就业市场预期
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【白银etf持仓量】12月8日白银ETF较上一交易日减少36.67吨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-09 08:36
Group 1 - The iShares Silver Trust, the world's largest silver ETF, reported a holding of 15,888.54 tons of silver as of December 8, a decrease of 36.67 tons from the previous trading day [1] - On December 8, the spot silver price closed at $58.11 per ounce, down 0.29%, with an intraday high of $58.61 and a low of $57.52 [1] Group 2 - The New York Federal Reserve's report indicated that while U.S. households' expectations for future inflation remained stable, their views on current and future financial conditions became more pessimistic in November [3] - Respondents reported a "notable deterioration" in their views on current financial conditions, while their outlook for the next year showed a "slight deterioration" [3] - However, perceptions of the job market improved in November, with expectations for rising unemployment over the next year decreasing, and the likelihood of unemployment reaching its lowest level since December 2024 [3] - Households also lowered their probability of voluntary job quitting [3] - The report showed that inflation expectations remained moderate, with a one-year inflation expectation steady at 3.2%, and three- and five-year expectations also holding at 3% [3] - Home price expectations remained stable, with an anticipated increase of 3%, while outlooks for various commodity prices showed little change [3] - However, the one-year expectation for medical costs rose to 10.1%, the highest level since January 2014 [3]
纽约联储调查:11月通胀预期保持稳定 但美国家庭对财务状况更悲观
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 23:24
Core Insights - The report from the New York Federal Reserve indicates that while American households maintain stable expectations regarding future inflation, their views on current and future financial conditions have become more pessimistic [1] Financial Conditions - Respondents reported a "significant deterioration" in their views on current financial conditions, while their outlook for the next year has "slightly worsened" [1] - There is a noted improvement in perceptions of the job market in November, with expectations for rising unemployment rates decreasing [1] Inflation Expectations - The overall inflation expectations for the next year remain moderate at 3.2%, unchanged from the previous month [1] - Three-year and five-year inflation expectations are also stable at 3% [1] - Medical cost expectations for the next year have surged by 10.1%, marking the highest level since January 2014 [1] Housing and Income Expectations - Housing price expectations remain stable, with an anticipated increase of 3% [1] - Expectations for future income and wage growth have remained positive in November [1]
纽约联储调查:特朗普关税威胁缓和 5月通胀担忧显著消退
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 00:29
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that consumer inflation expectations in the U.S. have significantly decreased due to the Trump administration's decision to delay the implementation of certain extreme tariff proposals [1] - The one-year inflation expectation dropped to 3.2%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from April, while the three-year expectation fell to 3%, down 0.2 percentage points [1] - Five-year inflation expectations slightly decreased from 2.7% to 2.6%, indicating a positive trend despite remaining above the Federal Reserve's 2% target [1] Group 2 - The survey indicates that most goods price expectations are declining, but respondents expect food prices to rise by 5.5%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, marking the highest level since October 2023 [2] - Conversely, gasoline price increase expectations decreased by 0.8 percentage points to 2.7%, while monthly increases in medical costs, college education expenses, and rent also showed a decline [2] - Employment market expectations improved, with the risk of unemployment over the next 12 months decreasing by 0.5 percentage points to 14.8% [2]