房地产土地市场

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2025年7月中国房地产土地市场数据点评:规划建面波动下降,溢价率水平显著提高
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-12 03:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, suggesting a potential increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [9]. Core Insights - In July 2025, the land supply in 23 key cities in China saw a significant decrease in planned construction area, with a month-on-month decline of 62.9%, totaling 343.9 million square meters [1]. - The total land transaction amount reached 888.88 billion yuan, reflecting a 41% decrease compared to the previous month [1]. - The land transaction premium rate in July 2025 rose to 12.41%, indicating a notable recovery since the beginning of the year [3]. - China Resources Land led the land acquisition with 15 plots, totaling 906.69 billion yuan [3]. Summary by Sections Land Supply and Transactions - In July 2025, 106 residential land plots were launched, with 113 plots successfully transacted, amounting to a total planned construction area of 653.68 million square meters [1]. - The land transaction premium rate has shown a significant increase, indicating a recovery in market confidence [3]. Company Land Acquisition - The report highlights the land acquisition activities of major companies, with China Resources Land acquiring the most plots, followed by Greentown China and China Merchants Shekou [4]. - The average land price per square meter for China Resources Land was 20,422 yuan, while Greentown China had an average of 25,031 yuan per square meter [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on China Jinmao, which has shown significant land acquisition activity and improvements in corporate governance [4].
2025年6月中国房地产土地市场数据点评:规划建面波动上升,溢价率水平显著提高
Minsheng Securities· 2025-07-01 13:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [6]. Core Insights - The land market in 23 key cities in China saw a total of 139 residential land plots offered in June 2025, with a planned construction area of 9.26 million square meters, reflecting an 18.3% month-on-month decrease in supply [1]. - The total land transaction amount reached 150.57 billion yuan, with a significant increase in the average land premium rate, which rose to 9.06% in June 2025 [3]. - Major developers are actively acquiring land, with China Jinmao being highlighted for its aggressive land purchases, which are expected to benefit from improved corporate governance and substantial land acquisitions [4]. Summary by Sections Land Supply and Transactions - In June 2025, the supply of residential land in 23 key cities decreased by 18.3% compared to the previous month, with 139 plots offered and 176 plots successfully sold [1]. - The total area sold was 7.24 million square meters, generating a total land transfer fee of 150.57 billion yuan [1]. Premium Rates and Developer Activity - The average land premium rate in June 2025 was reported at 9.06%, showing a significant recovery compared to earlier in the year [3]. - China Overseas Land & Investment was noted for acquiring the largest number of plots, totaling 6 plots with a total expenditure of 11.03 billion yuan [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on China Jinmao due to its recent large-scale land acquisitions and improvements in corporate governance, which are expected to enhance its market position [4].