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长安汽车(000625):品牌向上+海外放量助力2026年销量增长
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [4] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant sales growth driven by brand enhancement and overseas expansion, with a target of 3.3 million units sold in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [5] - The company aims to sell 1.4 million new energy vehicles in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 26.2%, and 750,000 units in overseas markets, a year-on-year increase of 17.7% [5] - The company plans to invest over 60 billion yuan in new energy and digital platforms, as well as global R&D capabilities, to accelerate its strategic transformation [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 151,298 in 2023, increasing to 203,333 by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.9% [3] - Net profit attributable to the parent company (in million yuan) is forecasted to decline from 11,327 in 2023 to 4,662 in 2025, before recovering to 8,669 in 2027 [3] - Earnings per share (in yuan) are expected to decrease from 1.14 in 2023 to 0.47 in 2025, then rise to 0.87 in 2027 [3] - The gross profit margin is projected to fluctuate from 18.4% in 2023 to 15.3% in 2027 [3] - Return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 15.8% in 2023 to 5.7% in 2025, then recover to 8.9% in 2027 [3] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 11.85 yuan, with a one-year high of 14.18 yuan and a low of 11.32 yuan [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 10.6 in 2023, increasing to 25.6 in 2025, and then decreasing to 13.8 by 2027 [3] - The market capitalization of circulating A shares is approximately 97,983 million yuan [4]