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在“范式转移”的时代,如何重塑“职业”的定义
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-09-01 07:33
历史总会给出不少关于改变的"比喻",比如16世纪活字印刷术的发明,直接开启了文艺复兴时代,也为 工业革命所需要的知识积累与传播奠定了基础,后人就用"古登堡时刻"来比喻革命性技术所引发的爆炸 性改变。AI的广泛应用让我们迎来了全新的古登堡时刻,面对爆炸性的改变,个人和组织准备好了 吗? 历史上有太多后知后觉的例子。甚至可以说,面临爆炸性的变革,在位者很少有能做到先知先觉的。以 十多年前移动互联网所带来的"范式转移"(新成果打破了原有的假设或者法则,从而迫使人们对基本理 论做出根本性修正)的过程为例,"后知后觉"的姿势大致有两种: 第一种是对正在涌现出来的全新模式"嗤之以鼻",比如当年微软的CEO鲍尔默(SteveBallmer)对苹果 手机的嗤之以鼻。2007年,被问及对iPhone发布的看法时,鲍尔默毫不掩饰地大笑起来,认为它太贵, 而且没有键盘,算不上是一台好用的邮件设备,根本无法满足商务人士高效输入的需求,完全不可能赢 得像样的市场份额。事实上,仅仅几年的功夫,iPhone就引领了智能手机的潮流,而微软基本上退出了 智能手机的市场。 第二种则是缺乏对改变背后深层次逻辑的认知。比如,诺基亚在2007年并购车 ...
指数增长时代,如何重新定义职业?
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-28 13:58
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformative impact of AI, likening it to the historical "Gutenberg moment" that revolutionized knowledge dissemination and societal structures [1][4] - It emphasizes the need for organizations to adapt to the paradigm shift brought about by AI, highlighting the failures of companies like Nokia and Microsoft to recognize and respond to such changes [2][3][5] Group 1: Paradigm Shift and Historical Context - The advent of AI represents a new "Gutenberg moment," prompting a significant shift in how individuals and organizations operate [1] - Historical examples illustrate that many organizations fail to anticipate transformative changes, often leading to their decline [2][3] Group 2: Organizational Response to AI - Companies like Microsoft have quickly adapted by investing heavily in AI, while others like Apple have lagged behind in integrating AI into their products [5][6] - The article notes that the rapid growth of AI challenges traditional business models and necessitates a reevaluation of organizational structures and strategies [6][12] Group 3: Characteristics of Exponential Organizations - Exponential organizations leverage technology to achieve tenfold growth compared to traditional linear organizations, emphasizing agility and scalability [12][25] - The concept of "SCALE" focuses on on-demand staffing, community reliance, and AI empowerment, while "IDEAS" emphasizes data-driven decision-making and rapid experimentation [11][12][29] Group 4: Future of Work and Employment - The shift towards a "gig economy" or "flexible labor economy" necessitates a redefinition of careers and employment structures, emphasizing individual agency and project-based work [14][15][34] - The article raises questions about the implications of AI on job security and the nature of work, suggesting a potential divide between high-skilled AI roles and traditional jobs [36][37] Group 5: Data-Driven Leadership and Decision Making - The importance of data in driving organizational success is highlighted, with a focus on reducing the time between data acquisition and decision-making [28][30] - Organizations must adapt to a more dynamic environment where long-term planning is replaced by flexible, experimental approaches to achieve growth [30][31]