A股复盘 | 普涨的行情 / 2025.04.21 今天最火爆的事情就是美元的暴跌了吧！ 6点开盘，美元指数直接跌破99关口，下午快四点的时候，美元指数跌破98关 口。 盘中最低触及97.96。 彭博社援引交易员的话称，对冲基金正将美元抛售兑几乎所有货币，这一切的导 火索是：白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特周五表示，特朗普总统仍在研究 撤换美联储主席鲍威尔的方式。 这意味着特朗普可能将货币政策控制权收归自己手中，结果就是主要货币对出现 全面清算。 黄金受益于避险属性，今天节节攀升，现货黄金一度逼近3400美元！ 不过，在今晚的美元抛售潮中，有一个显著的异类：比特币。突然的买盘推动比 特币暴涨近2000美元，突破87000美元，创下"解放日"以来的最大单日涨 幅…… 美元与比特币关联性的破裂意味着：随着黄金价格变得荒谬，市场对美元崩溃的 避险需求下一站或将转向比特币——毕竟，各国央行全面启动货币印钞潮、压低 本币汇率只是时间问题。 刘煜辉指出，当前的G2博弈是非稳态、非常态的，其最终归宿仍将是某种形式的 谈判与交易。尽管过程可能伴随剧烈冲突，但最终结果将在实力博弈中产生。他 判断，政治时间的倒逼机制决定了谈判 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of the recent trade tensions between China and the U.S., highlighting China's strengths and potential investment opportunities in the current macroeconomic environment. Group 1: Trade War Dynamics - The trade war escalated rapidly, reaching a peak within ten days, which was unexpected for the U.S. administration [2][3] - China's swift response is attributed to its strong position in three areas: the stability of RMB assets, dominance in global supply chains, and technological advancements [2][11] Group 2: U.S. Economic Vulnerabilities - The trade conflict has led to significant volatility in global capital markets, impacting the U.S. economy's core—dollar and U.S. Treasury bonds [7][19] - The traditional safe-haven status of U.S. Treasuries is being challenged, as global investors are increasingly selling off dollar-denominated assets [7][19] Group 3: China's Supply Chain Strength - China currently holds a 35% share of the global supply chain, projected to rise to 45% by 2030, indicating its dominant position [8][12] - The imbalance in global trade dynamics has been exacerbated by the strengthening of China's supply chain, which contrasts with the declining influence of the dollar [8][12] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The article emphasizes the importance of seizing opportunities in Chinese core assets during periods of heightened market volatility [9][21] - Gold is highlighted as a strong investment asset, with the current market conditions presenting a favorable buying opportunity [20][21] Group 5: Structural Economic Insights - The majority of U.S. consumer spending is on services, which are less connected to global trade, indicating that the impact of tariffs may be less severe than anticipated [15][16] - The actual goods-related economy that interacts with global trade is approximately $6.2 trillion, with a significant portion controlled by U.S. multinational corporations [16][18] Group 6: Future Market Directions - The article suggests that strong stocks have already recovered from initial market reactions, and future investment opportunities may lie in sectors related to supply chain security and data communication [22]