2025年11月11日，由北京证券交易所投资者教育基地联合福建省证券期货业协会、湘财证券投资者教育基 地、湘财证券北交所投资者服务e站承办，湘财证券福州鼓屏路证券营业部、全景投资者教育上海基地协办 的"直达服务行千里，理性投资进万家"投资者零距离--走进福建国航远洋运输（集团）股份有限公司（证 券代码：920571）活动成功举办。活动通过实地走访与深度交流，重点解读了在保障国家供应链安全、"国 货国运"战略深化背景下，作为北交所"航运第一股"的国航远洋所面临的历史机遇与核心优势。 湘财证券投资顾问吴嘉懿从行业层面分析指出，全球干散货船舶老龄化问题与新增订单不足，形成了供给 端的硬约束。而与此同时，中国作为全球最大的大宗商品进口国，在"国货国运"政策导向下，对安全、可 靠、高效的航运需求将持续增长。这一结构性矛盾，使得拥有年轻现代化船队、领先节能技术以及与大型 货主紧密合作的头部航运企业价值凸显。国航远洋凭借其先发优势，正牢牢把握这一历史性机遇。 战略确定性抵御外部不确定性 在回应投资者关于中美贸易摩擦等外部风险时，何志强再次强调了"国货国运"的战略确定性对公司业务的 强大支撑。他分析认为，干散货运输以服务中国 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, total net revenues were reported at $40.4 million, with a net loss attributable to controlling shareholders of $0.7 million, equating to a loss of $0.24 per share. Adjusted net loss was $0.6 million or $0.23 per share. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $4.1 million [3][4][21] - For the first nine months of 2025, total net revenues were $34.9 million, representing a 25% decrease from $46.6 million in the same period of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for this period was $5 million, down from $7.6 million in 2024 [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company operated an average of 12 vessels in Q3 2025, earning an average time charter equivalent rate of $13,232 per day, compared to 13 vessels earning $13,105 per day in Q3 2024. The commercial utilization rate was 100% [25][26] - Daily cash flow break-even level for Q3 2025 was $12,482 per vessel, down from $15,145 per vessel in Q3 2024 [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Panama export rates increased from approximately $14,500 per day to $14,950 per day by the end of Q3 2025, with spot rates for Panamax vessels rising to around $15,500 per day as of November 7 [7][8] - The Baltic Dry Index and Baltic Panamax Index recorded year-over-year increases of approximately 6% and 14%, respectively, indicating a better market compared to the previous year [8][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to continue executing share repurchases under its $10 million plan, which has been extended for an additional year, while also modernizing its fleet in preparation for future market conditions [4][18] - The company is focusing on securing longer-term coverage when rates reach between $15,000 and $17,000 per day [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the overall market remains uncertain due to geopolitical developments, but there are signs of recovery in the dry bulk sector, supported by strong demand for minor bulks and robust grain trade flows [15][16] - The IMF projects global growth to ease slightly, with persistent trade tensions and policy uncertainty impacting investment and trade activity [9][10] Other Important Information - The company has two Ultramax vessels under construction, scheduled for delivery in 2027, which will expand the fleet to 13 vessels with a total carrying capacity of just under 900,000 deadweight tons [6] - As of September 30, 2025, the company's debt stood at $97.9 million, with a repayment schedule indicating $13.1 million in repayments for 2025 [28][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the threshold for shifting from short-term index-linked exposure to securing longer-term coverage? - Management indicated that they would consider longer-term coverage if rates reach around $15,000 to $17,000 [32] Question: What is the timeline for the extra RENI vessel? - The extra RENI was fixed for a trip via South America and back to the Far East, expected to take about 90-100 days at a rate of approximately $16,500 per day [33] Question: What are the plans for improving near-term liquidity? - Management highlighted improved liquidity due to the sale of the Irini vessel and financing arrangements for new buildings, projecting a liquidity increase of over $15 million by year-end [35] Question: Can you clarify the new build financing and incremental debt? - Management confirmed that approximately $53 million in debt would be drawn to finance the two new buildings by their delivery in 2027 [37] Question: What is the outlook for rates on specific vessels? - Management explained that rates can vary significantly based on the type of voyage, with higher rates expected for voyages from the Atlantic to the Far East [38]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the transportation industry [3] Core Insights - The transportation industry is experiencing a recovery, with various segments showing potential for growth, particularly in shipping, infrastructure, aviation, and express delivery [7][19][22][20] Shipping - The shipping sector is seeing mixed price movements, with the SCFI for the US East route down 17.2% and the Southeast Asia route up 6.4% [11] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the price increases in container shipping and the potential recovery in oil tanker rates due to improved US-China trade relations [16][12] Infrastructure - Key metrics indicate a decline in truck traffic and railway cargo, while port throughput has increased significantly, suggesting a shift in market dynamics [17][18] - The report emphasizes the potential for dividend stocks in the infrastructure sector, particularly in ports, which are currently undervalued [19] Aviation - The aviation sector shows a positive trend with a 7.2% year-on-year increase in passenger volume, driven by improved demand and a low base effect [22] - The report suggests that the industry is poised for profitability in 2026, with a focus on valuation recovery and potential investment opportunities in major airlines [22] Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is benefiting from a reduction in price competition, with a notable increase in business volume and revenue [20] - The report indicates that the "anti-involution" policies are helping to stabilize prices and improve profitability in the sector [20] Logistics - The logistics segment is experiencing stable performance, with cross-border air freight prices showing a week-on-week increase [23] - The report notes the importance of monitoring the daily traffic at key ports and the implications for logistics operations [23]

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to expand its fleet to 100 vessels by 2028-2029, focusing on diverse shipping needs and responding to the Belt and Road Initiative, with a significant growth potential in the heavy-lift shipping segment [1][2]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Performance - The company reported a revenue of 3.009 billion yuan from January to September, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.32% [1]. - In the third quarter, the company achieved a revenue of 1.209 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 21.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 166 million yuan, showing a substantial quarter-on-quarter increase of 761.81% [1]. - The company plans to acquire approximately 15 vessels annually over the next three years to reach its fleet target [1]. Group 2: Market Demand and Supply Dynamics - The company anticipates significant demand growth, with the West Simandou iron ore project expected to ship over 20 million tons next year, alongside an additional 50 million tons from Brazil's Vale [2]. - The supply side remains constrained due to low order levels and aging vessels, which, combined with stricter environmental regulations, is expected to tighten supply further [2]. - The company expresses optimism about the market outlook, supported by a tightening effective capacity and the release of overseas mining capacities [2]. Group 3: Location and Policy Advantages - The company benefits from the strategic location of the Pingtan Comprehensive Experimental Zone, which provides opportunities for expanding shipping routes and capacity [2]. - The company is actively involved in transporting bulk commodities like coal and ore, aligning with the strategic development of the marine economy in Fujian [2]. - The company is committed to integrating modern shipping with sustainable marine economic development, supporting the national "Marine Power" strategy [2]. Group 4: Capital Raising and Confidence - The company disclosed a plan for a private placement, with its controlling shareholder intending to fully subscribe to 210 million yuan of newly issued shares to optimize fleet structure and expand international shipping capacity [3]. - This move reflects the controlling shareholder's confidence in the company's growth prospects and its position in the dry bulk shipping sector [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the shipping and port industry is "Favorable", the same as the previous rating [2] 2. Core View of the Report - The overall throughput performance is stable, so the "Favorable" rating for the shipping and port sector is maintained [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overview: National Import - Export Volume and Cargo Throughput - **Import - Export Volume**: From January to September 2025, the national import - export volume reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4%. The national import volume was 13.66 trillion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 0.2%, and the national export volume was 19.94 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 7.1% [2][16] - **Cargo Throughput**: From January to September 2025, the cargo throughput of major coastal ports in China reached 86.57 billion tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.5%, and the foreign - trade cargo throughput of major coastal ports reached 37.54 billion tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.1% [3] 3.2 Container: Container Shipping Freight Rates and Container Throughput - **Container Shipping Freight Rates**: On October 31, 2025, CCFI closed at 1021.39 points, a year - on - year decrease of 25.25% and a month - on - month increase of 2.89%. SCFI closed at 1550.7 points, a year - on - year decrease of 29.04% and a month - on - month increase of 10.49% [4] - **Container Throughput**: From January to September 2025, the container throughput of major coastal ports in China reached 232.68 million TEUs, a year - on - year increase of 6.5%. The year - on - year growth rates of Qingdao, Shanghai, Ningbo - Zhoushan, and Shenzhen were 7.3%, 6.2%, 10%, and 5.4% respectively [4] 3.3 Liquid Bulk: Oil Shipping Freight Rates and Crude Oil Throughput - **Oil Shipping Freight Rates**: On October 31, 2025, BDTI closed at 1436 points, a year - on - year increase of 50.05% and a month - on - month increase of 14.33%. On October 30, 2025, the TCE of TD3C, TD25, and TD22 routes were 123,800, 62,600, and 89,700 US dollars per day respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of 295.89%, 82.4%, and 139.58% [5][6] - **Crude Oil Throughput**: From January to September 2025, the crude oil throughput of major crude oil receiving port enterprises reached 297 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.88% [6] 3.4 Dry Bulk: Bulk Shipping Freight Rates and Iron Ore, Coal Throughput - **Bulk Shipping Freight Rates**: On October 31, 2025, BDI closed at 1966 points, a year - on - year increase of 42.67% and a month - on - month decrease of 1.26% [7] - **Iron Ore Throughput**: From January to September 2025, the iron ore throughput of major iron ore receiving port enterprises reached 1.044 billion tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.25% [7] - **Coal Throughput**: From January to September 2025, the coal throughput of major northern coal shipping port enterprises reached 515 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 0.29% [7] 3.5 Key Port Listed Companies' Monthly Throughput - **Shanghai International Port Group**: In September 2025, the cargo throughput was 52 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 11.72%, and the container throughput was 4.833 million TEUs, a year - on - year increase of 13.61% [76] - **Ningbo Port Co., Ltd.**: In September 2025, the cargo throughput was 105 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 16.42%, and the container throughput was 4.64 million TEUs, a year - on - year increase of 13.45% [76] - **China Merchants Port Holdings Co., Ltd.**: In September 2025, the container throughput of Pearl River Delta ports was 1.292 million TEUs, a year - on - year decrease of 15.5%, and the container throughput of overseas ports was 3.308 million TEUs, a year - on - year increase of 12.17% [76] - **Beibu Gulf Port Co., Ltd.**: In September 2025, the cargo throughput was 30 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 9.00%, and the container throughput was 842,500 TEUs, a year - on - year increase of 12.06% [76] - **Guangzhou Port Co., Ltd.**: In September 2025, the cargo throughput was 50 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.01%, and the container throughput was 2.255 million TEUs, a year - on - year increase of 7.38% [76]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a growth of 35% in Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in the container shipping segment [2][8] - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 265.00 billion, 277.85 billion, and 288.20 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.72%, 4.85%, and 3.73% respectively [8] Segment Performance Summary Container Shipping - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 44.26 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.20% [4] - The segment's net profit showed a substantial increase of 119.70% year-on-year, totaling 10.37 billion [8] Oil Tanker Transportation - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 67.34 billion, a decline of 3.55% year-on-year [5] - The segment's net profit decreased by 8.25% year-on-year, amounting to 18.90 billion [5] Dry Bulk Shipping - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 60.84 billion, with a slight increase of 0.23% year-on-year [5] - The segment's net profit fell by 38.97% year-on-year, totaling 7.14 billion [5] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 56.21 billion, 63.14 billion, and 67.50 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.70, 0.78, and 0.84 [8] - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating based on the projected PE ratios of 12.33, 10.97, and 10.26 for the years 2025 to 2027 [8]

Group 1 - Shipping stocks are experiencing active performance, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy (up 3.21% to HKD 9.65), Orient Overseas International (up 3% to HKD 126.9), COSCO Shipping Holdings (up 2.97% to HKD 12.82), and Yang Ming Marine Transport (up 1.7% to HKD 8.39) [1] - The U.S. 301 port fee measures will be implemented on October 14, prompting China to announce special port fees for U.S. vessels starting the same day. This reciprocal action is expected to create short-term price fluctuations in shipping rates due to initial implementation chaos [1][2] - Concerns over port congestion and supply chain efficiency have intensified following new U.S. sanctions and China's announcement of special port fees, leading to a significant increase in VLCC shipping rates last week. The combination of these factors and the seasonal peak is expected to result in strong performance for oil shipping rates in the short to medium term [1] Group 2 - The reciprocal port fee measures between China and the U.S. are anticipated to increase costs for shipping companies, potentially disrupting established trading rhythms and causing short-term chaos. This environment may empower shipping companies to pass on costs and exert greater pricing power, supporting short-term rate increases [2] - In the medium to long term, shipping companies may adjust capacity across global routes to mitigate the impact of port fees. However, given China's critical role in global dry bulk, energy transport, and manufacturing exports, the ultimate effects of these measures will require further observation [2] - Investment opportunities in shipping stocks related to U.S.-China trade tensions are suggested, with oil and dry bulk shipping rates likely to benefit from the short-term risk premium associated with the current chaos [2]

Core Viewpoint - The transportation sector has seen an increase, with stocks such as Haixia Co., Nanjing Port, and Sanyangma leading the gains. The impact of the US-China mutual port fees on freight rates is limited, but initial policy implementation may cause short-term fluctuations in rates [1] Group 1: Shipping Industry Insights - Major shipping companies, including COSCO Shipping, have committed not to raise freight rates to maintain market competitiveness, opting instead to manage increased costs through schedule adjustments [1] - In the oil and dry bulk shipping sectors, the market is expected to self-regulate, with less viable vessels potentially exiting the US routes, allowing others to fill the capacity [1] - The oil shipping market is anticipated to perform strongly in the short to medium term due to seasonal demand [1] Group 2: Container Shipping Outlook - During the holiday period, shipping companies have attempted to support rates by suspending services, but the October pricing remains weak [1] - In the medium to long term, container shipping rates are expected to face pressure due to subdued economic performance in Europe and the US, ongoing trade risks, and the continued use of the Cape of Good Hope route by many shipping companies [1] - The limited availability of new small container vessels is expected to create a gap in capacity, which may sustain market vitality amid growing demand for diversified global supply chains, driven by US tariffs [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the shipping and port sector [2][8] Core Insights - The total import and export volume in China from January to August 2025 reached 29.57 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, with imports at 11.96 trillion yuan (down 1.2%) and exports at 17.61 trillion yuan (up 6.9%) [16][19] - Coastal major ports handled a total cargo throughput of 7.688 billion tons from January to August 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [3][34] - Container throughput at coastal major ports reached 20.646 million TEUs, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.5% [4][43] - The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) was reported at 1078 points on October 8, 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.27% [5][45] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) stood at 1963 points on October 8, 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 9.12% [7][60] Summary by Sections 1. Overview: National Import and Export Volume and Cargo Throughput - The national import and export volume for January to August 2025 was 29.57 trillion yuan, with imports at 11.96 trillion yuan (down 1.2%) and exports at 17.61 trillion yuan (up 6.9%) [16][19] 2. Container: Shipping Rates and Container Throughput - The China Container Freight Index (CCFI) was at 1087.41 points on September 26, 2025, down 37.58% year-on-year [4][37] - Container throughput at coastal major ports was 20.646 million TEUs from January to August 2025, up 6.5% year-on-year [4][43] 3. Liquid Bulk: Oil Shipping Rates and Crude Oil Throughput - The BDTI was at 1078 points on October 8, 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.27% [5][45] - Crude oil imports from January to August 2025 totaled 376 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [6][54] 4. Dry Bulk: Shipping Rates and Iron Ore, Coal Throughput - The BDI was reported at 1963 points on October 8, 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 9.12% [7][60] - Iron ore throughput from January to August 2025 reached 921 million tons, up 2.57% year-on-year [7][66] 5. Key Port Listed Companies Monthly Throughput - Major port companies reported various throughput figures, with Shanghai Port handling 0.55 billion tons in August 2025, a 10.25% increase year-on-year [78]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - As of the reporting date, the shipment volume of industrial products remained high, marginally supporting the transportation demand for Capesize vessels. The Capesize vessel freight index BCI maintained a weekly increase, supporting the continued rise of the BDI composite freight index. However, the BPI freight index continued to decline, and the BSI freight index turned from rising to falling, indicating that freight rates on some routes were starting to weaken. The significant reduction in wheat and soybean shipments dragged down the transportation demand for Handysize vessels, while the high shipment volume of industrial products such as Australian iron ore, South African coal, Russian coal, and Guinean bauxite supported the transportation demand for Capesize vessels [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Spot Index Review 3.1.1 BDI Freight Index Analysis - Compared with the data on September 12, the range of decline in the route - specific freight index widened, the decline of the BPI freight index increased, and the BSI freight index turned from rising to falling. In addition, the weekly increase of the BCI freight index narrowed, which also led to a narrowing of the increase in the BDI composite freight index. The BDI composite freight index closed at 2203 points, a week - on - week increase of 3.62%; the BCI freight index closed at 3437 points, a week - on - week increase of 11.95%; the BPI freight index closed at 1845 points, a week - on - week decrease of 8.03%; the BSI freight index closed at 1489 points, a week - on - week decrease of 0.2%; the BHSI freight index closed at 815 points, a week - on - week increase of 1.37% [4]. 3.1.2 FDI Far - East Dry Bulk Freight Index - On September 18, the FDI composite index, FDI rental freight index, and FDI spot freight index all rebounded, but the rebound amplitude decreased. In the FDI rental freight index, the rental freight of Capesize vessels still increased month - on - month. Specifically, the FDI composite freight index closed at 1389.93 points, a month - on - month increase of 0.8%; the FDI rental index closed at 1725.57 points, a month - on - month increase of 0.97%; among them, the Capesize vessel rental index closed at 1926.47 points, a month - on - month increase of 2.29%; the Panamax vessel rental index closed at 1550.88 points, a month - on - month increase of 0.09%; the Handymax vessel rental index closed at 1632.4 points, a month - on - month decrease of 0.21%; the FDI freight index closed at 1166.17 points, a month - on - month increase of 0.63% [9]. 3.2 Dry Bulk Shipment Situation Tracking 3.2.1 Number of Vessels Used for Shipment in Sending Countries on the Day - The main sending countries of industrial products include Indonesia, Australia, Guinea, Russia, the United States, South Africa, Brazil, Canada, India, Colombia, Serbia, and Mozambique. The main sending countries of agricultural products include Russia, Argentina, Australia, Ukraine, and the United States. On September 22, among the main sending countries of agricultural products, Brazil used 50 vessels for shipment, Russia used 14 vessels, Argentina used 22 vessels, and Australia used 3 vessels. Among the main sending countries of industrial products, Australia used 57 vessels, Guinea used 34 vessels, Indonesia used 39 vessels, Russia used 20 vessels, South Africa used 18 vessels, Brazil used 12 vessels, and the United States used 11 vessels [14][15]. 3.2.2 Analysis of Shipment Volume and Vessel Usage on the Day - In terms of agricultural product shipments, 21 vessels were used for corn shipment, 21 for wheat, 11 for soybeans, 12 for soybean meal, and 17 for sugar. In terms of industrial product shipments, 108 vessels were used for coal, 82 for iron ore, and 15 for other dry goods. In terms of vessel types, the largest number of vessels required for agricultural product shipments was 35 Post - Panamax vessels, followed by 21 Handymax vessels, and finally 17 Handysize vessels. For industrial product shipments, the largest number was 96 Capesize vessels, followed by 71 Post - Panamax vessels, and finally 53 Handymax vessels [15]. 3.3 Tracking of the Number of Vessels at Major Ports - The data for the week showed that the number of vessels at major Chinese ports decreased week - on - week. Data from mid - to late September showed that "three ports increased, two ports decreased." The expected number of dry - bulk vessels docked at Chinese ports increased by 8 week - on - week, the number of vessels docked at six Australian ports decreased by 5 week - on - week, the number of vessels at South African ports increased by 1 week - on - week, the number of vessels at Brazilian ports increased by 1 week - on - week, and the number of vessels at six Indonesian ports decreased by 2 week - on - week [16]. 3.4 Relationship between Freight and Commodity Prices - On September 19, Brazilian soybeans were priced at $40 per ton. On September 22, the near - term shipping quote for Brazilian soybeans was 3945.57 yuan per ton. On September 18, the latest quote for the BCI C10_14 route freight was $30205 per day. On September 19, the latest quote for the CIF price of iron ore was $120.75 per thousand tons. On September 18, the latest quote for the BPI P3A_03 route freight was $14490 per day. On September 18, the latest quote for the CIF price of thermal coal was 558.34 yuan per ton. On September 19, the Handysize vessel freight index was quoted at 807.6 points. On September 19, the CFR price of 4 - meter medium - grade ACFR radiata pine was quoted at $114 per cubic meter [19].