创指走势分析
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收评:多空肉搏战胜负还需观察,多头不努力就可能挨揍
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 10:32
Group 1 - The market closed at approximately 4135, indicating an acceptable outcome with more stocks rising than falling [2] - The index showed a strong mid-term trend, with short-term bullish sentiment prevailing, while the ChiNext index displayed a weak balance between bulls and bears [3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4192-4214, while the support range of 4120-4109 is critical and should not be breached [3] Group 2 - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is set at 4169, with pressure points at 4153, 4160, and 4179, and support levels at 4124, 4113, and 4103 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3383, with resistance levels at 3353, 3367, and 3371, and support levels at 3304, 3290, and 3280 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is essential to avoid reverting to a bear market [4]
收评:一旦量能不济,调整随时会来,3996-3986一带已不容再失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 08:12
Group 1 - The market showed a strong performance with a significant increase, closing above 4015, indicating a bullish trend [2][3] - The index reached new highs in the afternoon, with both the main index and the ChiNext index showing strong bullish signals [3] - The trading volume has been a driving force behind the current upward movement, but there are concerns about potential adjustments if the volume weakens [3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4030, 4034, and 4051, while support levels are at 4006, 3996, and 3986 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3295, with resistance levels at 3313, 3331, and 3348, and support levels at 3269, 3255, and 3239 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining a position above the 60-day moving average is necessary to sustain a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is crucial to avoid a return to a bear market [4]
收评:多头掌控局面但已优势有限,明天几乎又是许涨不许跌了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 08:10
Group 1 - The market closed with a small K-line above 3960, indicating a cautious but acceptable outcome despite a new low during the afternoon session [2] - The overall market sentiment shows more declines than gains among individual stocks, with the index reflecting a bearish trend in the short term [2] - The market is expected to face critical levels, with a need to maintain above 3960 to avoid forming a short-term peak, and a breakthrough above 3988 is necessary for further upward movement [3] Group 2 - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3979, 3988, and 4007, while support levels are at 3956, 3945, and 3936 [4] - The ChiNext index has a strong and weak dividing line at 3268, with resistance at 3250, 3260, and 3281, and support at 3208, 3204, and 3190 [4] - The medium to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to return to a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid a bear market [4]
收评:运行在3900之上才行,若量能跟不上还得防有所反复
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 07:57
Group 1 - The market showed signs of a potential breakout between the 5-month and 5-week moving averages, with a closing above 3900 indicating a short-term bullish control [2][3] - The index closed with a small bullish candle, suggesting a short-term advantage for bulls, despite a mid-term weakening [3] - Key resistance levels are identified at 3912-3922, while support levels are at 3880, indicating critical points for market movement [4][5] Group 2 - The daily critical area for the market is between 3907 and 3894, with a strong trend expected only if it remains above this range [4] - The short-term technical indicators suggest potential upward movement, but caution is advised if volume does not support the rally [3][4] - The long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is necessary to return to a bull market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is essential to avoid a bear market [5]
收评:无力站回3980就无法排除回试3954-3922的可能性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 10:41
Core Viewpoint - The market has shown a significant decline, falling below the 4000-point mark, indicating that risks currently outweigh opportunities [2] Group 1: Market Performance - The market closed at 3980, marking a new low for the day, with a mixed performance in individual stocks [2] - The index has shown a bearish trend, with short-term bearish advantages becoming evident [2] - The previous day's performance indicated a strong control by bears, with a warning that failure to reclaim 3980 could lead to further declines towards 3954-3922 [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The critical support level for the market is around 3982, and staying above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook [3] - Key trading ranges are identified, with the upper boundary at 3985 and lower boundary at 3899; losing the upper boundary indicates a weakening trend [3] - The market is currently in a state where both upward and downward movements are possible, with potential for rebounds if further declines occur [3] Group 3: Resistance and Support Levels - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 4015, with support levels at 3954, 3946, and 3936 [4] - For the ChiNext index, the strong and weak dividing line is at 3209, with resistance levels at 3130, 3145, and 3171, and support levels at 3078, 3068, and 3050 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to keep the bull market intact, while staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid a return to a bear market [4]
收评:依旧处于中短线许涨不许跌的状态,周四是时间窗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 07:32
Group 1 - The market is currently in a state where short-term trends are favoring upward movements, with a focus on breaking key resistance levels [2][3] - The index closed above 3357, indicating a generally acceptable outcome despite the lack of strong upward momentum [2][3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3368-3394 and 3418-3439, while support levels are at 3350, 3340, and 3336 [4] Group 2 - The ChiNext index shows a similar trend, with short-term bullish sentiment but uncertainty regarding mid-term strength [3] - The critical support and resistance levels for the ChiNext index are set at 2033 for strength, with pressures at 2016, 2023, and 2043 [4] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious, with a need for a decisive breakout above 3394-3413 to maintain upward momentum [3]
收评:主力意图不明,继续关注日关键区域上沿和3330一线的得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 09:00
Group 1 - The market showed weakness in the afternoon, failing to maintain key resistance levels, closing below 3361, indicating a short-term bearish trend [2] - The index's performance was characterized by a small K-line and a bearish trend in the ChiNext index, raising questions about the potential for a mid-term recovery [2] - Key support level to watch is 3330; maintaining this level is crucial to avoid further declines towards 3300 [2] Group 2 - Short-term technical indicators suggest that the market needs to stay above 3355 to maintain a bullish outlook, with critical levels identified between 3357 and 3332 [3] - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is at 3394, with resistance levels at 3362, 3371, and 3382, and support levels at 3336, 3324, and 3310 [3] - Mid to long-term trends indicate that the market must remain above 60-day and 250-day moving averages to sustain a bullish phase and avoid a return to a bearish market [3]
收评:受制于3394的大格局未变,稍有变化的是3347-3337已不宜再失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 10:04
Group 1 - The market faced resistance in the 3364-3394 range, indicating a potential short-term adjustment if trading volume does not increase [2][3] - The index closed at 3372, showing a slight bullish control despite a majority of individual stocks declining [2] - The market remains in a consolidation phase between 3364-3394 and 3327-3317, with a need to maintain above 3347-3337 for bullish sentiment [2] Group 2 - The short-term technical outlook indicates that the critical support level is around 3337, with bullish sentiment only if the index remains above this level [3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified at 3382, 3394, and 3401, while support levels are at 3364, 3353, and 3340 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook suggests that maintaining above the 60-day moving average is essential to sustain a bullish market, while staying above the 250-day moving average is necessary to avoid a return to a bearish market [4]
收评:明天月周收官,也是本周关键时点,月k收阴已难改,周k还存变数
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:07
Market Overview - The market is currently in a weak consolidation state, with short-term bearish sentiment prevailing. A close below 3280 could lead to a drop towards 3260 [2][3] - The previous trading day ended with a small bearish candlestick, indicating a mid-term deterioration in market conditions [2] Technical Analysis - The critical support and resistance levels for the market are identified as follows: resistance at 3297, 3308, and 3317; support at 3277, 3270, and 3258 [4] - The daily life line is around 3285, and trading above this level is necessary for a bullish outlook. The key range for the market is between 3285 and 3304, with movement above this range indicating strength [3] Short-term Strategy - The market is expected to oscillate between the identified support and resistance levels, with a recommendation to engage in tactical trading (T) based on the price movements [2] - The market's performance tomorrow is crucial, as it marks the end of the month and week, with potential for either a bullish or bearish outcome depending on the closing levels [2]
收评:突破下降趋势线,若量能不济短调随时会来,3260一线已不宜再失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-21 23:36
Group 1 - The market showed a small upward trend with the index closing above 3287, indicating a short-term bullish sentiment despite medium-term concerns [2] - The key resistance level is identified at 3300, with a need to maintain above 3260 to avoid further declines [2][3] - The trading volume increased moderately, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment as it broke the descending trend line formed since 3439 [2] Group 2 - The short-term technical indicators suggest that the market must stay above 3276 to maintain a bullish outlook, with critical zones identified between 3275 and 3307 [3] - The pressure points for the market are set at 3298, 3307, and 3317, while support levels are at 3280, 3270, and 3260 [4] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to sustain a bullish trend, with the 250-day moving average serving as a critical threshold to avoid a bearish reversal [4]