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宝城期货原油早报-20250731
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 01:39
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The crude oil 2509 contract is expected to run strongly, with short - term and medium - term trends being volatile, and an intraday trend of being volatile and slightly strong [1][5] - Due to improved macro factors and enhanced geopolitical sentiment in the oil market, the domestic crude oil futures 2509 contract is expected to maintain a volatile and slightly strong trend on Thursday [5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Time - cycle Analysis - **Short - term**: The short - term trend of the crude oil 2509 contract is volatile [1] - **Medium - term**: The medium - term trend of the crude oil 2509 contract is volatile [1] - **Intraday**: The intraday trend of the crude oil 2509 contract is volatile and slightly strong [1][5] 3.2 Price and Market Performance - On Wednesday night, the domestic crude oil futures 2509 contract closed slightly up 1.66% to 532.5 yuan per barrel [5] 3.3 Driving Logic - **Macro Factors**: This week, China and the US held the third round of economic and trade talks in Sweden. According to the consensus of both sides, they will continue to promote the extension of the 24% part of the suspended reciprocal tariffs by the US and China's counter - measures as scheduled. The risk appetite of the commodity market has recovered under the improved macro factors [5] - **Geopolitical Factors**: US President Trump declared his disappointment with Russian President Putin and will shorten the deadline given to Putin, which has enhanced the geopolitical sentiment in the oil market [5]
宝城期货原油早报-20250730
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 01:44
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The domestic crude oil futures contract 2509 is expected to run strongly, with short - term, medium - term, and intraday trends being oscillatory, oscillatory, and oscillatory but bullish respectively [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Content Price Movement and View - The short - term, medium - term, and intraday trends of crude oil 2509 are oscillatory, oscillatory, and oscillatory but bullish respectively, with a reference view of bullish operation [1]. - On Tuesday night, the domestic crude oil futures 2509 contract closed up 2.49% to 527.5 yuan/barrel, and it is expected to maintain an oscillatory but bullish trend on Wednesday [5]. Core Logic - The macro - atmosphere is bullish, with the third round of Sino - US economic and trade talks in Sweden. According to the consensus, the 24% suspended reciprocal tariffs by the US and China's counter - measures will be extended as scheduled, improving the macro - factor and boosting the risk appetite in the commodity market [5]. - US President Trump's disappointment with Russian President Putin and shortening of the deadline for Putin have enhanced the geopolitical sentiment in the oil market [5].
宝城期货原油早报-20250729
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-29 02:24
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The report predicts that the domestic crude oil futures 2509 contract will maintain a volatile and slightly bullish trend. The geopolitical risks and improved macro - factors have led to a recovery in risk appetite in the commodity market, causing the oil price to jump. The domestic crude oil closed up 2.06% to 515.9 yuan/barrel on the night session of Monday this week, and it is expected to remain volatile and slightly bullish on Tuesday [1][5]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs A. Time - based Viewpoints - **Short - term**: The short - term view of crude oil 2509 is volatile [1]. - **Medium - term**: The medium - term view of crude oil 2509 is volatile, and the medium - term view of crude oil (SC) is also volatile [1][5]. - **Intraday**: The intraday view of crude oil 2509 is volatile and slightly bullish, and the intraday view of crude oil (SC) is also volatile and slightly bullish [1][5]. B. Core Logic - Geopolitical risks have emerged, and the geopolitical factor is that the US President Trump's remarks about being disappointed with Russian President Putin and shortening the deadline became the focus of the crude oil futures market, causing the oil price to jump [1][5]. - Macro - factors have improved. The US and Europe reached a trade agreement last weekend, and China and the US will hold an economic and trade meeting in Sweden at the end of this month, which led to a recovery in risk appetite in the commodity market [5].
宝城期货甲醇早报-20250724
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-24 01:35
Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2) Core View of the Report The report predicts that the domestic methanol futures 2509 contract may maintain a volatile and bullish trend on Thursday. In the context of improved macro - factors, the risk appetite in the commodity market has significantly increased. The continuous rebound of domestic coal futures prices offsets the weak supply - demand structure of methanol, leading to a volatile and bullish trend in domestic methanol futures on Wednesday night, with the futures price rising 1.60% to 2469 yuan/ton [5]. 3) Summary by Related Catalog Methanol Futures Outlook - Short - term view of methanol 2509: Volatile and bullish [1] - Medium - term view of methanol 2509: Volatile [1] - Intraday view of methanol: Volatile and bullish; medium - term view: Volatile; reference view: Bullish operation [5] Price and Driving Logic - On Wednesday night, domestic methanol futures maintained a volatile and bullish trend, with the futures price rising 1.60% to 2469 yuan/ton. The driving factors include improved macro - factors such as trade agreements between the US, Japan, Europe, and China's upcoming economic and trade meetings, and the continuous rebound of domestic coal futures prices [5].