后稀缺时代
Search documents
地缘变局与后稀缺时代:2025年第三届中资海外基金高峰论坛共议资本新使命
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 06:56
第一场圆桌论坛的嘉宾恒生投资-ETF销售主管凌子敬,前沿资产(香港)有限公司-COO、Head of Marketing Cindy Li ,时和家办-董事长、总裁陈东,大道资本(香港)-创始人、董事会主席李攀,中信证 券国际-基金服务董事秦亮亮,以及主持人Ogier-Partner David Lin,围绕《范式转移:重构地缘政治雷达 下的全球资本配置新算法》进行了讨论和分享。近年,港股通作为内地与香港资本市场的关键纽带成效 显著,截至今年 11 月累计净流入超 5.3 万亿港元。港股 ETF 是重要增长引擎,规模从年初 2900 亿港元 扩张至 7100 亿港元,增幅达 2.4 倍。受益于 2024 年纳入门槛降低、免征印花税等优势,23 只港股通 ETF 占香港 ETF 市场超 70% 份额,成为机构与量化资金的核心配置工具。 与此同时,华人资本出海步入新阶段,从代工出口转向品牌化运营,离岸资产配置需求激增。香港凭借 法治环境与市场深度,过去三年新增200余家单一家族办公室,在稳健收益、行业修复及新经济布局上 凸显优势。 来自前沿资产的Cindy Li在会上表示:"量化基金,尤其是量化多头,确实会成为当 ...
当《黑镜》预言成真:AI接管世界后,人类还剩什么?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-19 23:15
Group 1 - The article discusses the resurgence of science fiction in popular culture, highlighting the return of series like "Black Mirror" and "Love, Death & Robots," which reflect the increasing relevance of sci-fi themes in contemporary society [1][15] - It emphasizes the concept of a technological singularity, where advancements in AI and other technologies could lead to a utopian society characterized by abundance and reduced need for work [3][10] - The article references Nick Bostrom's book "Deep Utopia," which explores three progressive future scenarios: post-scarcity, post-work, and post-instrumental eras, each representing different stages of societal evolution in response to technological advancements [4][10] Group 2 - The post-scarcity era is described as a time of material abundance where basic needs are easily met, drawing parallels to the myth of Cockaigne, a utopian land of plenty [6][8] - The post-work era envisions a future where automation eliminates the need for human labor, raising questions about the meaning of work and how society will adapt to reduced employment opportunities [10][11] - The post-instrumental era suggests a world where human effort is no longer required to achieve desires, leading to a potential shift in societal values and the concept of personal achievement [12][13] Group 3 - The article raises critical questions about the implications of advanced technology on human purpose and meaning, particularly in a future where work may no longer be necessary [17][19] - It highlights the need for society to redefine concepts of work and learning in light of these technological advancements, suggesting a potential shift towards leisure and community engagement [11][14] - Bostrom's work is positioned as a philosophical exploration of these themes, encouraging readers to consider the future of humanity in a world dominated by superintelligent AI [15][17]
如何应对无聊,是后稀缺时代的最大挑战
腾讯研究院· 2025-05-14 08:35
Core Viewpoint - The book "Deep Utopia: Life and Meaning in a Solved World" by Nick Bostrom explores the potential for an ideal society in the context of rapid technological advancement, questioning how such a society could be achieved and what it would mean for humanity [3][4][14]. Summary by Sections Author Background - Nick Bostrom, born in 1973 in Sweden, has a diverse academic background including degrees in philosophy, physics, and computational neuroscience, and has focused on existential risks and the future of humanity [1][2]. Concept of Negative Entropy - Bostrom's engagement with "Extropianism" suggests that technology could eventually allow for infinite human life, leading to significant political and economic changes [2]. Shift in Focus - Unlike his previous work on the dangers of superintelligent AI, "Deep Utopia" revives discussions on ideal societies, drawing from historical philosophical traditions [3][4]. Technological Progress and Society - Bostrom acknowledges that technological advancements do not guarantee a better society, citing historical examples where progress led to increased oppression [3][4]. Imagining a Solved World - The book hypothesizes a world where technological issues are resolved, exploring the implications and desirability of such a scenario [4][5]. Structure of the Book - The narrative is structured around a series of lectures by Bostrom, interspersed with discussions from his audience and fictional correspondence, creating a philosophical dialogue [5][13]. Key Themes Discussed 1. The source of progress in a society with surplus wealth [5]. 2. The balance between leisure and productivity in a future society [5]. 3. The significance of meaningful living [5]. 4. Addressing boredom in a leisure-rich society [5]. Paradox of Equality and Progress - Bostrom identifies a paradox where a society that achieves equality may lose the motivation for progress, leading to a potential decline in innovation [6][7]. New Forms of Consumption - He proposes three potential new consumption forms to stimulate progress: 1. New products unaffected by diminishing returns [8]. 2. Public projects that absorb social capital [8]. 3. Status competition in an equal society [8]. Addressing Deep Redundancy - Bostrom outlines five mechanisms to counteract the loss of purpose in a post-work society, including pleasure, quality of experience, self-justifying activities, artificial purposes, and cultural engagement [9][10][11]. The Challenge of Boredom - The book emphasizes the need to create engaging experiences to combat boredom, which is seen as a significant challenge in a post-scarcity society [11][12]. Philosophical Implications - The discussions in the book reflect on the nature of happiness and fulfillment, suggesting that true enjoyment comes from deeper engagement with experiences [12][14]. Conclusion - Bostrom's work serves as a reflection on the potential paths humanity may take in the face of technological advancement, emphasizing the importance of choice and the ongoing nature of these discussions [14][15].