Group 1 - The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) was reported at 4.39% on July 31, up from 4.32% the previous day [1] - The effective federal funds rate remained unchanged at 4.33% on the same day, consistent with the previous day's rate [1]

据美国纽约联储数据，上个交易日（7月11日）担保隔夜融资利率（SOFR）报4.31%，之前一天报 4.31%。 上个交易日有效的联邦基金利率报4.33%，之前一天报4.33%。 ...

Core Insights - The probability of the federal funds rate reaching the "zero lower bound" (ZLB) in the next seven years is estimated at 9%, with current rate uncertainty exacerbating this risk [2] - Despite higher expected interest rates compared to the past decade, significant uncertainty remains, keeping the ZLB risk notable [2] - Empirical evidence suggests that changes in interest rate expectations are the primary drivers of ZLB risk [2] Historical Context - The Federal Reserve first lowered rates to the 0%-0.25% range during the 2008 financial crisis to stimulate economic recovery, maintaining this level for seven years [3] - Rates were again reduced to zero in response to the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, lasting for two years [3] - Recent research indicates that the risk of returning to ZLB persists, influenced by complex economic conditions, geopolitical conflicts, and global economic sluggishness [3]

上个交易日有效的联邦基金利率报4.33%，之前一天报4.33%。 据美国纽约联储数据，上个交易日（6月27日）担保隔夜融资利率（SOFR）报4.39%，之前一天报 4.40%。 ...

Core Points - The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) reached 4.40% on June 26, marking a two-month high, up from 4.36% the previous day [1] - The effective federal funds rate remained unchanged at 4.33% on the same day [1]

Group 1 - The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) reported at 4.32% on June 16, up from 4.28% the previous day [1] - The effective federal funds rate remained unchanged at 4.33% on June 16, consistent with the previous day [1] - Significant risk was added to the June 26 SOFR futures contract following record trading volumes on March 26 and June 26 [1] Group 2 - The largest increase in risk was observed in the 10-year Treasury futures due to price volatility on the same day [1]

Core Points - The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) was reported at 4.35% on May 30, an increase from the previous day's rate of 4.33% [1] - The effective federal funds rate remained unchanged at 4.33% on the same day, consistent with the previous day's rate [1]

上个交易日有效的联邦基金利率报4.33%，之前一天报4.33%。 据美国纽约联储数据，上个交易日（5月23日）担保隔夜融资利率（SOFR）报4.26%，之前一天报 4.26%。 ...

Group 1 - The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) on May 22 was reported at 4.26%, unchanged from the previous day [1] - The effective federal funds rate on the same day was also reported at 4.26%, consistent with the prior day's figure [1]

Group 1 - The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) was reported at 4.27% on May 20, down from 4.29% the previous day [1] - The effective federal funds rate remained unchanged at 4.33% on the same day [1] - Continuous inflow of funds is putting pressure on the overnight repurchase agreement rates [1]