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建材稳增长方案出台,反内卷有望强化 | 投研报告
Core Viewpoint - The introduction of the "Construction Materials Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" aims to effectively enhance profitability as a primary goal for the period, with a focus on strengthening industry management and promoting a competitive environment [2] Group 1: Industry Policy and Management - The plan emphasizes the need for capacity replacement proposals for cement enterprises by the end of 2025 to align actual capacity with registered capacity [2] - It also highlights the transition of risk warnings for photovoltaic glass production from project management to planning guidance [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Price Movements - National cement prices have seen a significant month-on-month increase of 1.5%, with attempts to raise prices since late August facing challenges due to insufficient demand [3] - The glass market is experiencing a slowdown in price increases, with overall prices showing slight gains, supported by mid and downstream replenishment [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The stabilization plan is expected to boost industry expectations, particularly in the cement and glass sectors, with companies likely to continue pushing for price increases in Q4 [4] - Recommended companies include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Taipai Group, with additional focus on investment opportunities in Tibet and Xinjiang due to major project constructions [4][5]
建筑建材双周报(2025年第15期):建材稳增长方案出台,反内卷有望强化-20251008
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-08 07:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials sector, indicating expected performance above the market index by more than 10% over the next 6 to 12 months [5][89]. Core Views - The introduction of the "Stabilization Growth Work Plan for the Building Materials Industry (2025-2026)" aims to enhance profitability and strengthen industry management, promoting a competitive environment [1][3]. - Cement prices have seen a significant increase of 1.5% recently, with expectations for further price hikes as companies strive to meet annual growth targets [2][22]. - The glass market is experiencing a slight price increase, supported by downstream replenishment, although demand acceptance at higher prices remains limited [2][37]. - The fiberglass market shows stable pricing for non-alkali yarn, while electronic yarn remains in high demand, indicating a robust market for high-end products [2][54]. Summary by Sections Cement - National cement prices have risen significantly, with a 1.5% increase noted. Companies are expected to continue pushing for price increases as the fourth quarter approaches [2][22]. - The report anticipates that cement companies will maintain upward price momentum to achieve annual growth targets [2][22]. Glass - Float glass prices have shown a slight increase, supported by replenishment from downstream sectors, although the acceptance of high prices is limited [2][37]. - The photovoltaic glass market has seen a slight decline in demand, with inventory levels increasing, but manufacturers are maintaining stable pricing strategies [2][45]. Fiberglass - The price of non-alkali yarn remains stable, with mainstream prices for 2400tex yarn at 3250-3700 CNY/ton, while electronic yarn prices are stable due to high demand in the high-end market [2][54]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the cement and glass sectors due to stricter supply controls and improving profitability. Recommended companies include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Qibin Group [3][5]. - For fiberglass, companies like China National Materials and China Jushi are highlighted as beneficiaries of structural demand growth [3][5]. - In the construction sector, a recovery in infrastructure investment is anticipated, with recommendations for companies such as China Railway Construction and China State Construction [3][5].
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:建材稳增长政策落地,反内卷力度有望强化-20250928
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-28 14:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Views - The implementation of stable growth policies in the building materials sector is expected to strengthen anti-involution efforts, leading to potential growth opportunities [1][4] - The report highlights a rebound in industrial profits and improvements in the Producer Price Index (PPI), driven by anti-involution measures [4] - The report recommends several companies, including Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and Qibin Group, as well as consumer building materials firms like Oppein Home and Arrow Bathroom, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [4][6] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The building materials sector experienced a decline of 2.11% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices, which gained 1.07% and 0.25% respectively [4] - The average price of high-standard cement nationwide is reported at 351.0 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 5.3 CNY/ton but a year-on-year decrease of 35.0 CNY/ton [4][18] - The average cement inventory ratio is 65.7%, up 0.9 percentage points from last week [25] 2. Cement Market - The report notes a slight decrease in cement demand due to weather conditions, with an average shipment rate of 46.5%, down 1.9 percentage points from last week [25] - The report anticipates that cement companies will continue to push for price increases as the fourth quarter approaches, with expectations for a rebound in prices [4][11] - Recommendations include leading companies such as Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, which are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and improved profitability [11] 3. Glass Market - The average price of float glass is reported at 1224.7 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 16.8 CNY/ton and a year-on-year increase of 47.6% [4] - The report suggests that the glass industry is currently facing a supply-demand stalemate, but mid-term supply-side adjustments are expected to improve pricing dynamics [13] - Flagship companies like Qibin Group are recommended due to their competitive advantages in resource access and potential profit growth from diversified business lines [13] 4. Fiberglass Market - The report indicates that the profitability of fiberglass is expected to improve in the medium term, with a focus on high-end products [12] - The report highlights that the industry is experiencing a gradual reduction in supply pressure, which is likely to stabilize prices [12][13] - Companies such as China Jushi are recommended for their strong market position and growth potential in emerging applications [12][13] 5. Consumer Building Materials - The report emphasizes the positive impact of government policies on consumer demand for building materials, with expectations for continued growth in the sector [14] - Companies like Oppein Home and Arrow Bathroom are highlighted for their strong market positions and potential for recovery in consumer spending [14] - The report suggests that the competitive landscape is improving, with many companies showing signs of profit recovery and growth strategies [14]