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跌过头后的超跌反弹,明天是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 11:49
Market Overview - The market opened at 4043, reached a low of 4002, a high of 4069, and closed at 4067, with a bullish trend as 4856 stocks rose against 532 that fell [1] - Historical patterns indicate that stocks are showing signs of resilience, which is often seen before a market bottom [1] - The closing above 4064 is deemed acceptable, while a close above 4084 would be better, and above 4103 would indicate strong market conditions [1] Technical Analysis - The daily key areas for the major indices are identified, with the market currently positioned between 4096 and 4027, closing above the lower boundary [4] - The short-term technical outlook suggests that the market is in a mixed state, with potential for both upward and downward movements [7][8] - The daily life line is around 4090, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [8] Index Performance - The major indices showed varied performance, with the main index closing as a small bullish candle, indicating a potential reversal pattern [7] - The ChiNext index closed with a small bullish candle, suggesting short-term bullish sentiment despite a mid-term bearish outlook [7] Future Projections - The possibility of breaking through the 4190 level before the Spring Festival is considered low, indicating a cautious outlook for the near term [2] - Key resistance and support levels for the indices have been outlined, with significant levels at 4131 for the market and 3368 for the ChiNext index [8]
午评:今天能否站回4034和确保不失3983是主要看点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 04:49
前一交易日收评:4012-3970已不容再失。周三是个时间窗 早盘高开,振荡没有方向感。个股普涨。早盘分型定式大盘和创指均为收阴(午后见盘中新高才会被扭转)。 前一交易日收盘点评"今天巨幅低开后低走,一度跌下4034,短期已越走越弱,中期已有走软之危,收盘为空头掌控局面。接下来站回4124才 有望止跌,站上4145才有望转好,突破4170才能结束调整,4012-3970已不容再失。周三是个时间窗"。早盘大幅高开在4034之上,有昨天跌过 头了的意思,权重股打压使得大盘还在创新低,目前已切入了4012-3970区域,今天能否站回4034和确保不失3983是主要看点,收上4064才有 不想再跌之意。午后,在4035-4056之上才行,在4066-4079之上才好,冲击4084-4103才强,不宜跌下4012-4001,不可失守3983-3970。操作 上,不失4012-3970一带可先搏短;无力突破4192-4214应先减仓。 短线技术面:今天日生命线在4090附近,运行在其上才能看多。大盘日级别关键区域目前在4094-4024,在上沿之上运行才是强势,才会反复 上攻,失守上沿是转弱,失守下沿是走坏。就技术指标来 ...
收评:4012-3970已不容再失。周三是个时间窗。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 07:18
Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is bearish, with the possibility of breaking through 4190 before the Spring Festival significantly reduced, making short-term predictions difficult [2][3] - The market closed at 4034, indicating a strong control by bears, with a significant drop after a large opening [3] - The short-term technical indicators suggest a weak trend, with the need to reclaim levels above 4120-4136 for any potential reversal [3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4079, 4103, and 4123, while support levels are at 4012, 3983, and 3970 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is crucial to avoid a return to a bear market [4]
收评:明天是时间窗,可适当关注券商的态度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 08:05
Group 1 - The market showed a low opening and a small upward movement, closing below 4115, indicating a lack of strong bullish sentiment [2] - The index formed a 15-minute bottom divergence after touching the 10-day line, which is unusual as it lacked rebound desire [2] - The market is currently in a short-term bearish phase, with the need to break above 4170 to potentially end this short-term adjustment [2][3] Group 2 - The critical support and resistance levels for the market are identified, with resistance at 4127, 4140, and 4154, and support at 4090, 4083, and 4071 [4] - The long-term trend indicates that maintaining above the 60-day line is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day line is essential to avoid reverting to a bear market [4]
收评:依旧处于中短线许涨不许跌的状态,周四是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 07:32
Group 1 - The market is currently in a state where short-term trends are favoring upward movements, with a focus on breaking key resistance levels [2][3] - The index closed above 3357, indicating a generally acceptable outcome despite the lack of strong upward momentum [2][3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3368-3394 and 3418-3439, while support levels are at 3350, 3340, and 3336 [4] Group 2 - The ChiNext index shows a similar trend, with short-term bullish sentiment but uncertainty regarding mid-term strength [3] - The critical support and resistance levels for the ChiNext index are set at 2033 for strength, with pressures at 2016, 2023, and 2043 [4] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with a need for a decisive breakout above 3394-3413 to maintain upward momentum [3]