地缘政治格局重构

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秦氏金升:5.27川普变脸引发黄金抛售,伦敦金走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 08:29
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are under pressure due to various market factors, including geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainties, with current trading around $3308.84 per ounce, reflecting a 1.00% decline [1][3]. Economic Data Focus - Key economic indicators to watch include the U.S. April durable goods orders month-on-month, March FHFA house price index month-on-month, May Conference Board consumer confidence index, and May Dallas Fed business activity index [1]. Market Sentiment and Trade Policy - The Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the EU has been postponed to July 9, but market concerns remain. An escalation in trade tensions could increase global economic uncertainty, potentially boosting gold's safe-haven demand [3][5]. - The fluctuating tariff policies may lead to changes in market risk appetite, impacting gold prices in both directions [3]. Technical Analysis of Gold Prices - Gold has faced resistance around $3365, with recent price movements indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend. The price has dropped to around $3320, suggesting a correction phase may persist [3][5]. - Technical indicators show that gold prices are currently adjusting, with the possibility of further declines, particularly if the price breaks below key support levels [5]. Short-term and Long-term Outlook - In the short term, geopolitical issues such as the Russia-Ukraine situation and U.S.-EU trade negotiations will likely drive market volatility [3]. - Mid-term factors include the currency dynamics between the U.S. dollar and euro, as well as developments in the Middle East nuclear crisis, which will influence gold's direction [3]. - Long-term considerations involve the global de-dollarization process and geopolitical restructuring, which may lead to a significant revaluation of gold [3].
黄金亚盘高位盘整微跌,市场短线考虑追空布局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 04:23
Group 1 - The current gold price is experiencing fluctuations around $3347.17 per ounce, indicating a fierce battle between bullish and bearish forces [1] - Recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, with prices rebounding from a low of $3324 [3] - The price of gold has established strong support around $3320, attracting significant buying interest during dips, while the $3340-$3350 range has become a focal point for market contention [3] Group 2 - Short-term fluctuations in the gold market are expected to be driven by the Russia-Ukraine situation and developments in US-EU trade negotiations [4] - Mid-term influences on gold prices will include the currency competition between the US dollar and the euro, as well as the evolution of the Middle East nuclear crisis [4] - Long-term factors such as the global de-dollarization process and geopolitical restructuring may lead to a significant revaluation of gold [4]