技术性回调风险
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1204黄金早评:美元偏弱支撑黄金,警惕技术性回调风险
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 02:22
Group 1 - COMEX gold maintained a high-level fluctuation pattern, closing at $4234.8 per ounce with an increase of 0.33% [2][6] - The latest ADP employment data showed a decrease of 32,000 private sector jobs in November, marking the largest decline since March 2023, significantly below the market expectation of an increase of 40,000 jobs [2][6] - The market anticipates a nearly 90% probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points, which has supported gold prices [2][6] Group 2 - The ISM services PMI index for November rose to 52.6, the highest in nine months, exceeding the expected 52.0, driven by extended supplier delivery times and improved business activity [2][6] - Trump's hint at Hassett as the next Federal Reserve Chair suggests a potential strengthening of dovish market sentiment, although balancing monetary stimulus and inflation remains a challenge [3][6] - Investors are advised to be cautious of potential technical corrections in precious metals due to market overheating and the fact that the Fed's rate cut is largely priced in [3][6][7]