每经编辑｜毕陆名 2日亚太早盘，美股股指期货扩大跌幅，其中纳指期货跌幅一度扩大至1%。 | 周一盘初，现货白银延续跌势，日内跌幅一度扩大至10%；现货黄金日内下跌3.33%。截至发稿，现货白银跌超3%；现货黄金日内下跌1.77%。 | | --- | | 》伦敦银 (现货白银) CFD(XAG) | | | | 添加自选 在APP中查看 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 81.83 ↓ - 3.08% | | | 最新价: 81.83 | | 开盘价: 80.56 | | | | | | 结算价: -- | | 持仓量: 0 | | | 2026-02-02 07:40:00 | | | 买 价: 81.83 | | 卖 价: 82.24 | | | 分时 年线 日K 周K | 月K | 年K | રસ્ત્રે 15સ્ટે | 30分 | ୧୦୯ | LT | | 07:40 价 81.83 均 80.11 幅 -3.08% | | | | | | | | 84.792 | | | | | | 0.43% | | 83.465 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the volatility in the financial markets, with a strong performance of the US dollar against the Japanese yen and a general decline in Asian stock index futures, indicating fragile market sentiment ahead of a week filled with significant economic events [1] Market Reactions - The US dollar experienced its largest single-day increase since May of the previous year, driven by a sharp decline in precious metals and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman [1] - Gold prices fell by 3.5% and silver prices dropped nearly 9%, while WTI crude oil prices decreased by 4%, reflecting investor concerns [1] Upcoming Economic Events - The week ahead is expected to be critical, with key events including interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, the US non-farm payroll report, and numerous corporate earnings reports [1]

Group 1 - The S&P 500 index has reached a historical record, with futures showing stability as traders prepare to close a strong year in 2025 [1] - The S&P 500 index futures rose slightly, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also increased, and the Nasdaq 100 index futures fluctuated near the flatline [1] - Silver prices have surged, breaking above $80 per ounce and reaching record highs above $83, marking a significant increase of over 185% this year, potentially the best annual performance since 1979 [1] Group 2 - Wall Street is experiencing a "Santa Claus rally" period, traditionally known for strong market gains, with the S&P 500 index averaging over 1% increase during the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year since 1950 [2] - This week’s economic data calendar is relatively light, but investors will gain insights into the Federal Reserve's policy direction for 2026 with the release of the December monetary policy meeting minutes [2]

Market Overview - US stock index futures are slightly lower, while Asian stock markets show mixed performance, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index leading the gains in Asia [1][5] - Japan's cabinet approved a record defense budget exceeding 9 trillion yen (approximately 58 billion USD), contributing to a 0.7% increase in the Nikkei 225 index, closing at 50,750.39 points [6] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged to historical highs, with gold rising by 0.9% to 4,541.80 USD per ounce and silver increasing by 4.5% to 74.90 USD per ounce, briefly surpassing the 75 USD mark [1][5] - The rise in gold prices is partly attributed to market concerns over the prolonged US federal government shutdown and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which weakened the dollar against other major currencies [1][5] Currency Exchange - The USD/JPY exchange rate increased from 155.83 to 156.25 yen, while the EUR/USD rate slightly declined from 1.1785 to 1.1777 USD [6] Stock Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1%, closing at 3,963.68 points, while the Korean Composite Stock Price Index increased by 0.5% to 4,129.68 points, and the Taiwan Weighted Index surged by 0.7% [3][6] - Thai and Indian stock markets experienced declines [3] Commodity and Cryptocurrency - Crude oil futures saw a slight increase, with WTI rising by 18 cents to 58.53 USD per barrel and Brent up by 15 cents to 61.95 USD per barrel [4][6] - Bitcoin price increased by 2.2%, reaching 89,705 USD [4][6]

Market Overview - US stock index futures opened higher, with Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.72%, Dow Jones futures up 0.4%, and S&P 500 futures up 0.55% [2][3] - Gold and silver prices saw a notable increase in the spot market, with gold at $4074.9 per ounce (up 0.25%) and silver at $50.251 per ounce (up 0.52%) [3][4] Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - Expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have surged, with a 69.4% probability of a 25 basis point cut in December, up from below 40% previously [4] Geopolitical Developments - Significant progress was reported in US-Ukrainian talks in Geneva, with Ukrainian President Zelensky stating that substantial dialogue has taken place [5][6] - The situation in the Middle East escalated with the death of a senior Hezbollah leader in an Israeli airstrike, marking a significant shift in military actions [10][11] Peace Negotiations and Plans - A modified peace plan from European nations was presented, opposing US proposals that limit Ukraine's military capabilities and territorial concessions [7] - German Chancellor Merz criticized the financial aspects of the US's new 28-point plan as "unacceptable," particularly regarding the use of frozen Russian assets [8][9]

Core Insights - Market sentiment has slightly eased, leading to fluctuations across various financial instruments [1] Group 1: Market Movements - Spot gold experienced significant volatility, fluctuating nearly $40 and briefly falling below $4000 per ounce [1] - NY copper futures rose by over 2% [1] - WTI and Brent crude oil prices saw increases approaching 3% [1] - U.S. stock index futures rebounded, with Nasdaq futures rising by over 1% [1] - Bitcoin surged nearly $1000 in a short time frame [1] - Safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen weakened, while the U.S. dollar strengthened [1]

Group 1 - US stock index futures were nearly flat on Monday morning, following a week of gains driven by expectations of interest rate cuts [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by approximately 13 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures remained unchanged [2] - Small-cap stocks performed notably well last week, with gains exceeding 3% as investors bet on an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve [2] Group 2 - Major retailers, including Home Depot, Lowe's, Walmart, and Target, are set to release earnings reports this week as the earnings season approaches its end [3] - Over 92% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings this quarter exceeded Wall Street expectations, with nearly 82% surpassing forecasts [3]

Group 1 - U.S. stock index futures were nearly flat on Monday morning, following a week of gains driven by expectations of interest rate cuts [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by approximately 13 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures remained unchanged [2] - The three major stock indices have recorded gains for the second consecutive week, with the Dow up 1.7%, S&P 500 up 0.9%, and Nasdaq up 0.8% [2] Group 2 - Small-cap stocks performed notably well last week, with gains exceeding 3% as investors bet on an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve [2] - The S&P 500 equal-weighted consumer discretionary index reached an all-time high, suggesting that economic concerns related to tariffs may have been overstated [2] - Over 92% of S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings this quarter exceeded Wall Street expectations, with nearly 82% surpassing forecasts [3]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. stock index futures have increased their gains to intraday highs as Treasury Secretary Yellen indicates a de-escalation in trade tensions [1] Group 1 - U.S. stock index futures are showing significant upward movement, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] - Treasury Secretary Yellen's comments on easing trade tensions are contributing to the bullish outlook in the market [1]

Group 1 - Israel's Defense Minister announced that Israel has launched a preemptive strike against Iran, expecting missile and drone attacks in response [1][4][5] - The Israeli military confirmed that it targeted dozens of facilities related to Iran's nuclear program, and the operation is named "Lion's Strength" [2][5][7] - Israel's Prime Minister stated that the military actions against Iran will continue for several days [3] Group 2 - Following the strikes, explosions were reported in Tehran and several western provinces of Iran [2] - The Israeli government declared a nationwide state of emergency due to the military actions against Iran [8] - The U.S. Secretary of State indicated that the U.S. is not participating in Israel's actions and is focused on protecting American forces in the region [6] Group 3 - Financial markets reacted negatively, with U.S. stock index futures dropping significantly: Nasdaq futures down 1.54%, S&P 500 futures down 1.36%, and Dow futures down 1.2% [12][13] - Asian markets also declined, with the Nikkei 225 index falling over 1% and the Korean Composite Index down 0.83% [12][14] - Gold prices surged, reaching a peak of $3420 per ounce before settling at $3418.23, reflecting a nearly 1% increase [10][11][14]