原油供需局面
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油价调整通知
中国能源报· 2025-10-12 11:42
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming adjustment of oil prices in October, indicating a shift from previous stability to a decrease in prices due to recent market conditions and geopolitical factors [1][4]. Price Adjustment Summary - The first oil price adjustment for October is set for October 13, with a projected decrease of 75 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel, translating to a reduction of approximately 0.07 yuan per liter [1]. - As of October 11, the average price of reference crude oil was 64.30 USD per barrel, with a change rate of -1.37% [1]. - The international oil prices experienced significant drops on October 10, with New York crude futures falling by 5.32% to 58.24 USD per barrel, marking a five-month low, and Brent crude futures dropping by 4.8% to 62.09 USD per barrel [1][4]. Market Influences - The decline in oil prices is attributed to several factors, including threats from the U.S. President to raise tariffs, ongoing increases in supply from OPEC, and a de-escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East following a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas [4]. - Domestic oil prices have not been adjusted since August 26, with two previous adjustments being suspended, leading to a total of six increases, seven decreases, and six suspensions in price changes this year [4].
油价连续2次搁浅调整,明天或将迎来下调
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-12 07:39
Core Viewpoint - The oil prices are set to decrease in October following a significant drop in international oil prices, marking a shift from previous stability in September [1][4]. Group 1: Oil Price Trends - On October 10, international oil prices experienced a sharp decline, with New York crude futures falling by 5.32% to $58.24 per barrel, the lowest in five months, and Brent crude futures dropping by 4.8% to $62.09 per barrel [1][4]. - Year-to-date, New York crude futures have decreased by 18.8%, while Brent crude futures have fallen by 16.81% [1][4]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Oil Prices - The decline in oil prices is attributed to several factors, including threats from the U.S. President to significantly increase tariffs, raising concerns about worsening international trade tensions [4]. - Additionally, OPEC has been increasing supply to the market, altering the supply-demand dynamics [4]. - A significant geopolitical shift in the Middle East, particularly the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, is expected to reduce geopolitical risk premiums and improve oil supply expectations [4]. Group 3: Domestic Oil Price Adjustments - Since the last domestic oil price adjustment on August 26, there have been no changes for over a month, with two adjustments being shelved during this period [4]. - Domestic oil prices have experienced "six increases, seven decreases, and six suspensions" this year, resulting in a net effect where the price of 92-octane gasoline in Zhejiang Province has decreased by 0.32 yuan per liter [4].