Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a strong start to the new year, particularly in the cyclical sectors, with the oil and petrochemical sector leading the gains at 5.53% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The oil and petrochemical sector topped the Shenwan first-level industry rankings with a 5.53% increase, while the basic chemical sector ranked third with a 3.45% increase [1] - Institutional consensus indicates a positive outlook for cyclical assets post-holiday, with expectations of a market rebound supported by policy expectations and liquidity [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Key investment themes include the "anti-involution" concept driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and industry profit recovery, with a focus on sectors benefiting from price increases such as precious metals, oil and petrochemicals, and basic chemicals [1] - The global landscape shows increased macro risks due to geopolitical tensions and tariff policies, prompting a focus on "weak dollar assets" like precious metals, non-ferrous metals, and oil and gas [1] Group 3: ETF Performance - Penghua Fund's oil ETF (159697) is the first in the market to track the National Oil and Gas Index, covering key companies in the oil and gas industry, with a one-year increase of 31.43% compared to the 19.34% rise of the CSI 300 index [2] - The chemical ETF (159870) tracks a refined chemical industry index, achieving a one-year growth of 51.79%, effectively capturing structural opportunities in the transition from traditional capacity to high-end and new energy materials [2] Group 4: Liquidity and Market Acceptance - As of February 13, 2026, the oil ETF (159697) and chemical ETF (159870) ranked first in their respective categories with sizes of 1.828 billion and 35.533 billion, indicating strong liquidity and market recognition [3] - These ETFs provide investors with low-cost, high-transparency, and risk-diversified investment tools, addressing the complexities and risks associated with direct investments in cyclical stocks [3]

摘要 过去一周，国内主要市场指数上涨，其中上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500 和中证 1000 涨跌幅分别为-0.06%、0.39%、1.9% 和 1.91%。 微盘股指标监控：轮动策略方面，由于微盘股对茅指数的相对净值为 2.41，仍高于其 243 日均线（1.91）；但万得微 盘股 20 日收盘价斜率为正，而茅指数斜率收负。量价轮动子策略部分仓位切换回微盘股指数；而从 M1 高点轮动的角 度来看，1 月份 M1 指标的 6 个月移动平均值已经下行，M1 轮动子策略中期配置从微盘股切换至茅指数。所以综合两 个子策略来看目前轮动策略处于均衡配置。而从中期微盘股择时角度来看，目前风控信号还没触发。对于持有微盘板 块投资者建议做好风险控制，以及密切跟踪相对净值、动量及中期风险指标的动态。 以上结果通过历史数据统计、建模和测算完成，在政策、市场环境发生变化时模型存在失效的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 i 过去两周，国内方面，春节期间 AI 技术迎来了国民级的应用展示，多款国产人形机器人及大模型（如参与视觉定制 的 Seedance 2.0）在春晚舞台实现了深度的场景级互动。这进一步验证了国内 AI 技术 ...