美国《华尔街日报》24日报道称，泽连斯基的"魅力攻势"扭转了特朗普对乌怀疑。在俄在战场上持续未能取得重大进展、俄经济放缓以及泽连斯 基拉拢特朗普的背景下，特朗普的言辞发生了急剧转变。报道称，美国官员表示，特朗普发表声明的部分原因是为了向普京施压，要求其达成协 议，因为自上个月特朗普和普京在阿拉斯加会晤以来，双方在结束战争方面没有取得任何实质性进展。乌应该将特朗普的言论视为"一种战术举 措"。这些言论并非特朗普有意将战争转向对乌有利的方向，而是对普京的警告，目前而言这只是说辞，还远远不够。 据塔斯社25日报道，俄总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫当天表示，尽管美国方面最近发表了各种言论，但俄方认为这与其宣称的解决俄乌冲突的愿望并不 矛盾，美方仍保留通过和平方式解决乌克兰局势的政治意愿。俄方支持这些努力，仍对启动和平谈判持开放态度。 佩斯科夫表示，特朗普的表态受到了泽连斯基所介绍情况的影响。但泽连斯基所述内容与俄方对目前形势的理解完全相反。乌越是拒绝谈判，其 在谈判中的地位将越恶化。俄方认为，关于乌延续冲突就能夺回某些地区的论调"是错误的"。相较于漂亮的言辞，战场上的形势更具说服力。前 线态势表明，那些拒绝现在进行谈判的人，" ...

报道援引示威者玛丽·阿特万的话称，她从德国汉堡赶来参加集会，呼吁德国"彻底停止向以色列运送武 器"。她说，不禁止这些武器销售就等于支持"加沙种族灭绝"。 报道补充说，BSW主席莎拉·瓦根克内希特还在集会上提及俄乌战争，要求柏林致力于"和平谈判——无 论在中东还是乌克兰"。 【环球网报道 记者 李梓瑜】据《以色列时报》援引法新社报道，超万名示威者当地时间13日在德国柏 林标志性建筑勃兰登堡门前聚集，举行支持巴勒斯坦集会，呼吁结束"加沙种族灭绝"并"彻底停止"向以 色列运送武器。 报道称，警方统计约有1.2万人参加此次集会，谴责以色列在加沙地带对巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵抗运动（哈 马斯）发动的战争。但发起此次示威活动的左翼政党莎拉·瓦根克内希特联盟（简称BSW）估计，集会 参与人数达到2万人，成为德国近几个月来规模最大的支持巴勒斯坦集会之一。 8月8日，以色列总理办公室说，以安全内阁已批准总理内塔尼亚胡关于"击败哈马斯"的计划，以军准备 接管加沙城。德国总理默茨同日表示，德国暂停向以色列出口任何可能用于加沙地带的军事装备。针对 以政府决定进一步升级在加沙地带的军事行动，默茨表示，德国政府呼吁以色列政府不要采取相关行 动。 ...

美国副总统万斯20日受访时称，欧洲国家须为乌安全保障承担"最大份额""发挥主导作用"，美国不应在乌安全保障方面承担重任。美国"在弄清楚 需要采取哪些必要措施结束战争前，不会做出任何承诺"。他还表示，目前乌"想要安全保障"，俄"想要一定数量领土"，相关方面"正在努力"，但 尚未敲定俄乌谈判的所有细节。 据塔斯社报道，俄外长拉夫罗夫20日表示，在没有俄方参与的情况下讨论安全保障问题是"空想"，是一条"死胡同"。俄方愿就解决乌克兰问题展 开任何形式谈判，只要谈判是"真诚"的。他称，高层会晤须在所有前期阶段都"经过最谨慎的准备"后才能举行。只有这样，才不会导致局势恶 化，而是能够真正解决问题。俄安全会议副主席梅德韦杰夫20日在社交媒体上称，俄方已明确表示，绝不接受向乌派驻任何以所谓"维和部队"为 名的北约部队，俄不会接受这样的"安全保障"。 近期，普京同泽连斯基的会晤地点等也引发关注。路透社21日称，匈牙利外长西雅尔多表示，匈牙利已准备好成为俄乌和平谈判的举办地，并为 此创造公平安全的适宜条件。同时，瑞士、奥地利、白俄罗斯方面均表示，愿组织两人的会晤。对于会晤地点，泽连斯基表示，应在"中立"的欧 洲国家举行，并排除了 ...

Group 1 - Central and Eastern European assets lead emerging markets following a meeting between US President Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and European leaders, indicating progress in peace negotiations [1] - The Hungarian Forint and Polish Zloty saw significant appreciation, with the Forint reaching an 11-month high against the Euro [1] - Ukrainian dollar bonds are leading the emerging market gains, with the price of Ukraine's zero-coupon dollar bonds maturing in 2036 rising for the fifth consecutive day, reaching the highest level since late March [1][2] Group 2 - Ferrexpo, a high-grade iron ore exporter listed in London, saw its stock price increase by over 10% following the Washington meeting [4] - Grupa Pracuj, a Polish recruitment company, experienced a stock price rise of over 3% in Warsaw [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses the historical context of Alaska's sale from Russia to the United States, highlighting the geopolitical motivations behind the transaction and its implications for current U.S.-Russia relations [4][5][6]. - The upcoming summit between Trump and Putin in Alaska is framed as a significant moment that could reflect on past territorial negotiations and the ongoing Ukraine conflict [10][12][29]. - The article suggests that the summit may symbolize a potential shift in power dynamics, akin to historical events like the Munich Agreement and the Yalta Conference, with concerns about the exclusion of Ukraine from negotiations [12][76]. Group 2 - The article emphasizes the contrasting positions of Trump and Zelensky, with Trump seeking to leverage the summit for political gain while Zelensky remains firm on territorial integrity [48][49][50]. - It outlines the strategic calculations of both the U.S. and Russia, with Trump aiming to withdraw from the Ukraine conflict to focus on China, while Putin seeks to assert Russia's influence and secure territorial claims [28][36][44]. - The article highlights the role of European nations in the conflict, expressing concerns about their diminishing influence and the potential for a U.S.-Russia agreement that could undermine Ukraine's sovereignty [62][64][66]. Group 3 - The article notes that the geopolitical landscape is shifting, with the U.S. increasingly prioritizing its interests in the Indo-Pacific region over European conflicts, which could lead to a reallocation of resources [28][30]. - It discusses the implications of the summit for European security, suggesting that European nations may need to reassess their strategies in light of potential U.S. disengagement from the Ukraine crisis [63][70]. - The article concludes that the outcome of the Alaska summit could redefine the future of U.S.-Russia relations and the broader geopolitical landscape, with significant consequences for Ukraine and Europe [75][81].

Core Viewpoint - The likelihood of an immediate ceasefire consensus between Russia and the U.S. is low due to significant differences in their core positions, although conditions for serious peace negotiations have become more favorable compared to 6-12 months ago [1][5][7]. Group 1: Meeting Context - The upcoming one-on-one meeting between Presidents Putin and Trump in Anchorage, Alaska, is the first face-to-face encounter since June 2021, with expectations of discussing the Ukraine crisis and potential long-term solutions [3]. - Trump has expressed a belief that an agreement could be reached, estimating a 25% chance of failure in the meeting [3][4]. - The U.S. has lowered expectations ahead of the meeting, indicating a more cautious approach [4]. Group 2: Negotiation Dynamics - There is a fundamental divide in core positions between the two sides, making breakthroughs unlikely [7]. - The U.S. has not yet exerted sufficient pressure to change the situation significantly, despite a recent shift in its stance towards Russia [10]. - Russia's official comments remain limited and vague, with Putin viewing the meeting as an opportunity to achieve multiple objectives, including economic ties [11]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Negotiations - Three key factors have shifted to create a more favorable environment for negotiations: enhanced European defense capabilities and U.S. support, changing public opinion in both Ukraine and Russia favoring negotiations, and challenges facing the Russian economy [15][16][17]. - Despite these favorable conditions, the ongoing battlefield situation remains a critical constraint, with Russia maintaining military initiative [18][19]. Group 4: Possible Outcomes - The report outlines four potential scenarios for the meeting, with the most likely being limited outcomes that pave the way for future discussions, such as a ceasefire on long-range strikes [21]. - Other scenarios include failure leading to increased U.S. sanctions or a negative outcome where agreements bypass Kyiv, though the latter is deemed unlikely [22]. - The nature of any agreement will be more impactful than whether an agreement is reached, with unfavorable terms for Ukraine potentially leading to long-term negative effects on Ukrainian assets [22].

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming meeting between Russian President Putin and US President Trump on March 15 in Anchorage, Alaska, is expected to address the Ukraine ceasefire and long-term solutions to the Ukraine crisis, as well as the potential for improving US-Russia relations [1] Group 1: Meeting Expectations - The meeting is the first face-to-face encounter between the two leaders since June 2021, with expectations being lowered by the US side prior to the meeting [1][3] - Trump estimates a 25% risk of failure in reaching an agreement during the meeting, indicating a cautious approach [1] Group 2: Divergent Positions - There is a significant gap in core positions between the US and Russia, making breakthrough progress unlikely [2] - Trump has assured European allies that he will not negotiate territorial issues with Putin alone, despite previously suggesting "land swaps," indicating potential shifts in his stance [3] Group 3: Current Environment for Negotiations - Although immediate breakthroughs seem unlikely, conditions for serious negotiations have improved compared to 6-12 months ago [6] - Key factors contributing to this improved environment include enhanced European defense capabilities and increased US support, as well as changing public opinion in both Ukraine and Russia favoring negotiations [7][8] Group 4: Economic Challenges for Russia - Russia's economic situation is deteriorating, with a projected sharp slowdown in 2025 and a rising fiscal deficit, which may hinder its ability to sustain military spending [9] - Despite these challenges, the battlefield situation remains critical, with Russia maintaining an advantage in military operations [9][10] Group 5: Possible Outcomes of the Meeting - Four potential scenarios for the meeting are outlined, with the most likely being limited outcomes that pave the way for future talks, such as a ceasefire on long-range strikes [11] - The nature of any agreement reached will be more significant than whether an agreement is reached at all, as a perceived unfavorable deal for Ukraine could have long-term negative impacts on Ukrainian assets [11]

Group 1 - Ukrainian President Zelensky communicated with Turkish President Erdogan regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation and peace negotiations, expressing gratitude for Turkey's support of Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity [1] - Erdogan emphasized that any negotiations excluding Ukraine would not lead to lasting peace, while Zelensky stated Ukraine is willing to meet in any format to end the violence and war [1] - Turkey is prepared to host a summit involving the leaders of Ukraine, the United States, Russia, and Turkey [1] Group 2 - The discussion included preparations for an important agenda for the upcoming high-level United Nations General Assembly meeting, with a consensus on Turkey's participation [1]

美国总统特朗普8日宣布将于15日与俄罗斯总统普京在美国阿拉斯加州会晤，讨论乌克兰危机。据法新社 报道，欧洲多国领导人当地时间10日就此发表联合声明。 报道称，声明由 英国首相斯塔默、 法国总统马克龙、意大利总理梅洛尼、德国总理默茨、波兰总理图斯克、 芬兰总统斯图布以及欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩联合签署。声明表示，欢迎美国总统特朗普为制止俄乌冲突所作 的努力。 声明指出，唯有积极外交斡旋、继续支持乌克兰并施压俄罗斯，才有可能实现乌克兰和平与安全。相关欧洲国 家将通过"志愿联盟"继续给予乌克兰"实质性军事和财政支持"，并维持和实施针对俄罗斯的限制性措施。 责编：李丹 校对： 刘榕枝 版权声明 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体 法律责任的权利。 声明强调，没有乌克兰的参与，就无法决定乌克兰的和平之路。只有在停火或敌对行动减少的前提下，才有可 能开展有意义的谈判。 泽连斯基强调乌克兰将坚守立场。他表示，必须以一个有尊严的和平来结束俄乌冲突，这个和平必须建立在清 晰、可靠的安全架构基础上，"乌克兰的合作伙伴已准备好在这方面提供帮助"。 当地时间9日，俄罗斯总统 ...

Group 1 - The core discussion between Ukraine's President Zelensky and UK Prime Minister Starmer focused on enhancing Ukraine's defense capabilities, expanding sanctions against Russia, and promoting peace negotiations [1] - There is an urgent emphasis on increasing the production of drones, particularly in the area of interception drones, with both leaders expressing the need to find specific solutions for funding requirements [1] - The conversation also included discussions on the sanctions imposed on Russia, indicating a continued commitment to economic pressure on the country [1]