华泰证券指出，供需结合来看，房地产行业中长期"止跌回稳"的基础正在构建，但要全面达成仍需要时 间。展望下半年，我们认为政策发力方向可能包括：1、稳定房价预期是第一步；2、更有效地激活购房 需求；3、优化收储发力去库存；4、关注城市更新资金来源。我们更看好以一线城市为代表的核心城市 复苏节奏，继续推荐具备"好信用、好城市、好产品"逻辑的"三好"地产开发商，分红与业绩稳健的头部 物管公司，以及受益于香港资产重估逻辑的香港本地地产股。 ...

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that from January to May 2025, the national new residential property sales area was 35,315 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, with a sales value of 34,091 billion yuan, down 3.8%. The decline in sales has expanded compared to the previous month, indicating a need for policy intervention to stabilize the market [5] - The report indicates that the average transaction area for new homes in 30 major cities was 173.64 million square meters last week, with a cumulative year-on-year change of 0%. However, the average transaction area for first-tier cities showed a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, while second-tier cities experienced a decline of 15% [6][14] - The second-hand housing market saw a cumulative year-on-year increase of 25.4% in transaction area, with 20 cities reporting a transaction area of 228.53 million square meters last week [7][24] - The land market showed that 100 major cities had 51 new residential land supplies and 43 transactions last week, with an average floor price of 6,409 yuan per square meter and a premium rate of 5.35% [29] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Fundamentals Tracking - New home transaction area in 30 major cities was 173.64 million square meters last week, with a cumulative year-on-year change of 0%. The average transaction area for first-tier cities was 55.99 million square meters, up 9.3% year-on-year [6][14] - The second-hand housing market in 20 cities reported a transaction area of 228.53 million square meters, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 25.4% [7][24] - The land market saw 51 new residential land supplies and 43 transactions, with an average floor price of 6,409 yuan per square meter [29] 2. Market Review - The A-share real estate index fell by 1.76%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 0.25%. The report notes that the real estate index lagged behind the CSI 300 by 1.51 percentage points [32] - The Hong Kong property service and management index rose by 3.15%, outperforming the Hang Seng Composite Index, which increased by 0.89% [32]