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春风动力 | 月度销量表现亮眼 公升级车型亮相米兰展 【民生汽车崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-11-17 07:26
Event Overview - In October, the company's fuel motorcycle sales reached 17,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.3% but a month-on-month decrease of 1.2% [2] - The sales of the Jike electric motorcycle (excluding self-produced) were 28,000 units, showing significant year-on-year growth [2] - The export sales of four-wheeled beach vehicles reached 19,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 43.3% and a month-on-month increase of 14.3% [2] Two-Wheeled Vehicles: Export Sales and Jike Development - For large-displacement motorcycles (250cc+), October sales were 11,000 units, up 27.8% year-on-year but down 13.8% month-on-month; cumulative sales from January to October reached 166,000 units, a 35.6% year-on-year increase, with market share rising to 20.2% [3] - The new high-end 675cc three-cylinder model sold 55,000 units, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 510.5%, indicating ongoing product structure optimization [3] - The company's two-wheeled motorcycle exports saw a year-on-year recovery, with October sales of 11,000 units, up 50.1% year-on-year and 2.8% month-on-month; cumulative exports from January to October reached 116,000 units, a 20.6% year-on-year increase [3] - The Jike electric motorcycle sales for January to October reached 253,000 units, a substantial year-on-year increase, with the Jike brand expanding its channels domestically and internationally [3] Four-Wheeled Vehicles: U.S. Market Expansion and High-End Layout - In October, the export sales of four-wheeled beach vehicles were 19,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 43.3% and a month-on-month increase of 14.3%, nearing a historical monthly high; cumulative sales from January to October reached 151,000 units, a 9.7% year-on-year increase [4] - The company is maintaining a steady growth trend, with plans to continue leading the European market in market share and expanding in the U.S. market [4] - The core new product U10PRO has gained attention for its performance and quality upgrades, driving an increase in the average selling price (ASP) of four-wheeled vehicles [4] 2025 Milan Exhibition: New High-End Models - The new flagship ADV: 1000 MT-X features a 946cc twin-cylinder engine with a maximum power of 83kW (approximately 113 horsepower) and a maximum torque of 105N·m, equipped with advanced electronic configurations and comfort features [5] - The performance flagship prototype V4 SR-RR showcases the company's technical prowess, featuring a 997cc 90° V4 engine with a power output exceeding 157kW (approximately 210 horsepower) and advanced aerodynamic design [5] Long-Term Outlook - The company is optimistic about the export of two-wheeled vehicles and the high-end layout of four-wheeled vehicles, projecting revenues of 19.91 billion, 24.51 billion, and 29.50 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 1.86 billion, 2.38 billion, and 2.93 billion yuan respectively [6] - The expected EPS for the same period is 12.19, 15.61, and 19.21 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 20, 16, and 13 times [6] - The closing price on November 14, 2025, was 242.36 yuan per share [6] Financial Projections | Item/Year | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Revenue (Million Yuan) | 15,038 | 19,914 | 24,514 | 29,502 | | Growth Rate (%) | 24.2 | 32.4 | 23.1 | 20.3 | | Net Profit (Million Yuan) | 1,472 | 1,860 | 2,382 | 2,931 | | Growth Rate (%) | 46.1 | 26.4 | 28.0 | 23.0 | | EPS (Yuan) | 9.65 | 12.19 | 15.61 | 19.21 | | PE | 25 | 20 | 16 | 13 | | PB | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | [8]
春风动力(603129):系列点评十二:月度销量表现亮眼,公升级车型亮相米兰展-20251116
Minsheng Securities· 2025-11-16 14:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company shows strong sales performance in October, with fuel motorcycle sales reaching 17,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.3% [1]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in its electric motorcycle segment, with sales of 28,000 units in October, representing a year-on-year increase of 141% [2]. - The four-wheeled beach vehicle exports also performed well, with sales of 19,000 units in October, up 43.3% year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Two-Wheeled Vehicles - The company’s 250cc+ motorcycle sales in October reached 11,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 27.8% [2]. - Cumulative sales from January to October for 250cc+ motorcycles reached 166,000 units, up 35.6% year-on-year, with market share increasing to 20.2% [2]. - The company’s electric motorcycle brand, Jike, saw sales of 253,000 units from January to October, a significant year-on-year increase [2]. Four-Wheeled Vehicles - The company is focusing on the U.S. market, with October sales of four-wheeled beach vehicles reaching 19,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 43.3% [3]. - Cumulative sales from January to October for four-wheeled vehicles reached 151,000 units, up 9.7% year-on-year [3]. - The company is expected to maintain its leading market share in Europe and continue expanding in the U.S. market [3]. Product Launches - At the 2025 Milan Show, the company unveiled its new flagship ADV motorcycle, featuring a 946cc engine and advanced electronic configurations [4]. - The performance flagship prototype, V4 SR-RR, was also showcased, featuring a 997cc V4 engine with over 210 horsepower [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 19.91 billion, 24.51 billion, and 29.50 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 1.86 billion, 2.38 billion, and 2.93 billion yuan [5][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 12.19, 15.61, and 19.21 yuan for the same years [5][6].
春风动力(603129):系列点评十一:2025Q3业绩符合预期,经营韧性持续验证
Minsheng Securities· 2025-10-17 10:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience in its operations, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 5.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.6%, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 10.0% [2]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to the significant increase in two-wheeler exports and the rapid growth of the "Jike" electric motorcycle sales [2][3]. - The company is expected to continue its long-term growth trajectory, particularly in two-wheeler exports and high-end four-wheeler market positioning [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 14.9 billion yuan, up 30.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.42 billion yuan, up 30.9% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the net profit was 410 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 30.5% [2]. Two-Wheeler Segment - The sales of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles increased significantly, with a total of 142,000 units sold from January to August 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.6% [3]. - The "Jike" electric motorcycle brand saw sales of 193,000 units in the same period, marking a substantial year-on-year increase [3]. Four-Wheeler Segment - The company sold 122,000 all-terrain vehicles in the first eight months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the U.S. market and enhancing its high-end product offerings [4]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 19.91 billion yuan, 24.51 billion yuan, and 29.50 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 1.86 billion yuan, 2.38 billion yuan, and 2.93 billion yuan [5][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 12.19 yuan, 15.61 yuan, and 19.21 yuan for the same years [5][11].