作者 丨 林白 图源丨CNN 上周，Anthropic宣布完成了130亿美元的F轮融资，估值飙升到1830亿美元。 消息一出，网友们立马想到了一个名字——SBF。有人感慨说，如果他没"出事"，这笔投资可能直接跻身"史上前五大最佳投资"行列。 SBF是谁？一个90后，靠着加密货币一战成名。仅仅三年，他就从小透明混成了币圈之王，巅峰时期身价高达260亿美元，稳稳挤进美国富豪榜Top50。 来源丨 乌鸦智能说 （ID：wuyazhinengshuo ） 在2021年，AI还远没有今天这么火的时候，SBF突然杀进AI赛道，掏出5亿美元投了Anthropic，直接拿下8%的股权。 放在今天，这就是硅谷最爱吹的传奇故事："天才少年，押中了未来。" 可惜命运总喜欢开些黑色幽默。2022年，就在AI爆发的那一年，SBF的帝国轰然倒塌了。包括这笔Anthropic股权在内的所有资产，都被清算团队打包卖 掉，最后只换回了14亿美元。 如果一直拿到现在，按Anthropic最新的估值算，那8%股份的价值大概是146亿美元（考虑到股权稀释，未必有这么多），甚至比卖出的价格还足足翻了十 倍。 这就是SBF的荒诞剧。一个90后币圈疯子， ...

上周，Anthropic宣布完成了130亿美元的F轮融资，估值飙升到1830亿美元。 消息一出，网友们立马想到了一个名字——SBF。有人感慨说，如果他没"出事"，这笔投资可能直接跻身"史上前五大最佳投资"行列。 SBF是谁？一个90后，靠着加密货币一战成名。仅仅三年，他就从小透明混成了币圈之王，巅峰时期身价高达260亿美元，稳稳挤进美国富豪 榜Top50。 在2021年，AI还远没有今天这么火的时候，SBF突然杀进AI赛道，掏出5亿美元投了Anthropic，直接拿下8%的股权。 放在今天，这就是硅谷最爱吹的传奇故事："天才少年，押中了未来。" 可惜命运总喜欢开些黑色幽默。2022年，就在AI爆发的那一年，SBF的帝国轰然倒塌了。包括这笔Anthropic股权在内的所有资产，都被清算团 队打包卖掉，最后只换回了14亿美元。 如果一直拿到现在，按Anthropic最新的估值算，那8%股份的价值大概是146亿美元（考虑到股权稀释，未必有这么多），甚至比卖出的价格还 足足翻了十倍。 这就是SBF的荒诞剧。一个90后币圈疯子，用别人兜里的钱，差点投出了一笔能载入史册的超级神话。可惜，在成为传奇之前，他先成了反面 教材 ...

Core Insights - A new hedge fund, SALP, founded by 23-year-old Leopold Aschenbrenner, achieved a remarkable 47% return in just six months, significantly outperforming Wall Street averages by 700% [2][20][21] - Aschenbrenner, previously associated with OpenAI, was dismissed for raising concerns about security vulnerabilities, leading him to establish SALP focused entirely on AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) investments [3][12][14] Fund Overview - SALP is characterized as a pure AI-native fund, with 100% of its investments directed towards AI-related opportunities, distinguishing it from traditional funds that diversify across various sectors [4][22] - The fund's assets reportedly exceeded $1.5 billion by 2025, allowing for a concentrated investment strategy in a few high-confidence areas [23][24] Investment Philosophy - SALP operates under a mission-driven philosophy, focusing on AGI and its implications, rather than merely seeking high-growth companies [26][29] - The fund's strategy includes significant investments in AI infrastructure, such as computing power and energy, which are deemed essential for the future of AGI [32][34] Key Investments - SALP's notable investment includes Core Scientific, a cryptocurrency mining company that transitioned to AI computing services, highlighting the fund's ability to identify undervalued assets [3][35] - The fund also holds positions in major chip manufacturers like Broadcom and Intel, as well as energy companies like Vistra, anticipating a surge in demand for power due to AI advancements [35] Future Outlook - Aschenbrenner predicts that AGI could emerge around 2027, with a potential "intelligence explosion" following its realization, which would drastically alter economic and social structures [15][16][29] - The fund's approach is to leverage financial tools for both long and short positions, aiming to profit regardless of market conditions [27][28]

Core Insights - Leopold Aschenbrenner predicts that AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) will reach a critical point around 2027, followed by the rise of superintelligence shortly thereafter [2][8] - Aschenbrenner's hedge fund, Situational Awareness LP (SALP), has achieved a net return of 47% in just six months, showcasing a sharp investment strategy amidst skepticism in the capital markets [4][51] - The technological explosion in AI is characterized as an exponential leap rather than a linear progression, with trillions of dollars expected to flow into industries such as GPU, data centers, and energy infrastructure [3][16] Investment Strategy - SALP's initial capital reached $1.5 billion, reflecting significant confidence from prominent Silicon Valley figures [42] - The fund focuses on the AGI supply chain rather than consumer-level AI, with major holdings in companies like Broadcom, Intel, and energy suppliers [44][46] - SALP's performance has been bolstered by strategic options trading, particularly benefiting from Intel's stock surge due to acquisition rumors [45][51] Industry Dynamics - The demand for energy and infrastructure to support AGI is immense, with a single training cluster consuming as much electricity as a medium-sized city [11][12] - Major investments in AI infrastructure are projected to exceed $1.5 trillion by 2027, surpassing investments in 5G and renewable energy [16] - The emergence of AGI is framed as a national industrial deployment issue rather than merely a scientific breakthrough [17] Regulatory and Ethical Considerations - Aschenbrenner emphasizes the urgency of AGI regulation, particularly in light of lessons learned from the FTX collapse and the need for transparent governance in capital markets [30][34] - His experiences have led to a more cautious investment approach, integrating a delta-neutral strategy to mitigate risks associated with market volatility [30][52] Future Outlook - Aschenbrenner's transition from an AGI whistleblower to a capital market operator reflects a shift in focus towards practical investment strategies while maintaining engagement with ethical discussions in the EA community [65][67] - The ongoing developments in AGI and its implications for energy and technology distribution suggest that SALP may represent a significant and thoughtful investment in the future of AI [69][70]