1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - The overall energy and chemical products should be treated with an oscillatory mindset as macro - data starts to reflect the weakening economic situation. The chemical sector shows a weaker trend than crude oil, and the market is still dominated by the pessimistic expectation of future demand [2]. 3. Summary by Variety Crude Oil - **View**: There is still an expectation of supply surplus, and attention should be paid to macro and geopolitical disturbances. The price of crude oil will continue to oscillate under the balance of OPEC+ production - increasing pressure and macro - geopolitical benefits [5]. - **Main Logic**: The EIA short - term energy outlook continues to lower the expected production of the US next year, and the API data shows that the US destocked crude oil and restocked refined oil last week, with relatively weak terminal demand. Although the recent macro - environment has eased and Saudi Arabia's production increase in May was limited, the supply surplus expectation still exists in the second half of the year due to the cumulative effect of production increase [5]. LPG - **View**: The domestic combustion and chemical demand remain weak, with limited upward rebound space and may oscillate at the bottom in the short term [9]. - **Main Logic**: Domestic refineries are gradually resuming from maintenance, increasing the supply of liquefied gas and civil gas, and the refinery inventory is rising. High temperatures reduce the civil combustion demand, and the downstream restocking willingness is limited. The PDH device operating rate has declined slightly, and the port inventory is rising, with limited incremental demand for propane [9]. Asphalt - **View**: The absolute price of asphalt is over - estimated, and the asphalt monthly spread is expected to decline with the increase of warehouse receipts [5]. - **Main Logic**: The increase in heavy - oil supply due to OPEC+ production increase and the improvement of domestic raw material supply will put pressure on asphalt prices. The current asphalt is over - estimated, and it needs both strong crude oil and rebar for a bull market, but the current situation does not support it [5][6]. High - Sulfur Fuel Oil - **View**: It will oscillate weakly as the supply increases and demand decreases, and the geopolitical impact on prices is short - term [6][7]. - **Main Logic**: The increase in heavy - oil supply, the rise in import tariffs, and the substitution of natural gas for oil power generation will put pressure on high - sulfur fuel oil prices. The current strong cracking spread and weak discount are due to different factors, and the three driving forces supporting high - sulfur fuel oil are weakening [6][7]. Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - **View**: It will follow the crude oil price to oscillate, with increasing supply, falling demand, and may maintain a low - valuation operation [8][9]. - **Main Logic**: Currently, the supply and demand of low - sulfur fuel oil are both weak. The reduction of domestic refined - oil export tax rebates and the cancellation of UCO export tax rebates will increase the supply pressure, which is likely to be transmitted to low - sulfur fuel oil [8][9]. Methanol - **View**: It will oscillate in the short term [17]. - **Main Logic**: The methanol price oscillated on June 10. The port inventory is entering a restocking cycle, and the coal price has a short - term rebound, which has a slight impact on methanol. The olefin market is still weak, providing limited support for methanol [17]. Urea - **View**: The domestic supply is strong and demand is weak, and the futures price will oscillate weakly [17]. - **Main Logic**: The high supply continues, and the agricultural demand has not seen concentrated replenishment yet, while the industrial demand is weakening. Exports are expected to be reflected in late June, and the enterprise inventory is rising [17]. Ethylene Glycol - **View**: It has support at the 4200 - 4300 level, and short - selling is not recommended [13]. - **Main Logic**: The industrial pattern of ethylene glycol is still healthy from June to July. The possible stagnation of US ethane exports may limit future production, and the downward space is limited [13]. PX - **View**: It will oscillate weakly as the supply restarts quickly, and attention should be paid to PTA production and polyester start - up [11]. - **Main Logic**: The cost - end guidance of PX is slowing down due to the uncertain future OPEC+ production policy and concerns about global demand. The Asian PX operating load will increase, and the domestic PX is in a destocking cycle, but the supply - demand game is intensifying [11]. PTA - **View**: The supply increases and demand decreases, and the situation is gradually weakening [11]. - **Main Logic**: The weaving load is declining due to limited orders and high inventory. The PTA supply is restarting, and the supply - demand weak expectation restricts the market sentiment, and the destocking is narrowing in June [11]. Short - Fiber - **View**: The processing fee is supported by production cuts, and the absolute value follows the raw material price [13][14]. - **Main Logic**: The PF fundamentals are improving marginally. The supply pressure is relieved due to production cuts, and the spot basis is strengthening. The short - term decline is driven by the macro - environment, and the industrial pattern is still healthy [13][14]. Bottle Chip - **View**: It will oscillate and follow the raw material price [15]. - **Main Logic**: After the price decline, the trading volume of bottle chips has increased, and the basis has strengthened. Exports have diverted some of the excess supply, but it is not enough to change the weak situation. The scope of production cuts and maintenance may expand [15][16]. PP - **View**: It will oscillate in the short term [20]. - **Main Logic**: The cost - end support is marginally increasing, but the supply is still increasing, and the downstream demand is weak. The high - speed growth of supply continues, and the upstream refinery profit may need to be further compressed to balance the supply [20]. Plastic - **View**: It will oscillate as the improvement of maintenance is limited [19]. - **Main Logic**: The cost - end valuation support is marginally increasing, but the plastic's own fundamentals are still under pressure. The supply pressure is high, the downstream demand is weak, and the export window has not widened significantly [19]. Styrene - **View**: It rebounded due to macro - expectations, but the subsequent driving force is insufficient and will oscillate weakly [11][12]. - **Main Logic**: The macro - meeting and device rumors drove the rebound. However, the real - world benefits are limited, the supply may increase due to the restart of long - stopped devices, and the demand and inventory situation of styrene and its downstream products are not optimistic [11][12]. PVC - **View**: It will have a weak rebound in the short term due to improved sentiment, but may face pressure in the long term [22]. - **Main Logic**: The market sentiment has improved due to Sino - US talks. However, in the long term, new production capacity will be put into operation, the domestic demand is in the off - season, and exports are expected to weaken. Although there are many maintenance plans in June, the production will increase after the new capacity is put into operation in mid - July [22]. Caustic Soda - **View**: The spot price has peaked, and it is advisable to short on rallies [22]. - **Main Logic**: The non - aluminum demand is entering the off - season, and the receiving price of Weiqiao has started to decline. Although there are many maintenance plans in June, the supply is expected to increase in the third quarter. The current supply and demand are both weak, and the 09 - contract fundamentals are pessimistic [22]. 4. Variety Data Monitoring Energy and Chemical Daily Indicator Monitoring - **Inter - period Spread**: Data on the inter - period spreads of various varieties such as SC, WTI, Brent, etc. are provided, showing the latest values and changes [23]. - **Basis and Warehouse Receipts**: Information on the basis and warehouse receipts of multiple varieties including asphalt, high - sulfur fuel oil, etc. is presented [24]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The latest values and changes of inter - variety spreads such as 1 - month PP - 3MA, 1 - month TA - EG, etc. are given [25]. Chemical Basis and Spread Monitoring - Although sub - headings for multiple varieties such as methanol, urea, etc. are provided, no specific content is given in the provided documents.

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report Crude Oil - Overnight oil prices rose slightly, maintaining a range - bound trend. The market is influenced by macro - geopolitical factors and supply marginal increments. The US trade court's ruling on Trump's global tariff policy and potential sanctions on Russia, along with OPEC + supply policies, are key factors. Demand is constrained by global trade frictions. Short - term, oil prices are expected to remain volatile, and breakthroughs require clarity on OPEC + production decisions and EU - US tariff games. Mid - to long - term, a band - trading strategy is recommended, and short - term, there are opportunities to short on rebounds. Suggested price ranges are [59, 69] for WTI, [61, 71] for Brent, and [440, 500] for SC. Attention should be paid to INE spread rebound opportunities and options to buy volatility during range - bound periods [2]. PVC and Caustic Soda - Caustic Soda: In the short term, supply pressure is limited during the concentrated maintenance period. Demand from the alumina industry is expected to increase due to profit improvement and new production lines. However, non - aluminum demand pressure and cost decline pose risks. It is recommended to wait and see on single - side trades and attempt a 6 - 9 spread long position [7]. - PVC: Recently, PVC has been weak due to poor market sentiment. Fundamentally, long - term contradictions are prominent as real - estate demand remains sluggish, and exports face potential negative impacts. In the near term, supply pressure is limited during the maintenance period, and exports may remain positive due to BIS extension. PVC is expected to remain weak in the short term, and a mid - term short - selling strategy is recommended with resistance around 5100 for the 09 contract [7]. Polyolefins (PE and PP) - Spot prices continue to fall, but trading volume has improved. The overall market sentiment is pessimistic. For PE, maintenance will increase before early June, imports are low, and inventory is expected to decrease. For PP, supply pressure will increase after the maintenance peak in late May. Demand lacks sustainability after a round of restocking. It is recommended to short PP on rallies and expect the LP spread to widen [12]. Styrene - After the styrene delivery, short - covering cooled down, and the basis declined. The weak commodity market and inventory increases of pure benzene and styrene at the docks put downward pressure on the pure benzene market. The new - cycle port inventory of styrene has started to accumulate, increasing the pressure on high - price supplies. In the medium term, the low - profit situation of 3S products provides limited support for styrene, and Sino - US tariff disputes will negatively affect terminal demand. However, the overnight crude oil rebound may impact the chemical market. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and be bearish on styrene in the medium term [18]. Urea - The market is currently weak due to increased inventory pressure during the demand lull. If export - reserved inventory cannot be quickly digested, it will further intensify spot pressure. Urea exports are a potential turning point, depending on Middle East and South American procurement demand and export policies. If orders exceed expectations, inventory pressure may be relieved; otherwise, the market will remain loose [26]. Polyester Industry Chain - PX: Supply is increasing as some domestic and foreign devices resume production. Downstream PTA load is rising, and the short - term supply - demand situation is still good. Spot supplies are tight, and foreign buyers are supporting prices. PX is expected to oscillate between 6500 - 6800 in the short term, with strong support at the lower end. A 9 - 1 spread short position can be attempted, and the PX - SC spread can be narrowed [29]. - PTA: In late May, PTA devices restarted, and the supply - demand situation is weakening due to strong polyester factory减产 sentiment. Cost support is limited, but low processing fees provide some support. PTA is expected to oscillate between 4600 - 4800 in the short term, with strong support at the lower end. A 9 - 1 spread short position is recommended [29]. - Ethylene Glycol: Despite polyester减产 expectations, supply is expected to contract due to domestic and overseas device maintenance. Port inventory is decreasing, and de - stocking may accelerate in June. It is recommended to wait and see on single - side trades and attempt a 9 - 1 spread long position [29]. - Short - fiber: Processing fees are under pressure, and some factories plan to reduce production. Raw material PTA supply - demand is weakening. Short - fiber processing fees may recover, and the absolute price will follow raw materials. Attention should be paid to factory production cuts. The strategy is similar to PTA for single - side trades, and processing fees can be widened at low levels [29]. - Bottle - grade PET: Supply is expected to increase, but demand from the downstream soft - drink industry will rise during the peak consumption season. The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not significant. The absolute price will follow raw materials, and attention should be paid to device operation under low processing fees. The strategy is similar to PTA for single - side trades, and processing fees are expected to range between 350 - 550 yuan/ton, with opportunities to widen at the lower end [29]. Methanol - Fundamentally, inland methanol has a downward valuation pressure. After the spring maintenance, production has increased, and downstream profits are differentiated. The port has entered a inventory - accumulation period, with May imports expected to reach 110 million tons. Iranian supply increments and positive import profits strengthen arrival expectations. MTO low - operation restricts demand, and the 09 contract is under pressure. It is recommended to short the MA09 contract on rallies, as the mid - to long - term supply - demand contradiction remains unresolved, and the rebound space is limited under inventory - accumulation expectations [38][40]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Crude Oil - **Prices and Spreads**: Brent crude rose to $65.31/barrel, WTI to $62.31/barrel, and SC to 457.40 yuan/barrel. Some spreads, such as Brent M1 - M3 and WTI M1 - M3, also increased [2]. - **Product Oil**: Prices of NYM RBOB, NYM ULSD, and ICE Gasoil increased slightly. Some spreads, like RBOB M1 - M3 and ULSD M1 - M3, decreased [2]. - **Cracking Spreads**: Cracking spreads of some refined products, such as US gasoline and Singapore gasoline, decreased [2]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **PVC**: Spot and futures prices of PVC decreased. Some spreads, like V2505 - 2509, also changed. Overseas quotes were stable, and export profits increased significantly [6][7]. - **Caustic Soda**: Domestic prices were stable, overseas quotes increased, and export profits turned positive [6]. - **Supply and Demand**: Caustic soda industry and some downstream industries'开工 rates increased, while PVC开工 rates decreased slightly. Inventories of both products decreased [6][7]. Polyolefins - **Prices and Spreads**: PE and PP futures and spot prices decreased. Some spreads, such as L2505 - 2509 and PP2505 - 2509, changed [11]. - **Supply and Demand**: PE device开工 rate decreased, PP device and powder开工 rates increased slightly, and downstream weighted开工 rates increased. PE and PP enterprise inventories decreased [11][12]. Styrene - **Upstream Prices**: Prices of Brent crude, CFR Japan naphtha, and some other upstream products changed. Pure benzene prices decreased [15]. - **Styrene Prices**: Styrene spot and futures prices decreased, the basis increased, and the spread decreased [16]. - **Overseas Quotes and Profits**: Overseas quotes decreased slightly, and import profits increased significantly [17]. - **Supply and Demand**: Domestic pure benzene综合开工率 increased, styrene开工率 decreased, and some downstream products'开工 rates changed. Inventories of pure benzene and styrene increased [18]. Urea - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Futures prices decreased slightly, and some spot prices increased. Some spreads and basis values changed [21][25]. - **Supply and Demand**: Daily and weekly production of urea increased, factory inventory increased, and port inventory remained stable [26]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Upstream Prices**: Prices of Brent crude, CFR Japan naphtha, and other upstream products changed. PX prices decreased [29]. - **Polyester Product Prices**: Prices of POY, FDY, and other polyester products were stable or decreased slightly. Cash flows of some products changed [29]. - **Supply and Demand**: PTA开工率 increased, MEG综合开工率 decreased, and polyester综合开工率 decreased slightly [29]. Methanol - **Prices and Spreads**: Futures prices of methanol decreased, and some spreads and basis values changed. Spot prices in different regions also changed [38]. - **Supply and Demand**: Enterprise and port inventories of methanol increased, upstream and some downstream开工 rates changed [38].