 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16, 15, and 13 times [3]