Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold and silver prices have reached historical highs, with analysts predicting significant increases for 2026, marking the most optimistic forecasts since the beginning of the century [1][3] - The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) survey predicts that the average daily price of gold will rise by nearly 40% compared to 2025, while silver prices are expected to double [1][3] - The consensus forecast for gold prices in 2026 is projected to reach $4,742 per ounce, reflecting a record deviation from previous predictions, where analysts underestimated the 2025 price increase by nearly $700 [3][4] Group 2 - The LBMA survey indicates that the average forecast for silver prices in 2026 is expected to increase by 98.8%, surpassing $79.50 per ounce, with current prices already around $95.60 per ounce [3][4] - The volatility in gold prices over the past 12 months is noted as the most severe since 1973, with predictions for gold trading ranges between $3,450 and $7,150 per ounce [5] - The predicted range for silver prices is broader, with estimates ranging from $42 to $165 per ounce according to the LBMA participants [5]

伦敦金银市场协会（LBMA）发布的《2026年预测调查》显示，专业分析师与交易员目前预计，今年黄 金日均价格将较2025年上涨近五分之二，白银年均价格则有望翻倍。 【华通白银网1月21日讯】周二，黄金白银价格双双创下历史新高，这也是特朗普重返白宫的一周年。 贵金属在2026年延续连创新高的势头，而此前严重误判行情的分析师们，当前已作出本世纪迄今最乐观 的价格预测。 这两项对白银和黄金的价格预测，是LBMA自21世纪初开展调查以来最看涨的平均预测值。 在此次调查中，前银行与精炼业高管、LBMA预测竞赛中长期表现最出色的贵金属预测师之一Ross Norman此次提出的所谓"超常"预测，在黄金品类中被其他3位分析师超越，在白银品类中被1位超越， 在铂金和钯金品类中则分别被4位和2位分析师的预测超过。 （伦LBMA年度预测调查的共识预测与实际年均价格对比数据，2010-2026年） "这没关系。我会对他国家的葡萄酒和香槟征收200%关税，到时候他就会加入。但他其实不必非加入不 可。"特朗普称。 俄罗斯小报《莫斯科共青团员报》针对美欧围绕格陵兰岛的争执评论道："欧洲完全不知所措" 《俄罗斯报》则表示："如果特朗普在20 ...

Core Insights - The World Economic Forum's "Global Risks Report 2026" identifies geopolitical and economic risks as escalating in a new competitive era, with geopolitical economic confrontation being the primary risk for 2026 [1][2] - Other significant risks for 2026 include armed conflict between nations, extreme weather, social polarization, and misinformation, with economic risks rising the fastest [1] - The report highlights worsening debt issues and potential asset bubbles, compounded by geopolitical economic conflicts, which could trigger a new wave of turmoil [1] Short to Medium-Term Risk Outlook - Geopolitical economic confrontation is deemed the most severe risk in the short to medium term (next two years) [2] - The World Economic Forum's Executive Director, Sadia Zahidi, states that the world has entered a new competitive era, impacting all subsequent global risks [2] - The President and CEO of the World Economic Forum, Borge Brende, emphasizes that the changing competitive landscape has altered the global cooperation dynamic, underscoring the importance of collaborative pathways and dialogue [2] Expert Contributions - The report consolidates insights from over 1,300 global experts, analyzing current, short-term, and long-term risks faced worldwide [3]