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通信行业:关税政策反复不改光通信供应链地位,移动发起OISA超节点攻坚行动
Shanxi Securities· 2025-04-16 09:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "A" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expectation of outperforming the market [1]. Core Insights - The communication equipment manufacturing supply chain is expected to recover due to the recent updates in the US tariff exemption policy, which includes key products such as optical modules and networking devices [4][13]. - The focus on technology self-sufficiency and domestic demand is a clear direction amidst fluctuating US tariff policies, particularly concerning high-end chips and the establishment of a domestic computing power infrastructure [5][14]. - Upcoming quarterly reports are anticipated to show positive trends in sectors like optical communication, IoT, and military information technology, with significant year-on-year growth expected in several companies [6][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The US Customs and Border Protection has announced exemptions for certain products under the "reciprocal tariff" policy, which is expected to benefit the communication equipment sector significantly [4][13]. - The resilience and irreplaceability of the Chinese communication equipment supply chain are highlighted, with a focus on high-frequency circuit design and precision optical packaging as core advantages [4][13]. Market Performance - The overall market experienced a decline during the week of April 7-11, 2025, with the communication index dropping by 3.85% [6][31]. - Specific sectors such as cloud computing and operators showed slight gains, while others like satellite communication faced minor declines [6][31]. Company Recommendations - Companies to watch for tariff recovery include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, among others [7][17]. - For technology self-sufficiency, recommended companies include Shengke Communication and Yu Taiwei [7][17]. - In the domestic supernode segment, focus on companies like Lixun Precision and ZTE Communications is advised [7][17]. Quarterly Outlook - Companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Huagong Technology are expected to report significant year-on-year profit growth, with estimates ranging from 35% to 68% [6][15][16]. - The IoT sector is also projected to see substantial growth, particularly in AI-related applications [6][15][16].