工业回流

Search documents
“大而美”法案对美国工业板块利好的落脚点分析
Haitong Securities International· 2025-07-10 08:03
Tax Policy Impacts - The "One Big Beautiful Bill" Act (OBBB) aims to extend and expand tax cuts from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), reducing the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% permanently[1][7] - The Act repeals provisions from the Biden administration aimed at reducing traditional energy consumption, benefiting traditional energy companies[1][7] Indirect Support for Infrastructure and AI - OBBB does not directly fund traditional manufacturing or infrastructure projects but focuses on tax policy and deregulation, which may indirectly support infrastructure and AI development by reducing corporate costs[2][8] - Permanent full expensing provisions for equipment, R&D, and plants allow companies to deduct the full cost of capital investments immediately, reducing financial burdens and encouraging investment in advanced manufacturing[3][9] Opportunity Zones and Investment Attraction - The Act expands Opportunity Zones to attract private capital into economically distressed areas, enhancing investment in projects like smart city technology and logistics hubs[4][10] - Deregulation measures simplify the approval process for infrastructure projects, potentially accelerating project timelines[4][10] Economic Growth and Local Industry - Tax cuts and capacity expansion incentives are expected to enhance the profitability and competitiveness of domestic industrial enterprises in the U.S. market[5][11] - Increased production capacity is anticipated to improve market share and meet local manufacturing demands, while personal tax reductions may boost overall consumption[5][11] Investment Recommendations - Companies that may benefit from the policy's tax cuts and required equipment investments include Vistra, Constellation, Talen Energy, GE Vernova, Schneider Electric, Eaton, Vertiv, Honeywell, Cummins, and Caterpillar[6][12] Risk Factors - Potential risks include slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth, changes in U.S. policy, and geopolitical uncertainties[6][13]
工业自动化:美国工业回流对需求的边际拉动研究
Haitong Securities International· 2025-06-13 11:09
[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 13 Jun 2025 Global AI Industrial and Energy 工业自动化:美国工业回流对需求的边际拉动研究 Industrial automation: the marginal effect of US reshoring to the industry | 杨斌 Bin Yang | 毛琼佩 Olivia Mao | | --- | --- | | bin.yang@htisec.com | olivia.qp.mao@htisec.com | [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 核心观点: 美国制造业增加值在考虑人口等禀赋因素下绝对值并不低,近几年年复合增长率缓慢走低。2022 年美国制造业增加 值为 2.6 万亿美元,占全球制造业增加值的 15.1%,居全球第二,次于中国的 5.1 万亿美元(31.0%),在考虑到人口 等禀赋因素下,美国制造业增加值的绝对 ...
全球新工业周报:SpaceX宣布2025年发射目标为170次轨道发射,同比2024年实际发射记录增长27%-20250606
Haitong Securities International· 2025-06-06 02:23
[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 5 Jun 2025 核心观点: 1)数据中心:美国正在阿联酋建立全球首个美国本土以外的星际之门。机器人:美国机械制造工业品价格指数 2025 年 4 月为 188.99,环比微增 0.88%,同比增长 2.83%。工业机器人板块, 2024 年全球机器人安装量预计维持在 54.1 万台的水平。本周报告称 ABB 与 Raumaster Paper 签署谅解备忘录,共同探索美国集成卷绕机解决方案。三菱电 机宣布其 MELSERVO-J5 (MR-J5) 伺服放大器新增支持多网络的功能。 全球新工业 Global Industrials 全球新工业周报(05/31-06/6): SpaceX 宣布 2025 年发射目标为 170 次轨道发射,同 比 2024 年实际发射记录增长 27% Global industrials Updates: SpaceX Sets 2025 Launch Target at 170 Orbital Missions, Marking 27% YoY Growth Over 2024 杨斌 Bin Yang 毛 ...
国际工业+能源周报(05、05-05、09):美国计划全面改造空中交通管制系统,北约继续强化东翼防御能力
海通国际· 2025-05-09 13:25
[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 9 May 2025 全球工业与能源 Global Industrial and Energy 国际工业+能源周报(05/05-05/09): 美国计划全面改造空中交通管制系统, 北约继续强化东翼防御能力 Global industrials + Energy Updates: The U.S. plans to comprehensively modernize the national air traffic control system, and NATO continues to strengthen its defense capabilities on the eastern flank | 杨斌 Bin Yang | 毛琼佩 Olivia Mao | 杨钰其 Yuqi Yang | 明悦馨 Ella Ming | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | bin.yang@htisec.com | olivia.qp.mao@htisec.com | yq.yang@htisec.com | ella.yx.mi ...