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戴德梁行:上半年上海大宗市场成交不足往年一半
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-02 15:00
Core Insights - The report by JLL indicates that the Shanghai bulk property market recorded a total transaction value of 15.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with 37 transactions completed, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline to less than half of the previous year's level [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable divergence between domestic and foreign investors in the bulk property market, with domestic investors showing strong resilience and achieving a record share of total transactions [1] - Foreign investors are strategically reducing their holdings, leading to accelerated turnover of quality assets at discounted prices, creating new investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Self-use buyers continue to focus on office and research properties, with notable transactions including BFC's acquisition of three plots and Le Xin Technology's purchase of R&D properties in Zhangjiang [1] - Investment buyers exhibit polarized strategies, with non-institutional investors completing significant transactions like the West Lake Joint Venture's acquisition of the Jinglai Fang project, while institutional investors seek value recovery in distressed assets and stable cash flow properties [1] Group 3: Property Types and Trends - Office and research properties maintain the highest transaction share at 31%, although this is a decrease from the previous year, while apartments have gained traction with a 27% share due to ongoing public market support [2] - Commercial properties are frequently traded, with nearly 50% of transactions occurring through judicial auction channels, highlighted by the Chenghuangmiao Square's record auction price of 1.209 billion yuan [2] - Hotel asset transactions are characterized by smaller, high-quality projects, with three transactions in the 100 million to 300 million yuan range, all acquired by private investors [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - JLL anticipates that discounted office projects held by foreign funds will continue to transact, potentially increasing the share of office properties in the second half of the year [2] - The low-interest environment in China is expected to provide favorable financing conditions for domestic buyers, encouraging them to capitalize on market opportunities [2] - Shanghai is accelerating its development as an international economic, financial, trade, shipping, and technological innovation center, with policies aimed at optimizing the business environment and enhancing industry support [2]