Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market rebounded on December 2, with significant gains in technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, indicating a shift in market sentiment after a period of decline [1][6]. Group 1: Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin surged over 5%, rising above $90,000, recovering some losses from the previous trading day, while Ethereum increased by over 7% [2]. - The overall market sentiment for cryptocurrencies improved, with traders showing renewed interest after weeks of selling pressure [6]. Group 2: Technology Stocks - Technology stocks related to artificial intelligence (AI) provided substantial support to the market, with companies like Oracle reversing previous declines and Nvidia rising nearly 2% [3]. - Credo Technology's stock soared by 12%, reaching a historical high after reporting better-than-expected earnings [5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - Analysts noted a calmer market atmosphere, with a significant probability (over 87%) that the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate cuts in December, which has contributed to a more positive outlook [6]. - December is historically a strong month for the stock market, with the S&P 500 index averaging over a 1% increase since 1950, making it the third-best month for performance [6][7]. - Increased consumer spending and corporate investments in AI are expected to support productivity gains, potentially leading to improved earnings and stock price growth [7].

Macro Strategy Insights - The current market focus is on structural aspects, with expectations for next year's economic conditions becoming increasingly important, while current economic conditions have a diminishing impact on stock prices [1] - Two strategies for year-end market positioning are proposed: focusing on technology growth and cyclical sectors benefiting from supply-side adjustments and structural demand changes [1] - Key areas of interest include low-position technology growth (AI software applications, military industry, pharmaceuticals) and cyclical sectors (steel, chemicals, building materials, new consumption & service consumption, agriculture) [1] Industry Tracking - In November, lithium battery production reached 138.6 GWh, a month-on-month increase of 1.5%, indicating strong demand [2] - The increase in production is driven by seasonal demand and pre-installation needs, with significant growth in the domestic energy storage sector and accelerating sales in the European and U.S. electric vehicle markets [2][3] - The industry is experiencing tightening supply-demand dynamics, leading to price increases across various segments, including batteries and lithium hexafluorophosphate [2][3] - Major battery manufacturers are operating at full capacity and seeking external production to meet demand, with price increases for energy storage batteries already reflected in Q3 results [3] - The processing fees for lithium iron phosphate batteries have risen significantly, indicating a supply-demand imbalance that is expected to persist into next year [3]