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【UNFX本周总结】政策重启下的再定价:情绪修复但结构性风险依旧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 03:38
Group 1 - The global financial market shows significant differentiation due to policy changes, data delays, and fluctuations in risk sentiment [1][2] - The end of the U.S. government shutdown provides short-term certainty and prompts the recovery of previously delayed economic data [1][2] - Despite the recovery in market sentiment, the Federal Reserve officials maintain a cautious stance, indicating that inflation has not yet reached a level that would justify interest rate cuts [1][2] Group 2 - The market is currently relying more on expectations for trading due to the delay in key data caused by the shutdown, leading to increased asset volatility [1][2] - Risk appetite in the market has been restored, with some funds flowing back into the stock market and high-beta assets, although the recovery is uneven across sectors [1][2] - The transition from a "defensive" to a "selective offensive" market approach resembles an emotional rebound rather than a trend-based recovery [1][2] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar index stabilizes and rebounds, benefiting from the cooling of rate cut expectations and rising U.S. Treasury yields [3] - Gold is under pressure due to hawkish policy signals and rising yields, yet it remains within a strong support range [3] - Global stock markets continue to experience a volatile rebound, with significant structural differentiation among sectors [3]
三菱日联:美国政府结束停摆将降低数据不确定性和提振投资者情绪
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-10 07:00
Core Insights - The agreement to end the government shutdown may trigger significant market reactions, primarily by reducing data uncertainty and boosting investor sentiment [1] - Recent rebounds in the U.S. stock market appear to be driven by a combination of technical recovery and optimistic sentiment regarding the imminent end of the government shutdown [1]