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检测服务行业2024年&2025年一季报总结:板块增速企稳,关注内需复苏与高壁垒高增长的新兴赛道
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-11 03:23
Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on leading companies with strong management and brand recognition in the testing service industry, particularly recommending companies like Huace Testing, Sutest, and Guangdian Measurement [6][13][86]. Core Insights - The overall performance of the testing service industry is under pressure, with a focus on lean management and the expansion into emerging industries [4][5]. - The testing service sector is closely correlated with macroeconomic growth, and it is expected to benefit from government debt relief and domestic demand stimulus policies [5][74]. - The industry is experiencing a trend towards consolidation, with resources likely to concentrate in leading companies that possess brand, capital, and management advantages [5][6]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In 2024, the testing service sector achieved revenue of 46.8 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 4%. Excluding companies with high medical testing ratios, the revenue was 25.8 billion RMB, showing a growth of 4% [4][19]. - The first quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 9 billion RMB, down 9% year-on-year, but excluding high medical testing companies, the revenue growth improved to 2% [4][19]. Profitability - The sector's net profit attributable to shareholders in 2024 was 1.8 billion RMB, down 56% year-on-year, primarily due to declining revenue and increased costs [26]. - Excluding high medical testing companies, the net profit decline was 20%, indicating a narrowing drop [26]. Market Dynamics - The global testing service market is projected to reach approximately 2.3 trillion RMB in 2024, with a CAGR of about 6% from 2021 to 2024 [5][57]. - The Chinese testing service market reached around 467 billion RMB in 2023, with a CAGR of 13% from 2014 to 2023 [57]. Industry Characteristics - The testing service industry is characterized by heavy asset requirements and localized operations, with a significant presence of small and weak institutions [68][69]. - The report highlights a trend towards consolidation in the industry, driven by increasing regulatory scrutiny and the need for higher capital and technical capabilities in emerging sectors [69][73]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in demand for the testing service industry due to recent macroeconomic policy adjustments and government debt relief measures [74][86]. - Companies with significant government client bases, such as Puni Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Huace Testing, are expected to benefit from these developments [86].