近日，花旗、摩根大通等多家大行发布了对百威亚太（01876.HK）的研报分析，普遍预测其2025年全年业绩不及预期，主要原因为中国市场需求疲 软。 花旗预测，百威亚太2025年下半年在中国市场的业务前景不及预期，全年销售和核心净利润预计下调3%和10%，且年底销售情况会因农历新年时间 较迟受到更大影响，预计其2026年营收利润下行的趋势将继续。对此，花旗将百威亚太的目标价从12.4港元降至11.4港元。 摩根大通则将百威亚太目标价由8.5港元下调至7.9港元。 其上周发布研报预测，百威亚太2025年自然销售额将下降6.4%，中国区业务持续走弱，虽然增加了广告和营销投放，销量和利润方面仍然承压；韩 国市场基数高、增长有所放缓；印度市场的强劲增长未能推动集团表现。 作为亚太地区最大的啤酒公司，百威亚太旗下经营着百威、科罗娜、福佳白、哈尔滨啤酒等超50个品牌。以往，中国市场是其最重要的增长引擎，现 在情况变了。 水芙蓉/摄 百威亚太全年业绩将于2月12日正式披露，不过从券商给出的预测来看，"新帅"还未能改变公司的下行趋势。 2025年上半年，百威亚太在中国区的啤酒销量同比减少8.2%，净收入下降9.5%，每百升收入 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Brewery reported a decline in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, marking the first time since 2015 that both metrics have decreased simultaneously [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 8.839 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.24% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 865 million yuan, down 4.03% year-on-year [1] - Management expenses increased by 7.43% to 289 million yuan, contributing to the profit decline [1] Product Performance - Revenue from economic products (priced below 4 yuan) grew by 5.39% year-on-year, while revenue from mainstream products (priced between 4 and 8 yuan) fell by 0.92% [1] - The overall decline in main business revenue was attributed to the drop in mainstream product sales [1][2] Market Position - Chongqing Brewery's revenue ranking in the industry has dropped to fifth place, overtaken by Yanjing Beer, which achieved a revenue growth of 3.2% to 14.667 billion yuan [2] Legal Issues - The company is involved in a legal dispute with Chongqing Jiawei Brewery, resulting in a court ruling that requires Chongqing Brewery to pay 350 million yuan in damages [3] - The company has appealed the ruling, and the case is currently under review in a higher court [4] Strategic Moves - Chongqing Brewery plans to invest 600 million yuan in its subsidiary, Carlsberg Brewery (Foshan), to enhance its capital strength and improve its market competitiveness [4]