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金荣中国:白银午盘窄幅震荡盘整,等待回落支撑位多单布局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 09:49
Fundamental Analysis - Silver prices have surpassed historical records, reaching over $66.80 per ounce, marking one of the strongest rebounds in commodities for 2025, driven by ongoing market dynamics [1] - The current surge in silver prices is supported by a structural shortage in the global silver market for the fifth consecutive year, limited mining output, and increasing demand from renewable energy and electronics sectors [1] - Expectations of global monetary policy easing and declining real yields have reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, attracting institutional investors seeking asset diversification and inflation hedging, creating a rare resonance between industrial and investment demand [1] Price Trends - Silver has reached its long-term target's minimum threshold, with potential for further increases, ideally targeting $75 to $80, contingent on year-end market performance [3] - Silver prices have increased nearly 4% to $66.22 per ounce, with an intraday high of $66.87, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 129%, significantly outpacing gold's 65% rise [3] Market Dynamics - The internal dynamics of the Federal Reserve and the succession of its chairperson are significant variables affecting gold prices, with potential political interference raising concerns about the Fed's independence [4] - The dollar's performance is closely linked to global central bank policies, with a year-to-date decline of approximately 9.5%, the largest annual drop since 2017, providing support for gold prices [5] - Upcoming decisions from multiple central banks, including the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, are anticipated to further influence the dollar's exchange rate and, consequently, gold prices [5] Technical Analysis - Current silver market trends indicate an upward price trajectory, with support around $65.00 and a bullish outlook based on technical indicators [9] - Suggested trading strategies include positioning for long trades near the $65.00 support level, with stop-loss at $64.30 and profit targets between $68.60 and $69.00 [9]
首次突破65美元!白银领衔贵金属开启暴涨模式
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-17 03:12
Group 1 - Precious metals, including gold, silver, platinum, and palladium, are experiencing strong upward momentum, with silver prices surpassing $65 per ounce for the first time, reaching a high of $65.63 per ounce, marking a nearly 3.00% increase in a single day [1] - Platinum and palladium contracts also saw significant gains, with platinum rising by 4.00% to 512.80 yuan per gram and palladium increasing by 5.00% to 448.6 yuan per gram [1] - The gold-silver ratio has decreased to around 67.3, while the price spread between platinum and palladium has widened to approximately $240 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The current price surge in silver is supported by both supply and demand factors, with the global silver market experiencing structural shortages for the fifth consecutive year due to limited mining output and increasing demand from renewable energy and electronics sectors [2] - Expectations of loose global monetary policy and declining real yields are reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, attracting institutional investors seeking asset diversification and inflation hedging, creating a rare resonance between industrial and investment demand [2] - Recent U.S. labor data indicates a mixed employment situation, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 64,000 in November, surpassing expectations, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021, indicating a relatively weak trend in the labor market [2] Group 3 - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, maintained its holdings at 1,051.69 tons, while the largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, saw a decrease of 42.31 tons in holdings, bringing the current total to 16,018.29 tons [3]