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润贝航科:国产航材前景广阔,C919生产交付提速打开制造端增量市场-20250425
China Post Securities· 2025-04-25 12:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" and maintained [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 909 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4% to 89 million yuan [5][6] - The gross margin improved by 3.58 percentage points to 27.96%, driven by an increase in the gross margin of distribution products and a higher proportion of self-developed products [6] - The company has enhanced its self-developed aviation material capabilities with the completion and commissioning of its Huizhou production base, which significantly boosts its domestic production capacity [8] - The acceleration of C919 aircraft production and delivery is expected to create a substantial demand for aviation materials, with the company poised to benefit from this growth [9][10] - The company has increased its inventory by 33% to 301 million yuan by the end of 2024, in response to tariff impacts and to ensure supply stability [10] - Forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are 138 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 205 million yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 25, 20, and 17 times, respectively [10] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 37.53 yuan - Total shares: 0.82 billion, circulating shares: 0.27 billion - Total market value: 3.1 billion yuan, circulating market value: 1 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 41.01/25.26 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 13.5% - PE ratio: 34.32 [4] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024: 909 million yuan, with a growth rate of 10.14% - Net profit for 2024: 89 million yuan, with a decline of 4.16% - EBITDA for 2024: 134.45 million yuan [12][15] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.052 billion yuan, 1.210 billion yuan, and 1.384 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.7%, 14.98%, and 14.38% respectively [12][15] - Expected net profit for 2025-2027: 138 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 205 million yuan [12][15]
润贝航科(001316):国产航材前景广阔,C919生产交付提速打开制造端增量市场
China Post Securities· 2025-04-25 12:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" and maintained [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 909 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4% to 89 million yuan [5][6] - The gross margin improved by 3.58 percentage points year-on-year, reaching 27.96%, driven by an increase in the gross margin of distribution products and a higher proportion of self-developed products [6] - The company has increased its research and development expenses by 63% year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing its self-developed aviation material capabilities [8] - The production and delivery of the C919 aircraft are accelerating, which is expected to significantly boost the demand for aviation materials [9][10] - The company has proactively increased its inventory by 33% year-on-year to 301 million yuan to mitigate the impact of tariff shocks [10] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 138 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 205 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 25, 20, and 17 times [10][12] - Revenue is projected to grow from 909 million yuan in 2024 to 1.384 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 14.38% [12][15] - The company maintains a low debt-to-asset ratio of 13.5%, indicating a strong financial position [4][15]