国内房价是从2022年开始调整，先是从二三线城市开始下跌，之后一线城市房价也加入到调整的队伍中来。而在进入到2026年之后，之前房价下跌幅度较大 的二三线城市，由于泡沫被挤去大半，所以跌幅会放缓。而像上海、深圳等一线城市的房价，会由之前的抗跌变成补跌。主要原因是，现在一线城市房价与 收入比达到40，说明泡沫仍旧比较大，再加上当地居民收入减少，已经支撑不起高房价。 众所周知，曹德旺不仅是国内知名的企业家和慈善家，而且他在社会上的影响力也是比较大的。这主要是曹德旺曾发表过一些对未来楼市趋势的看法，当时 很多人并没有太当回事。而这些言论后来却被证实具有较强的预见性。自此之后，只要是曹德旺发表对楼市趋势的看法，都会引发人们的高度关注。 最近，网上有的人说，曹德旺预言要成真？如果不出所料的话，2026年房价或将迎来5大转变。那么，曹德旺究竟有没有做出过这样的预言呢？为此，经过 我们对全网的仔细查验，可以判定这是虚假的信息。曹德旺近期并没有发表过此类讲话。不过，先抛开曹德旺的预言不谈，单从当前房地产市场的角度出 发，来聊一聊2026年房价或将迎来5大转变： 转变一，一线城市的房价，从抗跌变成补跌 转变二，从投资炒房，转向 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese real estate market is undergoing a significant transformation, moving from a rapid growth phase to a more rational and stable phase by 2025 [1] - Key strategies for homebuyers in this new environment include "buy big, buy less, and don't buy high," which reflects a deeper market insight [1] Market Trends - In Q1 2025, new residential prices in 70 major cities decreased by 0.8% month-on-month, while second-hand residential prices fell by 1.2% [3] - In 2024, the total sales area of commercial housing dropped by 5.3% year-on-year, and sales revenue decreased by 7.8% [3] - Real estate development investment saw a year-on-year decline of 9.6%, indicating that the market is still in an adjustment phase [3] Pricing and Affordability - The advice "don't buy high" warns buyers against overpriced properties that do not align with local income levels and regional development potential [4] - The national average housing price-to-income ratio was 9.8:1 at the beginning of 2025, with some second-tier cities reaching as high as 18:1, significantly above the internationally recognized reasonable range [4] - Urbanization rate in China is projected to reach 66.2% in 2024, with population inflow concentrated in 19 city clusters, making these areas more attractive for investment [4] Property Size and Community - The recommendation to "buy big" aligns with the growing trend of remote work, with 85.3% of buyers preferring larger homes [6] - The average living space for a three-person household in first-tier cities increased from 87 square meters in 2020 to 98 square meters in 2025 [6] - Larger homes show stronger price resilience, with properties over 140 square meters experiencing only a 3.2% price drop compared to an 8.7% drop for homes under 90 square meters [6] Investment Quality and Financial Management - The strategy "buy less" emphasizes the importance of quality over quantity, as there are currently 65 million vacant homes in China, leading to a vacancy rate of 16.8% [8] - Holding multiple properties incurs high costs and liquidity risks, with the average selling period for owners of multiple properties in second-tier cities reaching 127 days [8] - Recommendations for different income groups include varying down payment ratios and property types to ensure financial safety and avoid excessive debt [8] Conclusion - The Chinese real estate market has shifted from a broad increase to structural opportunities, with savvy buyers focusing on living quality and rational investment decisions [9] - The strategies of "buy big, buy less, and don't buy high" encourage a return to the residential nature of properties, steering clear of speculative investments [9]