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白银暴涨背后:工业需求能否支撑起下一个黄金梦?#
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 00:05
当大家都在讨论黄金突破历史新高时,白银却以130%的年度涨幅悄然抢镜。这个被称作"穷人的黄金"的金属,究竟凭什么跑赢贵金属老大哥?今天我们揭 开白银暴涨背后鲜为人知的工业陷阱。 涨势凶猛却暗藏玄机 与黄金的本质差异 很多人把白银当作黄金的影子,这可能是认知中最大的误区。黄金的上涨逻辑是"乱世买金"的避险需求,而白银的行情本质上是场工业革命: 历史正在重演? 回望1980年亨特兄弟操纵白银案,当时银价从6美元狂飙到50美元后暴跌。如今相似的剧情再次上演:ETF持仓单月暴增1000吨,上海银条现货需要提前1个 月预订。但工业属性决定白银不可能像黄金那样"越囤越贵",当光伏银浆被铜替代技术突破时,堆积如山的白银库存将瞬间失去价值。 白银市场永远在演绎同一个寓言:它穿着黄金的华服登场,最终却要裸泳退场。这场工业需求驱动的狂欢还能持续多久?或许当你的屋顶光伏板开始用铜导 线时,就是该离场的信号。白银教会我们最深刻的一课:在投资领域,最危险的往往不是看得见的风险,而是那些被美好故事掩盖的产业变迁。 2025年的白银市场堪称魔幻:光伏板里的银浆、新能源车的电路触点,这些不起眼的工业应用正疯狂吞噬着全球白银库存。数据显示,仅 ...
昊海生科实控人涉内幕交易遭立案,超54%净利用于分红合理吗?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-05-11 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The company, Haohai Biological Technology (昊海生科), is facing significant challenges due to insider trading investigations involving its major shareholder, Jiang Wei, and a sharp decline in revenue growth and profitability in its core business segments, particularly in the medical aesthetics sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Haohai's revenue growth plummeted to 1.64%, with net profit only slightly increasing by 1.04%. In Q1 2025, both revenue and net profit further declined, with revenue decreasing by 4.25% and net profit dropping by 7.41% [1]. - The company announced a cash dividend of 231 million yuan in 2024, which accounted for 54.92% of its net profit, raising concerns about its financial sustainability amid declining performance [1][8]. Business Segments - The medical aesthetics segment, particularly the hyaluronic acid business, saw revenue of 742 million yuan in 2024, a significant slowdown from a 95.54% growth in 2023 to just 23.23% [5][6]. - The ophthalmology segment, as the second-largest supplier of artificial lenses in China, experienced a revenue decline of 7.60% in 2024, with specific product lines like artificial lenses and ophthalmic viscoelastic devices seeing drops of 14.06% and 19.53%, respectively [7][8]. Market Challenges - The hyaluronic acid market is facing intense competition, with over 400 brands and more than 50 approved Class III medical devices, leading to market saturation [5][6]. - The rise of alternative materials, such as collagen-based products, is impacting the demand for hyaluronic acid, with the retail market for collagen products projected to reach 173.8 billion yuan by 2027 [6]. - Regulatory changes have also affected the radiofrequency and laser equipment business, with new classifications requiring re-approval, leading to a 6.97% revenue decline in this segment [6]. Governance and Control - Jiang Wei and his wife, You Jie, control approximately 45.82% of the company’s shares, allowing them significant influence over corporate decisions despite Jiang not holding an official position [5][1]. - Concerns about corporate governance have been heightened due to the ongoing investigation into Jiang Wei, which may reflect deeper issues within the company's management practices [1][2].