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春风动力(603129):系列点评十一:2025Q3业绩符合预期,经营韧性持续验证
Minsheng Securities· 2025-10-17 10:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience in its operations, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 5.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.6%, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 10.0% [2]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to the significant increase in two-wheeler exports and the rapid growth of the "Jike" electric motorcycle sales [2][3]. - The company is expected to continue its long-term growth trajectory, particularly in two-wheeler exports and high-end four-wheeler market positioning [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 14.9 billion yuan, up 30.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.42 billion yuan, up 30.9% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the net profit was 410 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.5% [2]. Two-Wheeler Segment - The sales of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles increased significantly, with a total of 142,000 units sold from January to August 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.6% [3]. - The "Jike" electric motorcycle brand saw sales of 193,000 units in the same period, marking a substantial year-on-year increase [3]. Four-Wheeler Segment - The company sold 122,000 all-terrain vehicles in the first eight months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the U.S. market and enhancing its high-end product offerings [4]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 19.91 billion yuan, 24.51 billion yuan, and 29.50 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 1.86 billion yuan, 2.38 billion yuan, and 2.93 billion yuan [5][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 12.19 yuan, 15.61 yuan, and 19.21 yuan for the same years [5][11].