Workflow
日本大选风向标
icon
Search documents
压力测试来了!石破茂还需闯过这一关
第一财经· 2025-06-15 09:50
Group 1 - The upcoming Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly election is seen as a precursor to the national Diet's House of Councillors election, with voting scheduled for June 22 [2][4] - The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), led by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, is under scrutiny to maintain its seats in the Tokyo Assembly, as no party holds an absolute majority [4] - Recent polls indicate a rise in support for Abe, with one poll showing a 6% increase to 39% and another showing a 7% increase to 34%, up from around 20% previously [4] Group 2 - Approximately 300 candidates are contesting in the Tokyo Assembly election, marking the highest number in over 30 years [4] - The main issues in the election include rising prices, political scandals, and demographic challenges such as aging and declining birth rates [6] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Japan rose by 3.5% year-on-year in April, exceeding the Bank of Japan's target of 2% [6] Group 3 - Abe has pledged to increase nominal GDP to 1,000 trillion yen by 2040 and aims for a 50% increase in average wages, requiring an annual growth rate of approximately 2.74% [8] - The LDP is considering cash handouts to citizens to alleviate the impact of rising prices [9] - The price of rice in Japan has doubled compared to the previous year, with the average price for a 5 kg bag reaching 4,223 yen [9] Group 4 - Japan's government is facing pressure from U.S. tariffs, with a significant decline in business confidence reported among large enterprises [11] - The confidence index for large companies dropped from 2.0 to -1.9 in the second quarter, with the manufacturing sector particularly affected [11] - The steel industry confidence index fell to -29.1, while the automotive sector index was at -16.1, indicating severe challenges [11]
压力测试来了!石破茂还需闯过这一关
第一财经· 2025-06-15 09:49
2025.06. 15 本文字数:1918,阅读时长大约3分钟 除了要关注石破茂所在的自民党在选举中的表现外,日媒表示,另一个看点在于去年在与小池百合子 争夺东京都知事中惜败的石丸申二(Shinji Ishimaru)能否带领他组建的新党在此次选举中再掀旋 风。这位来自广岛县的政治家正利用社交媒体积攒人气。 至于此次选举的议题,主要还是日本社会当前关注的热点话题,比如,如何应对当前的高物价,不断 发酵的自民党政治黑金丑闻将何去何从,政府就高龄少子化问题的应对以及其他地区性问题。 作者 | 第一财经 潘寅茹 今夏,对于日本首相石破茂而言,将注定步履艰难。其间的重头戏便是7月底即将开始的参议院选 举。而在选举前,石破茂还需挺过有"日本大选风向标"之称的东京都议会选举。 当地时间6月13日,东京都议会选举进入拉票阶段,正式投票将于6月22日进行。 值得注意的是,东京都议会选举每4年举行一次,国会参议院改选每3年举行一次,今年恰逢两次选 举同一年举行,且前后相差30天左右。因此,今年的东京都议会选举被视为国会参议院改选的"前 奏"。 关注什么 目前,由于没有一个政党在拥有127席的东京都议会中占据绝对多数,因此,石破 ...