Group 1: Gold Market Insights - The continuous rise in the gold market is attributed to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, global trade conflicts, and geopolitical risks [3] - Weak U.S. economic data supports the case for rate cuts, while low yields and a weak dollar enhance gold's appeal [3] - Trump's tariff policies and increasing geopolitical tensions have heightened market uncertainty, boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold is currently trading around $3372.63, with potential testing of the $3360 support level [4] - The resistance level is identified at $3387.85, which corresponds to a 61.8% retracement level from a previous low of $3269, indicating possible deep corrections or trend reversals [4] - If gold prices successfully break above the resistance, they may test the yearly high of $3500 [4] Group 3: Short-term Trading Strategies - The key support for gold is noted at $3360, and maintaining this level is crucial for a bullish outlook [6] - A breakthrough above $3385 could provide further buying opportunities, with targets set at $3384, $3392, and $3402 [6] - Current trading strategies suggest maintaining long positions as long as the price holds above the critical support level [6] Group 4: Oil Market Overview - International oil prices have stabilized after three consecutive days of decline, with Brent crude at $68.76 and WTI at $66.27 [12] - Concerns over OPEC+ potentially increasing production by 547,000 barrels per day may lead to oversupply, countering support from Russian supply disruptions [12] - The technical outlook for WTI shows significant downward pressure, with prices hovering around $66 and failing to maintain support from moving averages [12] Group 5: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The oil market is currently in a "supply-demand expectation tug-of-war," with OPEC+ decisions potentially lowering prices while geopolitical pressures from the U.S. may limit supply [15] - Short-term oil prices are expected to remain volatile, with September being a critical turning point for the market [16]

Group 1 - The SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) reported at 4.30% on May 16, down from 4.31% the previous day, indicating a slight decrease in overnight borrowing costs [1] - The sale of three-month Treasury bills by the U.S. Treasury will test market risk appetite following the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating [1] - The effective federal funds rate remained unchanged at 4.33% on the same day, consistent with the previous day's rate [1]

赵兴言：黄金多空转折点又来了？欧盘反抽继续做 空！ 晚间风险数据预警 北京时间周二22:00，美国3月谘商会消费者信心指数将出炉，预计为94.0，前值为98.3。 北京时间周二22:00，美国2月新屋销售数据将公布，预计年化月率增长3.5%，前值为下降10.5%。 假如美国经济数据强于预期，这可能推动美元进一步反弹，从而打击金价走势。 对于今天黄金走势的看法 黄金方面，已经连续三日走了回撤，这在前期疯狂连阳上涨的情况来看是有些特殊的，通常，日线连阳中的 阴线，只要是欧盘抗跌，美盘前出空，而分水岭早间高点，通常美盘会依托前一日低点做分水岭止损，而按 周二亚市盘中，现货黄金在周一北美时段重挫后基本持稳，目前金价位于3020美元/盎司附近。黄金价格周一 北美时段遭遇抛售，因美国总统特朗普对贸易伙伴征收关税态度趋于软化，市场风险偏好情绪显著升温，这 令避险资产黄金受到打压，而目前的反弹，还需要看黄金是否有力度！ | 赵兴言：黄金双顶强压真要跌了? 晚间3035阻力延续看空! | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-03-24 21:12:28 | 定时发布:立即发布 | 置顶 ...