Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chuanfeng Power, indicating a positive outlook on the company's growth potential in the all-terrain vehicle (ATV) and motorcycle sectors [6]. Core Insights - Chuanfeng Power has experienced significant growth since its listing in 2017, with a market capitalization increase of 13.3 times and an annualized return of 38% [3]. - The all-terrain vehicle market is approximately 950,000 to 1,000,000 units, with North America being the largest market, accounting for about 80% of global sales [3][69]. - The company has successfully expanded its product lines, including ATVs, motorcycles, and electric two-wheelers, with revenue contributions of 48%, 40%, and 3% respectively in 2024 [21]. - The report highlights the potential for Chuanfeng Power to double its all-terrain vehicle revenue by 2030, driven by new product launches and market expansion [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Chuanfeng Power has evolved from a parts manufacturer to a leading player in the ATV and motorcycle markets, with significant milestones including entering the ATV market in 2005 and launching its electric motorcycle brand ZEEHO in 2020 [11]. Stock Price Review - The stock price of Chuanfeng Power has been influenced by product cycles, external tariffs, shipping costs, and exchange rate fluctuations, with long-term growth driven by business expansion and product cycles [3][31]. All-Terrain Vehicles - The all-terrain vehicle segment has seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32% from 2019 to 2024, with revenue increasing from 1.83 billion to 7.21 billion yuan [3]. - Chuanfeng Power's market share in the U.S. increased from 5.8% in 2020 to 17.6% in 2022, capitalizing on supply shortages faced by competitors during the pandemic [3]. Motorcycles - The motorcycle segment has also shown robust growth, with revenue rising from 1.15 billion to 6.04 billion yuan from 2019 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 39% [5]. - The domestic market for recreational motorcycles has expanded significantly, with sales increasing from 140,000 units in 2020 to 400,000 units in 2024 [5]. ZEEHO Brand - The ZEEHO brand is projected to achieve sales of 600,000 to 700,000 units by 2025, with significant growth potential similar to that of other successful electric motorcycle brands [6]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report anticipates continued growth across all three business segments (ATVs, motorcycles, and ZEEHO), suggesting that Chuanfeng Power should command a higher valuation due to its leading market position [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the motorcycle industry [1] Core Insights - The motorcycle export market remains robust, with a year-on-year growth of 25% in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong demand for motorcycles [9][15] - The overall motorcycle sales in the first half of 2025 reached 8.317 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19% [15] - The report highlights significant growth in the sales of motorcycles with engine displacement greater than 250cc, which saw a 41% increase year-on-year [15] Industry Data Update - Total motorcycle sales (domestic and export) for January to June 2025: 8.317 million units, up 19% year-on-year - Domestic sales: 2.226 million units, down 3.5% year-on-year - Export sales: 6.091 million units, up 25% year-on-year [15][16] - Breakdown of sales by engine displacement: - Sales of motorcycles with 150cc < displacement ≤ 250cc: 970,000 units, up 13% year-on-year - Sales of motorcycles with displacement > 250cc: 502,000 units, up 41% year-on-year [15][16] Company Data Update Chuanfeng Power - Total sales for January to June 2025: 143,000 units, up 10% year-on-year - Sales of motorcycles with 150cc < displacement ≤ 250cc: 25,300 units, down 49% year-on-year - Sales of motorcycles with displacement > 250cc: 108,400 units, up 45% year-on-year [25] Qianjiang Motorcycle - Total sales for January to June 2025: 202,000 units, down 10% year-on-year - Sales of motorcycles with 150cc < displacement ≤ 250cc: 33,000 units, up 12% year-on-year - Sales of motorcycles with displacement > 250cc: 70,000 units, down 4% year-on-year [34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the motorcycle industry [1] Core Insights - The motorcycle export volume in May 2025 reached 1.59 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 24.8% [9] - The export of motorcycles with displacement greater than 250cc saw a significant year-on-year growth of 33.4% [9] - Major export regions include Latin America (562,000 units), Africa (489,000 units), and Asia (371,000 units) [15] - The overall export growth rate for motorcycles has consistently exceeded 24% each month from January to May 2025 [17] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The motorcycle industry has shown a strong performance relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, with a 12-month return of 23.2% compared to 9.8% for the index [4] Export Analysis - In May 2025, motorcycle exports to Africa and Latin America continued to maintain high growth rates, with Africa showing an impressive year-on-year increase of 82.6% [9][15] - The export of motorcycles with displacement less than or equal to 250cc totaled 1.51 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.4% [9] Regional Performance - The top export destinations for Chinese motorcycles in May 2025 were Latin America, Africa, and Asia, with respective export volumes of 562,000, 489,000, and 371,000 units [15] - The year-on-year growth rates for exports to various regions were as follows: Latin America (3.0%), Africa (82.6%), Asia (20.3%), and Europe (18.9%) [9][15] Displacement Segmentation - The export of motorcycles with displacement less than or equal to 50cc increased by 8.8%, while those in the 50-100cc range surged by 136.9% [16] - The segment of motorcycles with displacement greater than 250cc has shown robust growth, particularly in the 500-800cc category, which grew by 97.8% [16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the motorcycle industry [1] Core Insights - The motorcycle export market remains robust, with a year-on-year growth of 27% in the first five months of 2025, indicating a strong demand for motorcycles [10][16] - The overall motorcycle sales from January to May 2025 reached 6.822 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21% [16] - The report highlights significant growth in the sales of motorcycles with engine displacement greater than 250cc, which saw a 50% increase year-on-year [16] Industry Data Update - **Overall Sales**: In the first five months of 2025, total motorcycle sales (domestic and export) were 6.822 million units, with domestic sales at 1.846 million units (down 1.3% year-on-year) and exports at 4.976 million units (up 27% year-on-year) [16][17] - **Sales by Displacement**: - Motorcycles with displacement between 150cc and 250cc sold 800,000 units (up 17% year-on-year) - Motorcycles with displacement greater than 250cc sold 399,000 units (up 50% year-on-year) [16][17] Company Data Update - **Chunfeng Power**: - Total sales of fuel motorcycles reached 118,200 units (up 23% year-on-year) in the first five months of 2025, with electric motorcycle sales skyrocketing to 93,000 units (up 2000% year-on-year) [26] - **Qianjiang Motorcycle**: - Total sales were 168,000 units (down 6% year-on-year) in the same period, with sales of motorcycles over 250cc increasing by 8% [35] - **Longxin General**: - Total sales reached 649,000 units (up 16% year-on-year), with significant growth in the 150cc to 250cc segment (up 48% year-on-year) [9]

Core Viewpoints - The growth of the motorcycle market is driven by two key factors: exports and large-displacement motorcycles, with the latter transitioning from a tool to a consumer product [2][8][11] - The domestic market for large-displacement motorcycles is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 12% from 2024 to 2030, reaching 800,000 units by 2030 [3][77][80] - The overseas motorcycle market presents a substantial opportunity for Chinese brands, with an expected market size of 932 billion yuan in 2024, and a significant growth potential for large-displacement exports [4][8][11] Group 1: Market Overview - The annual motorcycle sales in China range from 19 to 20 million units, with small-displacement models dominating the market [2][15] - The motorcycle industry has undergone three phases: popularization, decline, and differentiated growth, with a notable shift towards large-displacement motorcycles since 2020 [2][19][20] - The domestic sales of fuel motorcycles are projected to decline from 7.71 million units in 2019 to 5.44 million units in 2024, while large-displacement motorcycle sales are expected to grow from 110,000 to 400,000 units during the same period, reflecting a CAGR of 28.8% [3][32] Group 2: Large-Displacement Motorcycle Market - The penetration rate of large-displacement motorcycles in China is expected to increase from 1.5% in 2019 to 7.5% in 2024, indicating a growing consumer interest in this segment [3][41] - The market for large-displacement motorcycles is being driven by rising outdoor sports demand and the development of motorcycle culture, with a significant increase in motorcycle events and clubs [3][48][56] - By 2024, the share of 400-500cc models is expected to rise to 46%, indicating a trend towards higher performance and larger displacement motorcycles [3][63] Group 3: Export Opportunities - The overseas motorcycle market is projected to exceed 40 million units in 2024, with large-displacement motorcycle sales estimated at 3.44 million units, representing a significant growth opportunity for Chinese manufacturers [4][8] - In 2024, Chinese motorcycle exports are expected to reach 11.02 million units, with a 25.7% share of the overseas market, highlighting the potential for further growth in large-displacement exports [4][8] - The export of large-displacement motorcycles is accelerating, with a CAGR of 67.6% from 2022 to 2024, as domestic brands enhance their international presence [4][8] Group 4: Key Players - The leading companies in the large-displacement motorcycle market include Chunfeng, Longxin, and Qianjiang, with Chunfeng expected to become the market leader in 2024 [5][9] - Chunfeng's motorcycle sales are projected to grow from 45,000 units in 2019 to 308,000 units in 2024, with a focus on large-displacement products [5][9] - Longxin's large-displacement motorcycle sales are expected to increase from 21,000 units in 2019 to 108,000 units in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 38.6% [6][9]

► 中大排摩托车走向全球 全地形车新品周期强劲。 1）燃油摩托车： 150SC、675SR等新品陆续上市，完善产品体系，2024年累计销售两轮车28.7万辆，实现营收60.4亿元，同比增长37.1%，ASP为2.1万元，同比微 降，高端化、全球化成效愈发显著。分市场来看，两轮内销14.3万台，营收30.9亿元，同比+44.4%，>200CC跨骑摩托车销量登顶行业第一；出口14.3万台，营收 29.4亿元，同比+30.2%； 2）全地形车： 核心产品矩阵全面焕新， 中高端新品U10PRO等凭借卓越性能与创新设计成为市场焦点 ，推动业务高弹性增长。2024年公 司全地形车销售16.9万辆，营收72.1亿元，同比+10.9%，ASP为4.3万元。看好公司依靠产品线扩充、性价比优势持续提升市场份额，打开成长空间。 ► 股权激励绑定核心人才 保障公司长远发展。 01 事件概述 公司发布《向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券预案》： 拟次向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券拟募集资金总额不超过25.0亿元，扣除发行费用后募集资金净额将用 于： （1）投资年产300万台套摩托车、电动车及核心部件研产配套新建项目，项目总投资额35.0亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - 隆鑫通用动力股份有限公司 reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the year 2024, driven by strong performance in the motorcycle and general machinery sectors [15][17]. Company Overview - 隆鑫通用 is a leading manufacturer in the motorcycle industry, maintaining the top position in exports for 19 consecutive years, with a total motorcycle sales volume of 16.46 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.99% [2][3]. - The company specializes in various products including two-wheeled motorcycles, three-wheeled motorcycles, motorcycle engines, all-terrain vehicles, and general machinery [4][5]. Industry Performance - The motorcycle industry in China saw a total sales volume of 16.46 million units in 2024, with domestic sales declining by 16.56% to 8.91 million units, while exports increased by 26.72% to 11.02 million units [2]. - The market for large-displacement leisure motorcycles (over 250cc) grew significantly, with sales reaching 756,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 42.97% [3]. - The general machinery sector experienced a total sales volume of 47.72 million internal combustion engines, marking a 6.67% increase year-on-year [4]. Financial Highlights - The company achieved a revenue of 4.646 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.98%, and a net profit of 507 million yuan, up 96.79% [15]. - Motorcycle product sales contributed 2.742 billion yuan, with export revenue reaching 310 million USD, a 55.23% increase [15]. - The company’s all-terrain vehicle sales increased by 74.36%, generating 107 million yuan in revenue [16]. Business Model - 隆鑫通用 operates through a comprehensive business model that includes research and development, procurement, production, and sales [6][10]. - The company has established a robust R&D structure with nearly 1,600 personnel, focusing on market-driven innovations [7]. Legal and Financial Matters - The company is currently involved in legal proceedings regarding receivables, with a balance of 666 million yuan and significant provisions for credit impairment [18]. - The company is also in the process of transferring its stake in the Italian CMD company, with ongoing negotiations and conditions to be met for completion [19][20].

Summary of Conference Call on Motorcycle Industry Company and Industry Involved - The conference call focused on the motorcycle industry, specifically discussing the company Chunfeng (春风). Core Points and Arguments 1. **Market Valuation and Growth Potential** Chunfeng's target market valuation for 2025 is projected to reach 39 billion, indicating a potential growth of 35% [1] 2. **High Growth Segments** - The first high growth segment is motorcycle exports, with a target of 500,000 units for the current year [2] - The second high growth segment is the company's two-wheeled electric vehicle business, which has significant long-term potential [2] 3. **Valuation Methodology** A distributed valuation method was employed, considering various segments including four-wheeled vehicles in the US, motorcycle exports, domestic sales, and electric vehicles. The estimated valuation floor is 26 billion, indicating a strong safety margin [3] 4. **Market Demand Analysis** The overseas market for motorcycles is substantial, with Europe accounting for 1.12 million units and Asia (including Southeast Asia and India) contributing approximately 1.3 million units [4] - The North American market is estimated to have around 550,000 units, while South America adds another 600,000 units [4] 5. **Export Market Characteristics** The overseas market is characterized as a pure non-US export market, with a focus on Europe and Latin America. Current market share for domestic brands in overseas markets is less than 5% [5] 6. **Product Segmentation** The overseas market for motorcycles shows that 250cc to 500cc models account for 20% of demand, while 500cc to 1000cc models represent over 50% of total demand [6] - Chunfeng's current exports primarily consist of 450cc models, which only capture 20% of the overseas market [6] 7. **Upcoming Industry Data** Industry data is expected to be released on April 15, which is anticipated to be a significant catalyst for the market [7] 8. **Electric Vehicle Business Growth** The electric vehicle segment is prioritized by the company, with a target of 500,000 units and a projected 400% year-on-year growth for 2025 [7] - Expected revenue for this segment is around 1.5 billion, translating to a market valuation of 7.5 billion [8] 9. **Impact of Tariffs** Concerns regarding tariffs on four-wheeled vehicles have been noted, but the company plans to shift production to Thailand to mitigate potential impacts [9] - The Thai facility is expected to have an annual capacity of 50,000 units and currently operates under a zero-tariff status [9] 10. **Profit Projections** For 2025, profit estimates are around 1.8 billion, with a target market valuation of 36 billion. The US four-wheeled vehicle segment is projected to contribute approximately 580 million in profit [11] 11. **Long-term Market Trends** The large displacement motorcycle market has shown consistent growth, maintaining an annual growth rate of over 30% for the past five years [14] - Current domestic demand is significantly lower than in Japan, indicating room for growth [14] 12. **Valuation Safety Margin** The safety margin for the company is considered robust, with a valuation floor of 26 billion even when excluding key segments [15] 13. **Successful Brand Expansion** The company's brand Uji has successfully penetrated the overseas market, particularly in the 800cc and above segment, capturing a significant share [16] 14. **Valuation Metrics** The overall valuation metrics indicate that the company is undervalued, with a projected market cap of 94 billion, including 6 billion in cash [17] Other Important but Overlooked Content - The discussion highlighted the competitive landscape, noting that competitors like Polaris and Bombardier also face pressure from potential tariff increases [10] - The company is expected to maintain a growth trajectory in the high displacement motorcycle segment, which is still expanding [14] - The strategic shift to Thailand for production is seen as a proactive measure to ensure continued growth despite external pressures [9]