房地产市场理性回归

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若不出意外,2026年,国内或将爆发这5大变化,提前了解不吃亏
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 19:29
上周和几位朋友聚餐,聊到未来生活的变化,大家各抒己见。李哥说他们公司开始推迟退休政策,王姐抱怨银行存款利率又降了,张工则分享了他返乡创 业的计划。听着他们的讨论,我不禁思考:未来几年,我们的生活会发生哪些变化?有什么趋势正在形成?如何提前做好准备? 社会发展如同大江大河,有其内在规律和走向。通过观察当前的社会经济数据和发展动向,我们确实能够预见一些可能的变化趋势。根据人口统计局、金 融监管部门以及社会调查机构的最新数据,到2026年,可能会有几个明显的社会趋势逐渐显现。 人口变化是影响社会方方面面的基础性因素。根据国家统计局发布的《2025年人口发展报告》显示,2024年全国出生人口为825万人,较2023年减少了43 万人。2025年上半年的数据进一步表明,这一下降趋势仍在持续。 人口学研究机构预测,到2026年,我国年出生人口可能降至750万左右,总和生育率将降至1.1-1.2,远低于2.1的人口更替水平。这意味着低生育率很可能 成为长期现象,而非暂时波动。 这一趋势背后有多方面原因:住房、教育、医疗等抚养成本上升;年轻人价值观变化,对个人发展和生活品质的重视;女性受教育程度提高和职业发展诉 求增强等。 ...
中国房租开始下降!深圳、上海房东乞求租客,背后透露什么信息?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-20 07:19
Group 1 - The rental market in major cities in China is experiencing a significant cooling, with landlords actively lowering prices and tenants having more choices [2][5][10] - In cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou, rents have decreased by nearly one-third and 15% respectively, indicating a shift in market dynamics [5][10] - This change reflects a return of "housing choice rights" for workers, who are now prioritizing living quality and convenience over merely securing a place to live [6][8] Group 2 - The decline in rents is attributed to two main factors: the government's push for affordable rental housing and changing market expectations [10][12] - Over 7 million affordable rental units have been introduced, typically priced at around 60% of the market rate, which has pressured landlords to adjust their pricing [10][12] - The shift from a speculative housing market to a more rational one is seen as a positive development, allowing tenants and landlords to focus on living conditions rather than investment returns [14][21] Group 3 - The economic landscape is transitioning from a reliance on real estate profits to one driven by technology and innovation, marking the beginning of a "wealth creation era" [15][19] - The success of technology companies in China is drawing attention from international financial institutions, indicating a shift in economic strength from real estate to tech [17][19] - Ordinary individuals are encouraged to adapt to this new economic environment by engaging in services related to technology industries, rather than relying solely on real estate investments [19][21]