Core Viewpoint - Industrial Fulian issued a clarification statement denying rumors about lowering its fourth-quarter performance targets and adjustments from major clients, asserting that operations are proceeding as planned and customer demand remains strong [2][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Industrial Fulian reported revenue of 243.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.81%, with net profit surpassing 10 billion yuan for the first time, reaching 10.37 billion yuan, a growth of 62.04% [8]. - For the first three quarters of the year, the company achieved revenue of 603.93 billion yuan, up 38.4% year-on-year, and net profit of 22.49 billion yuan, an increase of 48.52% [8]. - The company's revenue and net profit for the first three quarters are close to last year's total, marking a historical high for the same period [8]. Business Segments - The AI server business showed significant growth, with cloud computing revenue increasing over 65% year-on-year in the first three quarters and over 75% in Q3, driven by the demand for AI cabinet products [8]. - Revenue from cloud service providers increased by over 150% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with Q3 revenue more than doubling compared to the previous year [8]. - The GPU AI server segment saw revenue growth exceeding 300% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a quarterly increase of over 90% and a year-on-year increase of over five times [8][9]. Market Reaction - On November 24, Industrial Fulian's stock price fell by 7.8% to 55.94 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 1.11 trillion yuan, despite a cumulative increase of 165.29% year-to-date [5].

公开信息显示，工业富联主营业务是设计、研发、制造和销售通信及移动网络设备、云计算、工业互联 网及机器人等电子设备产品。 在AI产业蓬勃发展、"AI算力基建"被外界高度关注的当下，站在时代的风口上的工业富联业绩亮眼，也 一度受到资本市场追捧。 业绩上，三季报显示工业富联今年前三季度营收6039.31亿元，同比增长38.40%，归母净利润224.87亿 元，同比增长48.52%。 三季报称，云计算业务方面，受益于超大规模数据中心用AI机柜产品的规模交付及AI算力需求的持续 旺盛，2025年前三季度，公司云计算业务营业收入较上年同期增长超过65%，第三季度单季同比增长超 过75%。 11月24日，受部分网络传言影响，工业富联开盘后一路走低，盘中一度跌停，最终收于55.94元，跌 7.80%。当晚，工业富联正式对相关言论作出回应，称网络流传相关言论不属实。 工业富联在发布的澄清公告中称，网络上流传关于富士康工业互联网股份有限公司"下调第四季度业绩 目标""大客户在L10/L11商业模式上会有调整"等不实言论，引发部分关注。对此，公司澄清并郑重声 明。 经核实，公司针对网络平台流传事项声明如下：1、网络流传相关言论不属 ...

Group 1: Company Strategy and Business Growth - The company focuses on its core business, developing a multi-dimensional business system including "CT communication + computing + high-end IT PCBA manufacturing + automotive electronics manufacturing" [2] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with successful business development in international markets [2] - In the automotive electronics sector, the company has achieved mass production and delivery of products such as vehicle networking and intelligent control T-BOX displays [2] Group 2: Shareholder and Order Management - The controlling shareholder has no current plans for share reduction, focusing instead on strengthening the main business [3] - The company has a robust order backlog for Q4, with production lines in Shenzhen operating at full capacity [3] Group 3: International Market Development - The company is currently targeting clients in Japan and South Korea, providing ODM services and complete solutions [3] - The company aims to expand its customer base in Africa, Europe, and North America based on initial successes in Asia [3] Group 4: Product Development and Incentives - The company has become a qualified supplier for several automotive manufacturers, with ongoing projects involving T-BOX, P-BOX, and domain controllers [4] - The 2025 stock option incentive plan includes 6,934,200 options, representing 2.01% of the total share capital, with performance targets set for revenue growth of 35% in 2026, 60% in 2027, and 90% in 2028 [4]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.301 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 33.25% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 966 million CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 92.87% [1] - The non-recurring net profit accumulated to 916 million CNY, showing a year-on-year growth of 94.16% [1] Group 2: Gross Margin Improvement - The overall gross margin improved in Q3 2025, primarily due to increased demand for storage packaging substrates and enhanced capacity utilization [2] - The revenue scale and gross margin of packaging substrates showed significant improvement, aided by the steady ramp-up of the Guangzhou factory [2] Group 3: Business Expansion in PCB Sector - The PCB business focuses on communication equipment, with key expansions in data centers (including servers) and automotive electronics [3] - Revenue from data centers and wired communication businesses continued to grow, maintaining a consistent share across various sectors compared to the first half of the year [3] Group 4: Packaging Substrate Business Growth - The packaging substrate business includes a wide range of products, with significant revenue growth in storage packaging substrates in Q3 2025 [4] - All downstream product demands showed growth, particularly in storage packaging substrates [4] Group 5: Capacity Utilization - The overall capacity utilization remained high in Q3 2025, with a noticeable increase in the utilization rate of packaging substrate business due to rising demand [5] Group 6: New Factory Developments - New factories include the Nantong Phase IV and Thailand projects, with the Thailand factory currently in trial production and Nantong Phase IV expected to commence in Q4 2025 [6] - These new facilities will enhance PCB production capabilities, particularly in high-layer and HDI technologies [6] Group 7: Raw Material Price Changes - Key raw materials such as copper foil and gold salt saw price increases in Q3 2025 due to fluctuations in commodity prices [7] - The company will continue to monitor international commodity price changes and maintain communication with suppliers and customers [7] Group 8: Land Planning in Wuxi - The new land in Wuxi is designated for PCB-related products, with investments planned in phases based on business development and market conditions [8]

Group 1: North American Computing Power - North American cloud vendors are expected to increase capital expenditure to over $600 billion by 2026, indicating a strong growth trajectory for computing power investments and infrastructure development [1] - The demand for AI commercial realization is being driven by open interconnectivity and power cost reduction, validating the rationale for computing power investments [1] - The rise in power consumption per card/cabinet in North America highlights the importance of power supply assurance for cloud computing capacity [1] Group 2: Domestic Computing Power - Domestic AI infrastructure is anticipated to grow rapidly by 2026, driven by continuous upgrades in models and increased capital expenditure from leading cloud vendors and telecom operators [2] - The IDC industry is expected to enter a cyclical turning point due to high demand and improved supply quality, presenting long-term investment value [2] - Structural alpha opportunities are emerging in the industry chain due to the upgrade of network architecture and computing power chips, benefiting segments like optical modules, liquid cooling, switches, and power supplies [2] Group 3: Edge AI - The edge AI market is on the verge of large-scale deployment, supported by policy initiatives and collaboration within the industry chain [3] - The introduction of innovative products, such as MetaAI glasses, is expected to accelerate market growth for edge AI [3] - The combination of policy guidance, ecosystem improvement, and demand growth is likely to create a solid foundation for edge AI, transitioning the industry from thematic catalysts to performance realization [3] Group 4: Telecom Operators - Telecom operators are experiencing a phase of capital expenditure reduction, business structure transformation, and increasing dividend ratios, which enhances their investment appeal [4] - The mature basic telecom business continues to serve as a revenue stabilizer, while cost management and AI integration support profit growth [4] - The rising dividend ratio in a low-interest-rate environment further highlights the value of telecom operators, with potential for continued valuation improvement [4]

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨工业富联（601138.SH） 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 10 月 30 日，工业富联发布 2025 年三季报，报告期内公司实现营业收入 6039.31 亿元，同比 增长 38.4%，实现归母净利润 224.87 亿元，同比增长 48.52%，扣非净利润为 216.57 亿元， 同比增长 46.99%；单三季度公司实现营收 2431.72 亿元，同比增长 42.81%，归母净利润 103.73 亿元，同比增长 62.04%，扣非净利润 99.89 亿元，同比增长 61.11%。公司单三季度毛利率 7%，净利率 4.27%，同比改善明显。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 蔡少东 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490522090001 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% [Table_Title] 三季度业绩超预期，算力巨头进入业绩加速期 %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 工业富联（601138.SH） ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Industrial Fulian, has responded to market rumors regarding potential downgrades in orders and outlook, asserting that current project progress and delivery schedules are normal, and new product development is proceeding smoothly without the need for excessive interpretation of market speculation [2][3]. Group 1: Order and Project Progress - Industrial Fulian confirmed that there has been no official announcement regarding any downgrades in cabinet shipments or performance expectations, and that existing customer project progress and delivery schedules are on track [2]. - The company is actively advancing multiple new products, which are expected to enhance computing density, power efficiency, and system reliability, particularly in power architecture, heat dissipation efficiency, and integration strength [2][3]. Group 2: AI Server Demand and Capacity Expansion - The demand for AI computing power from cloud service providers is reported to be strong, with overall shipment volumes of AI servers expected to exceed previous forecasts due to increased capital expenditures by cloud service providers [3]. - Industrial Fulian is expanding its production capacity to meet the rising order demand from major cloud service provider clients, with many projects already entering the shipping phase [3]. Group 3: Business Performance and Financial Outlook - In the third quarter of 2025, Industrial Fulian achieved revenue of 603.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 22.49 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 48.52% [5]. - The company has implemented a mid-term dividend for the first time this year, distributing approximately 6.55 billion yuan, which represents 54.08% of the company's net profit for the first half of 2025, signaling a commitment to enhancing shareholder returns [4]. Group 4: Stock Performance and Market Position - As of November 14, 2025, Industrial Fulian's stock price was 64.27 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan [6]. - The company maintains a positive outlook on its stock price, emphasizing that it will align with the fundamentals of its business, which have shown substantial progress across various product lines [4].

Core Viewpoint - Industrial Fulian addresses rumors regarding order or outlook downgrades, stating that customer project progress and delivery schedules are normal [5][6][10] Group 1: Company Performance and Market Response - Industrial Fulian's stock price closed at 64.27 yuan per share on November 14, with a decline of 5.47%, bringing the total market value to 1.28 trillion yuan [2] - The company has not issued any statements regarding order downgrades and emphasizes that key projects are progressing smoothly [5] - The company is focusing on enhancing product quality and expanding diversified cooperation with clients [5][10] Group 2: AI Server Market Outlook - Industrial Fulian anticipates a continuous increase in demand for AI servers, with strong customer interest in AI computing power [6][7] - The company expects that capital expenditures from major cloud service providers will rise significantly, with a projected increase of 40% in 2026, reaching over $600 billion [7][8] Group 3: Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns - Industrial Fulian's stock has seen a cumulative increase of 209.88% from July 1 to November 14 [9] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.3 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 6.551 billion yuan, which represents 54.08% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [10][11] - This marks the first time since its listing in 2018 that Industrial Fulian has announced a semi-annual profit distribution plan, signaling its commitment to enhancing shareholder returns [11]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 63.01 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 33.25% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 9.66 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 92.87% [1] - The non-recurring net profit totaled 9.16 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 94.16% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Gross Margin Improvement - The overall gross margin showed improvement in Q3 2025, driven by increased demand for storage packaging substrates and enhanced capacity utilization [2] - The revenue from PCB data centers and wired communication businesses continued to grow, contributing to a slight increase in gross margin [2] Group 3: Business Expansion in PCB Sector - The PCB business focuses on communication equipment, with significant expansion in data centers and automotive electronics [3] - Revenue from data centers and wired communication businesses continued to grow, maintaining a consistent share compared to the first half of the year [3] Group 4: Packaging Substrate Business Growth - The packaging substrate business includes a wide range of products, with significant revenue growth in storage packaging substrates in Q3 2025 [4] - All downstream product demands showed growth, particularly in storage packaging substrates [4] Group 5: Technological Capabilities and Project Progress - The company has achieved mass production capabilities for FC-BGA substrates with 20 layers or fewer, while R&D for 22-26 layer products is on schedule [5] - The Guangzhou packaging substrate project is gradually reducing losses as various orders enter production [5] Group 6: New Factory Developments - New factories in Nantong Phase IV and Thailand are under construction, with the Thailand factory already in trial production [6] - These facilities will enhance PCB production capacity and capabilities [6] Group 7: Raw Material Price Changes - Key raw materials such as copper foil and gold salt saw price increases in Q3 2025 due to commodity price fluctuations [7] - The company is monitoring international commodity prices and maintaining communication with suppliers and customers [7] Group 8: Land Planning in Wuxi - The new land in Wuxi is designated for PCB-related product storage, with phased investment planned based on business development and market conditions [8]

Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy outlook for 2026 by CITIC Securities emphasizes the profound impact of the AI industry revolution, likening it to the Industrial Revolution, and suggests a long-term perspective is necessary for analysis [1] Group 1: AI and Computing Demand - CITIC Securities expresses optimism regarding the demand for computing power driven by AI, highlighting sectors such as optical modules, optical devices, optical chips, switches, liquid cooling, IDC, and edge AI [1] Group 2: Traditional Communication Industry - The traditional communication industry is facing challenges due to decreased capital expenditure from telecom operators, leading to low market expectations [1] - Despite the current challenges, the development of key technologies for 6G has commenced, and the increased focus on AI by operators is noteworthy [1] Group 3: Quantum Technology - Both China and the United States are placing significant emphasis on quantum technology, with related companies in the U.S. stock market experiencing substantial gains [1] - It is recommended to pay close attention to segments such as dilution refrigeration machines and low-temperature coaxial cables [1]