Core Insights - The National Disaster Reduction Committee and various ministries have assessed the natural disaster risk for October 2025, highlighting significant risks from floods, typhoons, forest fires, geological disasters, and droughts during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [1][2][3] Flood and Storm Risk - High risks of floods and storm damage are anticipated in regions such as North China, South China, and Northwest China, with potential for short-term heavy rainfall and severe weather events [1] - Specific river basins, including the Yellow River and Yangtze River, may experience flood levels exceeding warning thresholds [1] Typhoon Risk - An expected 3 to 5 typhoons may form in the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea in October, which is above the average of 3.5 typhoons for this period, with 1 to 2 potentially making landfall in China [2] Forest and Grassland Fire Risk - Areas including northern Beijing, northern Hebei, and parts of Inner Mongolia and Northeast China are facing high forest fire risks, with certain regions experiencing extreme fire danger levels [2] Geological Disaster Risk - Regions such as Northwest Shanxi, Southern Zhejiang, and parts of Guangdong and Sichuan are identified as having a high risk of geological disasters due to rainfall and other factors [2] Drought Risk - Moderate meteorological drought conditions are present in parts of Hunan and Jiangxi, with expectations of high temperatures and low rainfall potentially exacerbating drought conditions in East and Central China [2]

Group 1: April Weather Characteristics - April experienced warm and dry weather, with an average temperature of 12.7°C, which is 1.7°C higher than the historical average and the second highest since 1961 [2] - National average precipitation was 32.7 mm, 13.3% lower than the historical average, with some regions experiencing a decrease in precipitation by 20% to 100% [3] - A nationwide cold wave affected most regions, causing strong winds and severe weather events, with gusts reaching up to 15 levels in some areas [4] Group 2: May Holiday Weather Forecast - The early part of the May holiday is expected to be mostly sunny, with light to moderate rain in some regions, while the latter part will see significant rainfall in the southwest and southern regions [5][6] - Temperature fluctuations are anticipated, with northern areas experiencing a drop of 4-8°C due to cold air, while other regions may be close to or above the historical average [5] Group 3: May Climate Trend Predictions - Precipitation is expected to be above the historical average in northeastern regions and parts of Inner Mongolia, while most other areas will see average to below-average precipitation [7][8] - Temperatures in most regions are projected to be close to or above historical averages, with three cold air events expected to impact northern areas [8] Group 4: Key Areas of Concern for May - Attention is needed for meteorological droughts and dry winds affecting crop growth, particularly in the northwest and central regions [9] - Risks of strong winds, sudden temperature drops, and sandstorms are heightened in northern areas due to frequent cold air activities [9] - Potential for secondary disasters from heavy rainfall and low temperatures in southern and southeastern regions, necessitating monitoring and preparedness [9]