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格林大华期货:早盘提示:铁矿-20250918
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 03:49
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the iron ore in the black building materials sector is "oscillating" [3]. 2. Core View of the Report - The iron ore market had a decline on Wednesday and a rise during the night session. The supply of iron ore decreased as the arrival volume declined this period, and the port inventory continued to decrease with no prominent inventory contradiction. The iron ore main contract 2601 is expected to oscillate in the short - term, with the previous high of 833 as an important resistance level and 750 as the support level. Short - term operations are recommended [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Market Review - Iron ore closed down on Wednesday and up during the night session [3]. Important Information - In August, the daily output of crude steel of key steel enterprises was 211,960 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 1.5% [3]. - The China Association of the National Shipbuilding Industry expects that the annual shipbuilding completion volume in China will be around 51 million deadweight tons in 2025 [3]. - The Jiangsu Iron and Steel Association believes that it is urgent to rectify the "involution - style" competition [3]. Market Logic - On the 17th, the price of 61.5% PB powder at Qingdao Port was 792 yuan/ton wet (-11), the price of first - grade coke at Rizhao Port was 1,550 yuan/ton (-60), the price of quasi - first - grade coke was 1,480 yuan/ton (-50), the price of Shanghai rebar was 3,260 yuan/ton (-10), and the price of Shanghai hot - rolled coil was 3,420 yuan/ton (-10). The arrival volume of iron ore decreased this period, and the port inventory continued to decrease [3]. Trading Strategy - The iron ore main contract 2601 is expected to oscillate in the short - term, with the previous high of 833 as an important resistance level and 750 as the support level. Short - term operations are recommended [3].
有些MCU,开始一个月降本一次了
芯世相· 2025-06-06 07:15
Core Viewpoint - The MCU market is experiencing intense competition and price wars, leading to a significant decline in prices and profit margins for domestic manufacturers, with a shift from "import MCU to domestic replacement" to "domestic replacement of domestic" becoming prevalent [3][4][5]. Group 1: Changes in MCU Market - The MCU market has seen a drastic price drop, with 8-bit MCUs now available for just a few cents, and 32-bit MCUs also entering aggressive price competition [3][4]. - Domestic manufacturers initially adopted a "price for volume" strategy, but now end customers are pushing prices down further due to their own cost-cutting pressures [4][5]. - The market is characterized by oversupply, with many companies competing fiercely, leading to a situation where even minimal profits are considered a relief [4][11]. Group 2: Market Demand and Recovery - Despite a slight decrease in inventory levels, the overall demand for MCUs has not shown significant signs of recovery, with many companies still facing declining revenues [14][15]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw many domestic MCU companies report negative growth, indicating that the market is still far from a full recovery [11][13]. - Analysts suggest that the recovery of the MCU market may be delayed until the second half of the year, depending on broader economic conditions [15][16]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition is not only based on price but also on service and payment terms, with companies extending payment periods to attract customers [8][11]. - New entrants in the MCU market are rapidly increasing competition, with some companies achieving significant technological advancements and cost reductions [5][10]. - Major domestic players like Zhaoyi Innovation are launching new products aimed at redefining the entry-level MCU market, emphasizing high cost-performance ratios [10][11]. Group 4: Financial Performance of Companies - A report indicated that 18 out of 19 domestic MCU companies experienced revenue growth, but many still faced net losses, highlighting a divide in performance within the industry [11][12]. - Companies like Guoxin Technology and Unisoc reported significant revenue declines, with some experiencing over 50% drops in revenue [11][12]. - The overall profitability of many MCU companies is under pressure, with several reporting return on equity (ROE) below the industry average [11][12].
7大锂电企业暴雷、破产丨复盘2024
起点锂电· 2025-02-03 05:42
马太效应的持续加强下,锂电各细分领域中后端企业正面临淘汰出局的危机。动力市场如此,储能市场更是如此。 动力端,截至今年11月,国内装机量前四的企业市占率高达81%,剩下不到20%的市场需"分食"给其他50家企业,生存空间被持续压缩。 而将三元和磷酸铁锂电池装机量分开来看的话,市场高度集中的情况更加明显。1-11月,三元电池装机量前4企业市场份额达到89%以上,磷酸 铁锂电池装机量前4企业市场份额达到81.6%。 储能端,从蓝海到红海不过3年时间,储能系统及电芯环节的集中度也在提高。尤其在电芯端,1-9月数据显示,全球储能电芯出货量前10企业 市占率达到99.3%,前4企业市占率超过70%。 反应到企业端,企查查数据显示,近1年时间内,超过3500家储能企业因各种原因(如注销、吊销、撤销、清算、停业、歇业、除名、责令关 闭等)变更为异常状态。 很明显,不具备竞争力的"产能"正在加速出清。近两年,陆续有企业退场,不乏昔日龙头企业。 比如在2023年,松下蓄电池(沈阳)工厂全面停产;捷威动力宣布停工停产;以及多家企业宣布终止锂电相关项目等。而2024年,锂电行业的 内卷情况更为严峻。 据多家业内人士向起点锂电透露, ...