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如何实现投资与消费的相互促进
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-22 20:32
Group 1 - The relationship between investment and consumption is interdependent, and both are essential for expanding total demand in the economy [2][3] - Government spending should focus on both investment and consumption to stimulate economic growth, with current policies showing a structural bias towards investment [2][3] - The accumulation of material capital through investment is fundamental for economic growth, while consumption contributes to human capital, which is increasingly important in an innovation-driven economy [2][4] Group 2 - The debate over whether to prioritize investment or consumption is less productive than understanding their relationship within the overall economic cycle [3] - Government spending has become an integral part of daily economic cycles, and its effectiveness is hindered by issues such as mismatched flows and uncertainty in spending responsibilities [3][6] - A shift towards a human-centered logic in economic development is necessary, focusing on meeting people's needs through both investment and consumption [4][5] Group 3 - Urban-rural dualism restricts the mobility of farmers, impacting their access to equal public services and opportunities, which highlights the need for government investment and consumption to address these social identity issues [5][6] - Promoting social equity requires addressing inequalities in starting points and opportunities, with government policies aimed at facilitating migration and urbanization [7] - The central-local fiscal relationship is crucial for effective government investment and consumption, with local government spending being a significant component of overall fiscal policy [8][9] Group 4 - Current data shows that central government spending has increased by 9%, while local government spending has only grown by 3.9%, indicating insufficient expansion at the local level [9] - To implement more effective fiscal policies, reforms in the central-local fiscal relationship are essential, particularly in increasing the share of central government spending [9]
刘尚希:如何实现投资与消费的相互促进? | 宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-06-01 13:57
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the interdependent relationship between investment and consumption, arguing that effective fiscal policy should focus on both aspects to stimulate economic growth and meet human needs [4][7][10]. Group 1: Investment and Consumption Dynamics - Investment and consumption are two sides of the same coin, and both are essential for expanding total demand [5][7]. - Government spending should prioritize the expansion of total demand, with a balanced focus on both investment and consumption [5][7]. - The current economic environment shows weak private investment growth, while government spending is more focused on investment rather than consumption [5][7]. Group 2: The Role of Government Spending - Government spending has become increasingly recognized as an endogenous factor in the economy, playing a crucial role in macroeconomic regulation [8]. - The effectiveness of government spending is hindered by issues such as mismatched flows, idle funds, and uncertainty in spending responsibilities [8]. - The article highlights the need for a structural reform in fiscal policy to enhance the effectiveness of government spending [3][15]. Group 3: Human-Centric Logic - The article advocates for a shift from a material-based logic to a human-centric logic in economic development and fiscal policy [10][12]. - Government investment and consumption should be designed around human needs, particularly focusing on the demands of different regional groups [10][12]. - The need for social mobility and equity is emphasized, particularly in addressing the urban-rural divide and facilitating the transition of rural populations to urban settings [11][13]. Group 4: Central-Local Fiscal Relations - The article discusses the significant reliance on local government finances for macroeconomic regulation, highlighting the imbalances in central-local fiscal relations [14][15]. - Local government spending accounts for a substantial portion of total government expenditure, which affects the overall effectiveness of fiscal policy [15]. - The need for reform in central-local fiscal relations is deemed urgent to enhance the coordination between investment and consumption [15].