宏观政策取向
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今日视点:“一行一局一会”工作会议释放哪些信号?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 23:10
Group 1 - The core policy direction of the People's Bank of China, the National Financial Regulatory Administration, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission remains stable, focusing on steady growth, promoting high-quality development, and risk prevention [1][2][3] - In monetary policy, the central bank emphasizes the importance of promoting high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery as key considerations, while flexibly using various monetary policy tools [2][9] - The financial "five major articles" policy framework will be further improved in 2026, aiming to optimize the financial supply structure and inject lasting internal momentum into economic development [2][10] Group 2 - The emphasis on risk prevention remains clear, with the central bank proposing to improve macro-prudential and financial stability management tools, while the regulatory bodies focus on addressing existing risks and preventing new ones [3][10] - There is an increased focus on collaborative efforts among the three departments, recognizing that single-department actions have limited marginal effects in the current economic environment [4][11] - The 2026 work priorities show a shift towards more forward-looking and institutionalized arrangements, with a clear focus on the "15th Five-Year Plan" and the establishment of mechanisms to support capital markets [5][13]
“一行一局一会”工作会议释放哪些信号?
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-19 16:11
Core Viewpoint - The annual work meetings of the People's Bank of China, the National Financial Regulatory Administration, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission indicate a stable policy direction for 2026, with a focus on enhancing existing frameworks and mechanisms to support economic growth and risk management [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Continuity and Focus - The policy themes of stabilizing growth, promoting high-quality development, and preventing risks remain consistent, providing a key support for market expectations [2]. - The central bank emphasizes a flexible and efficient use of monetary policy tools, including potential interest rate cuts, while ensuring that policies effectively reach the real economy [2]. - The financial "five major articles" will continue to be a focus, with an aim to optimize the financial supply structure and inject sustainable internal momentum into economic development [2]. Group 2: Risk Management - The commitment to risk prevention remains strong, with the central bank and regulatory bodies focusing on improving macro-prudential tools and managing existing risks while preventing new ones [3]. - The emphasis on preventing significant market fluctuations reflects a high level of concern regarding financial stability [3]. Group 3: Enhanced Coordination - Increased coordination among the three departments is crucial in the current economic environment, where the marginal effects of single-department actions are limited [4]. - The focus has shifted from merely expanding financial scale to optimizing structure and improving efficiency, with unified goals across different regulatory levels [4]. Group 4: Forward-Looking and Mechanized Approach - The meetings signal a stronger emphasis on the "15th Five-Year Plan," indicating a shift towards long-term institutional development [6]. - Mechanisms for providing liquidity to non-bank institutions and optimizing related arrangements are being institutionalized, reflecting a transition from effective measures to systematic approaches [6]. - The overall strategy for 2026 combines continuity with innovation, aiming for a more systematic, coordinated, and forward-looking financial regulation framework [6][7].