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Databricks大会力挺“数据层”投资韧性 瑞银唱多Snowflake(SNOW.US)维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-06-13 08:37
Core Viewpoint - UBS's participation in the Databricks investor day indicates a strong ongoing investment in the "data layer," which may benefit both Databricks and Snowflake despite their competition [1] Databricks Disclosure - Databricks expects a revenue run rate of $3.7 billion for the second half of the year, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 50% [2] - Databricks anticipates its data warehouse revenue run rate will exceed $1 billion this year, which aligns with expectations and does not raise concerns about Snowflake's market share loss [2] - Databricks' "AI suite" has an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $300 million, surpassing Snowflake [2] - The CEO of Databricks has adopted a more neutral stance towards Snowflake compared to the past [2] - Demand for Postgres databases is described as "very hot," which may not bode well for MongoDB [2] - Most enterprises are still in the early stages of deploying AI agents, with much of the activity being speculative [2] - Demand in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) markets is reported to be weak [2] Customer/Partner Feedback - Feedback from clients regarding Databricks is overwhelmingly positive, particularly concerning product functionality, pricing, and innovation speed [2] - Feedback on Snowflake is unexpectedly constructive, with clients noting that the development pace of Snowflake and Databricks appears similar, a sentiment not expressed two years ago [3] - Enterprises are attempting to organize data for AI applications, supported by feedback from interviews [3] - Adoption of data lake or iceberg technology is reported to be more positive than anticipated [3] Valuation - UBS maintains that if Snowflake's growth rate trends towards 30% and the data investment cycle remains prolonged, a multiple of 13x/51x CY26E revenue/free cash flow (FCF) does not seem unreasonable [3] - The target price for Snowflake remains at $265, based on a multiple of 17x/66x CY26E, which is considered a reasonable premium relative to high-growth peers [3]
新旧势力再较量,数据库不需要投机 | 企服国际观察
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-05-08 09:50
Core Insights - The generative AI technology transformation is driving intense competition among database vendors [2][3] - Traditional vendors are being challenged by cloud-native distributed databases, prompting adjustments in data strategies to better align with enterprise AI use cases [3][4] - The competition between Databricks and Snowflake highlights the ongoing battle in the cloud lakehouse space, with both companies striving to capture market share [4][15] Industry Dynamics - The emergence of generative AI applications has not yet produced widely adopted enterprise solutions, primarily due to issues like "hallucination" in AI outputs [5] - The evolution of the database market is a natural progression, influenced by technological advancements and changing enterprise needs [5][6] - The concepts of data warehouses and data lakes have evolved, with data lakes emerging to address the limitations of traditional data warehouses in handling unstructured data [9][10] Technological Developments - The introduction of the lakehouse architecture by Databricks in 2020 aims to combine the benefits of data warehouses and data lakes, enhancing data management capabilities [11][12] - Databricks has positioned itself as a leader in the lakehouse space, leveraging open-source technologies like Apache Spark and Delta Lake to build a comprehensive product suite [13][19] - Snowflake has also made significant strides in AI and data analytics, acquiring multiple companies to enhance its platform and compete effectively with Databricks [22] Competitive Landscape - Databricks and Snowflake are engaged in a fierce competition, with both companies focusing on enhancing their AI capabilities and expanding their customer bases [18][21] - Recent trends indicate a shift in market demand from traditional data warehouses to lakehouse technologies, benefiting Databricks [21] - The competition has prompted both companies to explore acquisitions and partnerships to strengthen their positions in the AI-driven database market [15][17] Market Trends - The global big data analytics market is projected to reach $549.73 billion by 2028, indicating a growing demand for advanced data management solutions [13] - The integration of AI capabilities into database solutions is becoming essential, as enterprises seek to leverage data for actionable insights [14][27] - The database market is increasingly competitive, with numerous startups and established companies vying for market share, particularly in the lakehouse segment [15][27]