Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the real estate sector, particularly in Shanghai, due to policy relaxations that are expected to boost the construction materials chain [6][7]. - It emphasizes the potential for a "small spring" in the market as downstream demand gradually recovers, supported by various government policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market [6][7]. - The report identifies key companies that are likely to benefit from this recovery, including three trees and rabbit baby, while also suggesting to monitor other firms like Han Gao Group and Beixin Building Materials [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The construction materials sector has seen a 3.3% increase, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.2 percentage points [15]. - Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 12.2%, exceeding the CSI 300 index by approximately 10.5 percentage points [15]. Cement Sector - Demand has not fully recovered post-holiday, with an average shipment rate of about 10% in key regions [30]. - The average price of cement is approximately 344 RMB per ton, reflecting a slight decrease of 2.6 RMB per ton compared to the previous week [22][24]. - Recommendations include Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with a focus on the recovery of downstream projects [30]. Glass Sector - The glass industry is experiencing significant inventory accumulation, with a total of 67.28 million heavy boxes, a 30.3% increase from the previous week [43]. - The average price of float glass has risen to 1,165 RMB per ton, with an average profit margin of -49 RMB per ton [32]. - Companies to watch include Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, as the market anticipates a stabilization in prices [43]. Fiberglass Sector - The report notes expectations for price increases in both coarse and fine yarns as downstream demand begins to recover [44]. - The average price for fiberglass coarse yarn remains stable at 3,500 RMB per ton, with potential upward pressure due to cost increases [44]. - Key players in this sector include China Jushi, with recommendations to monitor International Composite Materials and Changhai Co., Ltd. [6][7]. Carbon Fiber Sector - Carbon fiber prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, with the rapid development of commercial aerospace potentially driving new demand [6]. - Companies to consider include Zhongfu Shenying and Guangwei Composites, as the sector looks to capitalize on emerging opportunities [6].

2026 年 03 月 01 日 【投资要点】 挖掘价值 投资成长 强于大市（维持） 行 业 研 究 / 建 筑 材 料 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 建筑材料行业周报 节后复工数据农历同比改善，上海地产 政策放松助力地产链回暖 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：王翩翩 证书编号：S1160524060001 证券分析师：郁晾 证书编号：S1160524100004 证券分析师：闫广 证书编号：S1160526010004 联系人：陈怡洁 相对指数表现 -10% 4% 18% 32% 46% 60% 2025/3 2025/8 2026/2 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《关注节后下游复工节奏，期待小阳春》 2026.02.23 《7628 电子布再提价推升业绩弹性，消费 建材小阳春可期》 2026.02.08 《拥抱景气周期，聚焦涨价链条》 2026.02.01 《新一轮城市更新开启，关注消费建材底 部向上的弹性》 2026.01.25 《政策组合拳助力"开门红"， 看好玻纤 景气度向上》 2026.01.18 板块行情回顾：本周建材板块上涨 3.3%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 2.2pct。 分 子 板 块 ...

2、地产：（1）新房：截至 2 月 27 日（正月十一），30 城新房（滚动 7 天求 和）成交面积 76.96 万平方米，同比+48.1%。（2）二手房：截至 2 月 27 日 （正月十一），二手房成交（滚动 7 天求和）6.13 万平方米，同比+31.5%，也 强于往年同期。 消费相关：节后出行热度继续升温，国际油价微涨 1、出行：复工影响下，29 城地铁客运量环比走高。上周四至本周三，29 城 地铁客运量 232.5 万人次，环比+24.8%。百度迁徙指数看截至 2 月 27 日（正 月十一）出行同比+28.9%仍保持高位。 证券研究报 告 【债券周报】 节后投资复工偏快 ——每周高频跟踪 20260228 （1）动力煤：煤价继续上涨。本周工业需求回暖，下游补库意愿回升，非 电行业补库需求释放，电煤消费较节前回升，下游主动补库存。 （2）螺纹钢：价格持稳，库存上行。螺纹钢（HRB400 20mm）现货价格持 稳，春节后螺纹表需低迷、产量低位，库存持续累积。 （3）沥青：开工率低于节前。本周沥青装置开工率环比节前一周-0.3pct 至 21.4%，节后复工偏慢。 2、原油：截至 2 月 27 日，布伦特原 ...

黑色产业链日报 2026/02/27 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：许亮 Z0002220 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，交易者（您）并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者（您）依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果，本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可，任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的，需在允许的范围内使用，并注明出处为"东亚期货"，且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相 ...

2026 年 2 月 27 日 玻碱走势分化，关注两会环保表述 第一部分 前言概要 【纯碱】 2 月有色和贵金属板块快跌慢涨，市场风险快速释放，错杀估值修复。玻碱及黑 色板块，节前跌势为主，节后做多情绪偏强。市场对春季商品普涨行情有一定期待， 核心为两会带来的宏观情绪修复，以及通胀逻辑相关。美国关税不确定性仍存，但关 税高峰可能已过。关注两会对碳排放的表述，环保可能会成为今年推进反内卷的重要 抓手。随着上海沪七条通知下发，再次引发市场对地产触底反弹的讨论，但对整体地 产端需求修复短期影响不大。 2 月纯碱供应高位，纯碱高成本厂家改造计划公布的格外密集，包括山东海化发 布拟投资 48.37 亿元实施纯碱装置提质增效节能环保改造工程（100 万吨联碱），和 邦停车改造。纯碱节中累库速度不及市场预期，需求表现有韧性。在 3 月宏观情绪回 暖的背景下，建议谨慎做空。但中长期表现有可能为先涨后跌，月度策略建议偏多看 待。 【玻璃】 玻璃受到上海限购放松以及两会将近宏观情绪转好的双重影响下偏强为主， 但其基本面仍弱，择机逢高空或卖看涨为主。今年两会将于 3 月初召开，其中碳 排方向可能为重点，对湖北和沙河地区玻璃产能有潜 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⿊⾊建材策略⽇报 2026-02-27 现实⽭盾仍存，盘⾯⽀撑有限 节后钢材供需双弱，库存仍在累积，基本⾯缺乏亮点，且市场对旺季 需求预期⼀般，同时铁矿⽯库存压⼒仍存，春节后煤矿复产速度将加 快，煤焦下游补库意愿有限，玻纯供需压⼒仍存，相关品种价格表现 承压。受南⾮锰矿消息扰动影响，合⾦盘⾯表现强势，但盘⾯涨⾄⾼ 位将⾯临明显的卖保压⼒。 节后钢材供需双弱，库存仍在累积，基本面缺乏亮点，且市场对旺季 需求预期一般，同时铁矿石库存压力仍存，春节后煤矿复产速度将加 快，煤焦下游补库意愿有限，玻纯供需压力仍存，相关品种价格表现 承压。受南非锰矿消息扰动影响，合金盘面表现强势，但盘面涨至高 位将面临明显的卖保压力。 1. 铁元素方面：铁矿石供应端仍存天气扰动预期，当前市场对节后 需求预期一般，但盘面快速回落后压力有所释放，节后即将召开两 会，宏观预期仍存，关注市场情绪变化。废钢供需双弱，基本面驱动 有限，价格波动不大。 2. 碳元素方面：节后焦炭供需均有继续增长预期，随着物流运输的 逐渐恢复，焦企累库情况将得到缓解，焦炭供需结构将继续保持健 康，现货预计暂 ...

春节假期过后，国内化工品市场在地缘局势扰动与基本面差异的双重作用下呈现显著分化格局，化工板 块迎来关键窗口期。2月25日，在期货日报"大势观澜"直播栏目中，融达期货化工品研究员韩冰冰就当 前化工品市场的核心逻辑、品种分化及未来机遇进行了深入分享。他表示，在原油市场充满不确定性的 背景下，国内化工品板块内部已出现显著分化，聚酯产业链相关品种率先显现景气周期特征，而甲醇、 PVC等品种则面临较大供需压力。 对于近期化工品市场的投资策略，韩冰冰建议，以"抓强弃弱"的主线思路，优先布局供需格局改善的聚 酯链品种，尤其是PTA这类具备中长期逻辑支撑的标的；对于PVC、甲醇等弱势品种保持谨慎，若参与 可选择对冲交易以降低风险。未来2~3周需紧密跟踪终端开工率、下游订单量等核心数据，把握需求验 证期的市场节奏。 韩冰冰表示，整体来看，2026年化工品行业正处于供给格局优化与需求结构转型的关键时期，"反内 卷"推动落后产能出清，行业固定资产投资增速转负，半导体材料、新能源材料、机器人材料等新兴赛 道的崛起，为行业打开了长期成长的空间。 （文章来源：期货日报网） 与聚酯链的强势形成鲜明对比的是，PVC、甲醇、纯碱、玻璃等品种则 ...

2026年02月26日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-能源化工 观点与策略 | 橡胶：震荡偏强20260226 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 合成橡胶：震荡回落 | 4 | | LLDPE：原油成本支撑强，自身供需格局一般 | 6 | | PP：C3原料表现偏强，PDH检修仍高 | 6 | | 烧碱：近月交割压力大，但成本仍有支撑 | 7 | | 纸浆：震荡运行20260226 | 9 | | 玻璃：原片价格平稳 | 11 | | 甲醇：震荡运行 | 12 | | 尿素：短期震荡运行 | 14 | | 苯乙烯：偏强震荡 | 16 | | 纯碱：现货市场变化不大 | 17 | | LPG：供应收紧，夜盘冲高 | 18 | | 丙烯：供需维持偏紧，现货横盘整理 | 18 | | PVC：区间震荡 | 21 | | 燃料油：夜盘反弹，弱势暂缓 | 22 | | 低硫燃料油：高位回跌，外盘现货高低硫价差小幅收缩 | 22 | | 集运指数（欧线）：震荡思路对待 | 23 | | 短纤：高位震荡，保持关注地缘波动20260226 | 26 | | 瓶片：高位震荡，保持关注地缘波动20260226 | 26 | ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints of the Report - The production side shows mixed trends, with some indicators like power plant daily consumption falling during the holiday, while the blast furnace operating rate rising against the trend; the demand side has a weak rebound in the property market and strong growth in the auto market, but prices of steel, cement, glass and other products are weak or fluctuating; inflation shows different trends in CPI and PPI, with post - holiday pig prices weakening and oil prices rising [4] Summary of Each Section According to the Directory 1. Economic Growth: Weak Rebound in the Property Market During the Holiday 1.1 Production: Rising Blast Furnace Operating Rate Against the Trend - **Power plant daily consumption decline during the holiday**: On February 24, the average daily consumption of 6 large power generation groups was 58.4 tons, a 0.7% decrease from February 17; on February 13, the daily consumption of power plants in eight southern provinces was 240.1 tons, a 22.9% decrease from February 9 [4][11] - **Rising blast furnace operating rate against the trend**: On February 13, the national blast furnace operating rate was 80.2%, a 0.6 - percentage - point increase from February 6; the capacity utilization rate was 86.4%, a 0.7 - percentage - point increase from February 6. The operating rate of blast furnaces in Tangshan steel mills was 96.8% on February 13, a 4.5 - percentage - point increase from February 6 [4][15] - **Tire operating rate dropping to the same - period low last year during the holiday**: On February 19, the operating rate of truck all - steel tires was 14.2%, a 28.2 - percentage - point decrease from February 12; the operating rate of car semi - steel tires was 14.2%, a 45.2 - percentage - point decrease from February 12. The operating rate of looms in Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions also had a seasonal decline [4][17] 1.2 Demand: Weak Rebound in the Property Market During the Holiday - **Weak rebound in the property market during the holiday**: From the first day to the seventh day of the Lunar New Year, the average daily sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 75,000 square meters, a 15.9% increase from the same period last year, a 44.6% increase from the same period in 2024, and a 54.0% decrease from the same period in 2023. The rebound strength in first - tier cities was stronger than that in second - and third - tier cities [21] - **Stronger growth in auto market retail sales**: In February, retail sales increased by 54% year - on - year, and wholesale sales increased by 46% year - on - year [4][25] - **Weak and fluctuating steel prices**: On February 24, the prices of rebar, wire rod, hot - rolled coil and cold - rolled coil decreased by 0.3%, 0.3%, 0.9% and remained flat respectively compared with February 14. The inventory of steel products also increased rapidly [29] - **Continued weakness in cement prices**: On February 24, the national cement price index decreased by 0.2% compared with February 12. The prices in East China and the Yangtze River regions decreased by 0.3% and 0.4% respectively, slightly weaker than the national average [30] - **Narrow - range fluctuations in glass prices**: On February 24, the active futures contract price of glass was 1048 yuan/ton, a 0.8% decrease from February 13 [36] - **Unstoppable decline in container shipping freight rate index**: On February 13, the CCFI index decreased by 3.0% compared with February 6, and the SCFI index decreased by 1.2% during the same period [40] 2. Inflation: Weakening Pig Prices After the Holiday 2.1 CPI: Weakening Pig Prices After the Holiday - **Weakening pig prices after the holiday**: On February 24, the average wholesale price of pork was 18.3 yuan/kg, a 0.2% decrease from February 14 [45] - **Seasonal decline in the agricultural product price index**: On February 24, the agricultural product wholesale price index decreased by 0.8% compared with February 14. Different agricultural products showed different price trends [50] 2.2 PPI: Rising Oil Prices - **Rising oil prices**: On February 24, the spot prices of Brent and WTI crude oil were 71.4 and 65.6 US dollars/barrel respectively, a 1.8% and 5.3% increase from February 17 [53] - **Falling copper and aluminum prices**: On February 24, the prices of LME 3 - month copper and aluminum increased by 3.4% and 1.8% respectively compared with February 17. The domestic commodity index also had a decline in the month - on - month comparison [58] - **Most industrial product prices falling month - on - month**: Since February, most industrial product prices have fallen, with power coal prices rising month - on - month and other products falling, mainly rebar and cement [61]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⿊⾊建材策略⽇报 2026-02-26 政策利好提振，盘⾯低位反弹 上海地产利好政策出台，叠加重⼤会议期间⾼炉存在减产预期，市场 氛围偏暖，盘⾯低位反弹。但钢材库存压⼒仍存，基本⾯缺乏亮点， 且市场对节后需求预期⼀般，同时铁矿⽯库存压⼒仍在积累，春节后 煤矿复产速度将加快，煤焦下游补库意愿有限，玻纯供需压⼒仍存， 板块盘⾯上⽅空间有限。 上海地产利好政策出台，叠加重大会议期间高炉存在减产预期，市场 氛围偏暖，盘面低位反弹。但钢材库存压力仍存，基本面缺乏亮点， 且市场对节后需求预期一般，同时铁矿石库存压力仍在积累，春节后 煤矿复产速度将加快，煤焦下游补库意愿有限，玻纯供需压力仍存， 板块盘面上方空间有限。 1. 铁元素方面：铁矿石库存压力仍在积累，供应端仍存天气扰动预 期，当前市场对节后需求预期一般，但盘面快速回落后压力有所释 放，节后即将召开两会，宏观预期仍存，关注市场情绪变化。废钢春 节假期期间供需双弱，基本面驱动有限，价格波动不大。 2. 碳元素方面：节后焦炭供需均有小幅增长预期，随着物流运输的 逐渐恢复，焦企累库情况将得到缓解，焦炭供需结构将 ...